Premium food apart from clothing and technology purchases are expected to drive a five per cent jump in festive spending to £22.7 billion this year, according to figures that suggest UK consumers will outstrip the first post-pandemic Christmas in 2021.
The average spending on gifts and celebrations is expected to rise from £416 to £433 for each person, the survey of 2,000 adults by the accountancy firm PwC found.
The research suggested that spending will exceed the £21.6bn, or £426 for each person, recorded in late 2021, when consumers were able to return to more normal festive socialising after Covid-19.
Consumers named food and drink and Christmas dinner as the top spending priorities for 2024, suggesting that they might opt for more premium ranges, PwC said.
Clothing was the top spending priority for under-25s and third overall, according to PwC, giving hope to retailers that people will buy new outfits after several years of holding back. Strong spending on technology during the end-of-November Black Friday promotions is expected to continue through December.
PwC said British consumers have a “well-established habit of spending more than they initially plan during the festive season”.
Lisa Hooker, who leads PwC’s consumer markets work, said she was “cautiously optimistic about the outlook” after consumers showed “caution” during the autumn as they awaited tax increases from the government.
“After volume declines for most non-food categories in 2024, it is good to see a relatively strong end to the year with increased spending over Black Friday, which is expected to continue over the festive period,” she said.
“As usual the winning category is food and drink with growth in the premium ranges exceeding value ranges as customers want to selectively treat themselves and their family.”
PwC's figures coincide with Kantar's report which states that grocery sales are expected to exceed £13 billion over the four weeks of December for the first time ever with December 23 expected to be the single busiest day.
Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, said, "Sales of assorted sweet biscuits and biscuits for cheese both doubled in November compared with the month before, while eight per cent of us bought a Christmas pudding."
McKevitt added, "Shoppers are grabbing the chance to spend that little bit more than usual on Christmas specials, and champagne, wine and spirits saw the biggest levels of buying on deal.”
Using cash not only affects consumer spending habits but also supports a deep psychological sense of ownership - something rarely experienced with digital transactions, shows a new research exploring how different payment methods influence spending behaviour.
The study, published in Qualitative Market Research in late 2024, reinforce the well-documented advantages of cash, such as its accessibility, resilience, and data privacy.
The study concludes that "when we handle cash, we are not just spending money; we are parting with a piece of ourselves." While digital payments are undoubtedly convenient, the research underscores the vital role cash continues to play in both monetary systems and society.
Cash remains the most inclusive payment method, accessible to everyone, including the elderly, unbanked individuals, and those in rural areas, states the report. With increasing bank closures, access to cash has been under threat.
However, new laws from the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulations introduced in September 2024 ensure continued protection and improvement of cash access for businesses and consumers alike.
During natural disasters, power outages, and cyberattacks, cash serves as a crucial fail-safe. Unlike digital payments, which depend on electricity and internet connectivity, cash transactions remain unaffected, ensuring that businesses can continue operating in critical situations, states the report.
As digital transactions grow, so do concerns over data privacy and fraud risks. Cash payments remain anonymous, providing consumers with peace of mind that their financial activities are not being monitored or exploited.
A 2021 white paper study from cash handling specialists Volumatic highlighted strong consumer demand for payment choice, with many preferring a combination of cash and digital methods. A diverse payment ecosystem strengthens economic stability, allowing banks and businesses to mitigate risks associated with system failures and cyber threats.
Mike Severs, Sales & Marketing Director at Volumatic, said: “With the upcoming rise in National Insurance and the National Living Wage rates, coupled with increasing business costs, we understand the challenges businesses face. Investing in cash handling equipment not only boosts efficiency but also improves financial performance - further proving the enduring value of cash.
“With cash usage on the rise and its benefits extending beyond financial considerations to consumer well-being, businesses must adapt to customer preferences.
"Offering a choice between cash and digital payments is key to meeting customer needs and ensuring a resilient, stable economy.”
For retailers concerned about handling and processing cash, innovative solutions from Volumatic offer seamless and secure management. As experts in cash handling technology, Volumatic provides tailored solutions that enhance efficiency while reducing costs.
Volumatic’s all-in-one cash-handling solution, the CounterCache intelligent (CCi), has helped retail businesses cut cash processing costs by up to 75 per cent. Acting as a secure storage device, forgery detector, and cash counter, the CCi - when paired with CashView Enterprise software - delivers real time reporting and full visibility from POS to bank deposit.
For businesses seeking simpler solutions, Volumatic also offers a range of money-counting scales, friction note counters and secure deposit devices - designed to improve efficiency and security while saving valuable time and resources.
