The price of bread and other bakery products could see a spike of 20 per cent in the coming week after wheat prices hit a nine-year high, industry chiefs have warned on Sunday (21).
Price of bread wheat has gone up by 26.7 per cent in the past year due to rising demand while other costs continue to increase including fuel for transport and gas used in baking ovens.
Bread wheat is now trading on commodity markets at £255.40 a tonne, up nearly 27 per cent on a year ago and at its highest for nine years.
Record-high petrol prices are also driving up the transport cost while freight costs have also risen, making it more expensive for British bakers to import the Canadian wheat found in most of our bread.
Alice Jones, analyst with agricultural body, AHDB, said: "Global wheat prices keep climbing each week on the back of supply concerns, and UK prices are following global trends."
"As long as global prices keep rising there is scope for domestic prices to keep rising."
While some of the higher costs may be absorbed by retailers, higher price tags will be visible very soon, said the reports citing industry experts.
Now that food prices are at a ten year high globally, pasta prices have already started to rise in recent weeks with more increases likely to follow.
"Energy pricing is also on the rise, while HGV driver shortages and recruitment are resulting in increased wage rates,” a report quoted Gordon Polson, CEO of Britain's Federation of Bakers, as saying.
Allied Bakeries, which owns Kingsmill, said the industry was "exposed to inflationary pressure in relation to the cost of flour, as well as the gas we use in our ovens and fuel for our delivery fleet."
Red Bull and Monster Energy have contributed the greatest amount of unit growth in the independent convenience channel in 2024, shows a TWC report released today (18), highlighting many other key trends that shaped the independent convenience channel last year.
Value sales were down -6 per cent through 2024 majorly owing to drop in sales of tobacco products though value growth was seen in confectionery, soft drinks and food-to-go, states the report.
Alcohol sales under-performed at Christmas while branded products outperformed own-label sales in the convenience channel.
The source data comes from TWC’s ‘SmartView Convenience’ (SVC) market read, which is already recognised as the most reflective read for independent convenience stores, despite launching just 18 months ago.
SVC is a market read for the independent convenience sector, comprising EPOS sales data from a sample of 5,000 stores reflective of the market structure including both unaffiliated independents and wholesaler-supplier symbol fascias, including Booker’s Premier and Londis; Bestway’s Best One and Costcutter; Nisa; and the Unitas fascias.
Data is extrapolated to represent the entire GB independent market (excluding Spar) of around 30,000 stores and is also geographically representative.
After reviewing SVC data representing over ten billion purchases through 2024, TWC was able to share key trends with over one hundred industry executives (wholesalers and suppliers) via a webinar last week.
The key trends are:
Value sales were down -6 per cent through 2024 (52 w/e 29.12.24) but this was driven by declines in tobacco / tobacco alternatives and commission – when these departments are removed, sales fell -2 per cent across the sector.
Three categories were in value growth in the sector – confectionery, soft drinks and food-to-go.
Average spend per unit has only increased by 1 per cent in 2024.
Alcohol sales under-performed at Christmas (versus the performance over the rest of the year), reflecting the deep promotions offered by other operators (e.g. retail multiples) during December; as well as changing consumer habits and the fact that the comparative period in 2023 included two less trading days on the run up to New Year’s Eve (4 w/e 29.12.23).
Branded products outperformed own-label sales in the sector.
The leading suppliers are winning share. In eight key convenience categories, three quarters of the top two suppliers in each category are growing their share of sales in the channel.
UK convenience store market performance
TWC Group also revealed the top thirty growth brands in the sector through 2024, which have collectively brought in 104 million additional unit sales in 2024.
Red Bull saw the biggest actual unit sales increase in the year, followed by Monster Energy. These thirty brands contributed 46 per cent of total volume sales growth in the sector in 2024.
TWC has identified six core drivers behind brand growth in the channel:
High stimulation beverages
Spicy and sour products
Treats for kids (especially ‘Gen Alpha’)
Good value products (e.g. PMPs)
New product development
Regionality (e.g. products relevant to specific regions)
Regarding NPD, new products from these 30 brands accounted for 12 per cent of all volume sales in the channel in 2024, states TWC report.
Sarah Coleman, Product Director at TWC Group, says there are still plenty of reasons to be positive in this sector.
“Firstly, the number of convenience stores has grown in the last 12 months, to over 50,000 outlets.
The share of total outlets that are independently owned/run is holding firm, which means the number of indie outlets is in growth (by 1200 year on year), according to the Association of Convenience Stores (ACS).”
Coleman continues: “Consumer research previously conducted by TWC Group revealed many untapped opportunities – for example, 40 per cent of consumers who buy beer, lager or cider do not buy these products from their independent convenience store.
"Similar findings were discovered in other categories too. If suppliers and wholesalers can work together and find solutions to appeal to c-store shoppers, there is still plenty of growth to be had in this important route to market channel, as proven by our top 30 growth brands ranking.”
Suppliers and wholesalers can now access location-specific data as an extension to SmartView Convenience.
Coleman highlights that this is potentially a game changer for the sector – TWC is the only data agency who offers location-specific data for up to 12,500 independent convenience stores) and SmartView Convenience (SVC) market read, allowing subscribers to understand both total market performance and to plan targeted activity in the channel from a single source of data.
Furthermore, TWC is launching a consumer, shopper and retailer research proposition to complement the SVC data.
Coleman points out, “Our SmartView Convenience market read reports what is bought, meanwhile consumer/shopper/retailer research will provide compelling why insights, to understand the motives behind why products are purchased, or not.
"As such, TWC really is becoming the ‘one stop shop’ for data combined with insights – ‘the what and the why’ – and we look forward to extending our services further in 2025.”
Half (50 per cent) of UK farmers have reconsidered their future in the sector due to a rise in financial pressures in the last year, states a recent report.
According to a survey of arable farming decision makers commissioned by McCain, rising energy (35 per cent) and fertiliser costs (32 per cent), as well as environmental threats (36 per cent), are having the biggest pressure on farmers’ finances.
Financial pressures are not only affecting farm operations but are also the primary factor (55 per cent) straining farmers’ mental health.
In an effort to support its 250-strong network of farmers, McCain, the UK’s largest manufacturer of frozen potato products, has launched a new ongoing package of support for its growers, equating to an additional £30 million investment over the next three years.
As the largest purchaser of the UK potato crop, McCain is committed to supporting its growers to help ensure the long-term sustainability and resilience of British agriculture, which is vital to the country’s food security.
This package sits alongside existing measures, which includes working together with growers as they transition to regenerative agriculture practices and ensuring fair prices for their potatoes.
The initiatives undertaken by McCain includes:
Adjusting the price per tonne paid for potatoes to reflect the increasing risk of yield variation
Access to strategic capital support, providing farmers with a direct cash injection covering up to 33% of their total investment into assets such irrigation infrastructure and storage
Setting out a 20% advanced payment of contract value to help with cashflow and support the increased negative working capital farmers are facing.
James Young, vice president, agriculture at McCain Foods GB, said, “British potato farmers are facing a myriad of unprecedented challenges from rising input costs to extreme weather events.
"At McCain, we pride ourselves on the strong partnerships we have built with our 250 growers and are committed to supporting them.
"We believe this package bolsters our ongoing collaboration with growers to help ensure the long-term sustainability of British agriculture.”
McCain is also working with growers to navigate the extreme weather patterns, such as heavy rainfall, flooding and unseasonably mild temperatures, that are placing additional strain on farmers’ finances.
Together with its growers, McCain is committed to implementing regenerative agricultural practices across 100 per cent of its global potato acreage by the end of 2030.
Over two thirds (68 per cent) of farmers claim the impacts of climate change have made arable farming less viable, with 57 per cent stating it has significantly impacted yields as well as increased costs due to additional irrigation and drainage (38 per cent).
As climate change impacts present day practices, 87 per cent of farmers agree there is a need to transition to more planet-friendly practices to ensure the viability of farming for years to come1.
Over half (53 per cent) have invested in sustainable practices on their farm in the last five years.
Sam Daw, a grower for McCain Food GB, said, “Our partnership with McCain is a core part of our business. It has had a clear and positive impact on direction, investment and positivity across our farming enterprises. The new package has rejuvenated confidence in the sector, reshaped our cashflow and allowed for investment and growth planning.
“The commitment to regenerative agriculture complements our other farming enterprises. Incorporating manures from our livestock, keeping green cover over fields for longer with cover crops and utilising reduced soil movement cultivation equipment across a wider range of crops.
“The farm’s relationship with McCain is so much more than a potato crop. It’s confidence, resilience and growth.”
To support its farmers on this transition, McCain is testing regenerative agriculture practices and trialing new technology at its Farms of the Future projects, located in McCain’s hometown of Florenceville, New Brunswick, and in South Africa.
This is supported in the UK by three demonstration farms across the country, where growers are invited to see the results firsthand.
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A general view of the Warrington offices of technology company Fujitsu in Warrington, England
Post Office Horizon scandal victims have slammed Post Office for paying "£40 million" to extend its contract with Fujitsu to continue using the controversial Horizon IT software, as revealed in a recent report.
At least 900 subpostmasters and subpostmistresses were wrongly prosecuted for apparent financial shortfalls caused by faults in the accounting software, in what has been described as one of the UK’s biggest miscarriages of justice.
Despite that, data revealed by inews shows the Post Office has renewed its contract with Fujitsu to continue using Horizon until March 2026 at a cost of £40.8m.
The Post Office previously said it planned to replace Horizon with “new branch technology” but would maintain the old IT software until the new technology is developed.
Christopher Head OBE, a former sub postmaster, was sued by the Post Office in the civil courts for more than £80,000 that was supposedly missing from his branch. He has not yet been compensated.
Responding to Fujitsu’s new contract, he added, “We understand that in order to transition to a new system you have to maintain the old one until you get to the point that you are satisfied.
"In this circumstance, with the Post Office, you’d be more cautious given what’s happened with the previous system.”
Janet Skinner, aformer subpostmistress from Hull, was handed a nine-month sentence for theft in 2007 after £59,000 appeared to be missing from her Post Office branch.
She served three months of that sentence before being released with an electronic tag but was hospitalised in 2008 with a stress-related illness.
Commenting on the extension of Fujitsu’s contract, Skinner told inews, “It’s an insult. It’s like they are rewarding them for their bad behaviour.
“There needs to be accountability and accountability is not awarding contracts to a company that has been at the forefront of this scandal.
“It just infuriates me. Absolutely infuriates me. God knows what the other postmasters are feeling. It’s just like being kicked in the teeth.”
A spokesperson for the Post Office said that, while it is too early to speculate about when Horizon will be replaced, it is “committed to delivering a lower-risk, better-value new branch IT for postmasters”.
A Fujitsu spokesperson said, “We are focused on supporting the Post Office in their plans for a new service delivery model, so branches can continue to deliver key services to the public.”
Nisa has appointed convenience expert, Brogan Cook as the group's Delivery Lead. She will spearhead the implementation and mobilisation of corporate customer projects, for the wholesale arm of Co-op.
Sitting as part of Katie Secretan’s Retail and Sales leadership team, Brogan brings over a decade of experience in retail leadership and will be instrumental in the delivery of new accounts into Nisa, as the business looks to propel its growth and expansion into new markets.
Most recently, holding the role as Head of Convenience Projects at Morrisons, Brogan was responsible for the transformation and delivery of the strategic wholesale programme which saw her develop and implement new business routes for growth.
Prior to that, she held positions such as wholesale senior operations manager, where she oversaw the programme management of the franchise plan, as well as led new store acquisitions.
Katie Secretan, Director of Sales and Retail, said, “We’re at a pivotal moment for our Coop’s wholesale business, with ambitious growth targets in place, and Brogan’s proven track record in convenience and franchise operations, as well as her strategic leadership will be invaluable as we continue to deliver growth with our partners."
Brogan's appointment reflects Nisa's continued focus on bringing the best of Co-op to trusted partners, and her extensive background in retail programme management makes her wellplaced to lead Nisa’s delivery plans and ensure successful execution across multiple sites.
Brogan Cook said, "I'm excited to be joining Nisa as Delivery Lead during such a dynamic period for the business. I look forward to applying my experience to lead the delivery of new business within the convenience channel, ensuring we deliver a best-in-class service for our retail partners across the UK."
Brogan, who started in role at the beginning of February, joins a recently strengthened Sales and Retail leadership team, including Taranjit Singh Dhillon as Head of Retail, Ian King as Head of Business Development, Lauren Brogden as Head of Sales Engagement, Paul Webster as Head of Partnerships.
The firm also saw the internal promotion of Joy McAleese to Head of Wholesale.
Hancocks, the UKs leading confectionery wholesaler, has announced its first in-store and online Sweetest Day event for 2025.
The events, which have been running for three years, offer depot and online customers outstanding one day deals and a chance to find out about the newest product launches.
The first event for 2025 will be taking place on March 6 from 8am to 8pm at all the 14 depots dotted across the UK, with deals available both in-store and online.
Sponsored by Nestle, the one day extravaganza will include incredible deals on big name brands including Haribo, Swizzels and Cadbury.
Independent and convenience retailers looking to stock up on Haribo can make savings of £2.30 on popular PMP bags. They’ll also receive a free stand if they buy 18 cases of £1.25 PMP products.
Retailers stocking Kingsway Pick and Mix can take advantage of a great double deal. Buying 10+ bags will give a saving of 40p per bag. Doubling that to 20+ bags will equal a saving of £1 per bag.
There are big deals to be had on Hancocks’ popular novelty confectionery, with £2 off a number of Crazy Candy Factory lines.
Other major brands with good deals for retailers include Chewits, Toxic Waste, Chupa Chups, Pez, Candy Realms and Warheads.
In selected stores, customers will have the opportunity to meet brand representatives from Haribo, Perfetti, Swizzels and more.
There will also be the chance to sample recently launched products including Sweet Vibes Mallow Dunkz and the new Bonds Trail Mix which comes in three tasty flavour combinations.
Stores will be open from 8am to 8pm with offers, giveaways, samples and the chance to find out more about current and new and exciting confectionery products. The same deals with run during the same period on the website.
Kathryn Hague, Head of Marketing at Hancocks said, “Our Sweetest Day events are a big hit with customers who are able to take advantage of some great deals, sample some exciting new products and speak to brand representatives.
“This is our first Sweetest Day event of the year and we’re encouraging customers to get down to the store and take advantage of everything we’re offering. There will be four more events throughout the year.
“As well as stocking up on product, it’s also a chance to find out about new launches and try them, pick up tips on merchandising to maximise sales and see the breadth of the offering here at Hancocks.
“The deals are truly too good to be missed, across a range of pick and mix, novelty and impulse must-haves so we’re hoping to see lots of familiar and new faces to take advantage of everything we’re offering.”
Hancocks is the UKs leading confectionery wholesaler with 14 nationwide cash and carry stores and an online channel www.hancocks.co.uk. Customers can shop online 24/7 with delivery to the door or click and collect options.
Hancocks is the one stop shop for confectionery for over 25,000 independent retailers and is part of the World of Sweets group.