Take-home sales at the grocers rose by 4.3 per cent over the four weeks to 26 January compared with one year ago, according to the latest data from Kantar, which also shows a consistent rise on spending on promotions and fresh produce. Share of symbols and independents however continued on a decline.
January spelled relief for shoppers as grocery price inflation slowed to 3.3 per cent over the four weeks.
With household budgets typically stretched at this time of year, retailers played their part in easing the pressure on purse strings.
Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, comments, “Supermarkets were dishing out the discounts this New Year, and consumers responded. Spending on promotions rose year-on-year by £274 million, accounting for 27.2 per cent of sales – the highest level in January since 2021.
“People also turned to non-branded products to help keep costs down, with own label as a proportion of sales hitting a record high of 52.3% in January. Spending on supermarkets’ own lines was up 5.4%, helped by consumers buying premium own label products in the couple of days leading up to New Year’s Eve."
Typically, shoppers have an eye on wellness, not just their wallets, at the start of the year – and 2025 was no exception. More than 10 per cent of the average consumer’s January grocery bill was spent on fresh fruit, vegetables and salad, totalling £1.2 billion – £193 million more than in December.
Nathan Ward, business unit director for usage and out-of-home at Kantar, adds, “Rolling into the new year, health tends to play a bigger role in our grocery choices. Over a quarter of take-home food and drink in January is chosen with health at least partially in mind, as shoppers tell us they want to eat less processed food and feel the benefit of fibre and vitamins.”
Protein products pulled their weight at the tills too as demand for bars, bites and drinks boosted spend on sports nutrition products. Sales for this category at supermarkets were 47% higher than last year, with over two million households buying these items during the month.
Sales of low and no alcohol drinks were 7 per cent higher than last January, and 6.7 per cent of households bought at least one of these alternatives.
Fraser McKevitt comments: “It’s no surprise to see the low and no alcohol trend make its mark in January, but given some of the generational splits we have seen in grocery, it’s interesting that older shoppers are just as likely to take these products home as younger ones. Not everyone signed up for dry January though, with 49% of people buying an alcoholic drink this month – but this is a pretty big drop from December’s 76%.”
Lidl’s sales rose 7.4% over the 12 weeks to 26 January, making it three continual years of growth for the discounter, whose share hit 7.2%. Aldi accelerated for the third consecutive month with sales up 4.2% and its market share increasing to 10.2%.
Ocado was the fastest-growing grocer for the ninth consecutive month. Spending at the online retailer grew by 11.3% meaning it now holds 1.9% of the market. Joint owner of Ocado Retail, M&S has also seen a strong 12 week period of growth with grocery sales increasing by 10.5%* in its brick-and-mortar stores.
Britain’s largest grocer Tesco gained the most share, its 28.5 per cent hold of the market is 0.7 per cent higher than this time last year, and it also saw its fastest rise in sales since April 2024 at 5.6 per cent. Sainsbury’s outpaced the market at 4.2 per cent sales growth, increasing its share from 15.7 to 15.9 per cent. Morrisons has 8.6% of the market while Asda’s portion is 12.6 per cent.
Convenience retailer Co-op returned to growth, with sales rising by 0.8 per cent giving it a 5.2 per cent share of the market while symbols and independents again saw dip of 5.8 per cent.
The year 2025 is set to be another difficult year for high street retail as rising costs continue to mount, shows the latest industry report, states that the UK is navigating a tough economic climate marked by sluggish growth, stubborn inflation, and weak consumer confidence, creating challenges for both businesses and households.
According to BDO’s latest High Street Sales tracker, total retail sales in discretionary spend categories grew by 7.1 per cent in January.
The growth however came off the back of a very weak set of results in January 2024 (-0.8 per cent) and was largely driven by growth in online sales, which jumped 15.5 per cent compared to the same period the previous year.
Meanwhile, sales in bricks and mortar stores grew by only 3.2 per cent, from a poor base of a 4.2 per cent decline, serving as a stark reminder that high street retail is struggling to recover from the trends experienced in 2024.
BDO noted that results indicate a large drop in volumes over the past two years.
Fashion and homewares retailers faced particularly challenging conditions in January, with sales in-store growing by 3.3 per cent and 3.4 per cent respectively against poor performances last year when sales fell 6.7 per cent and 10.1 per cent.
The report suggested that January’s poor weather may have contributed to mixed footfall on the high street and driven a better result for online sales, but this is also a continuation of the sector’s overall poor performance in 2024 and a disappointing final "Golden Quarter".
Consumer confidence has also taken a knock, dropping to -22 in January 2025, highlighting a general sense of pessimism about the economic outlook.
In summary, the UK is navigating a tough economic climate marked by sluggish growth, stubborn inflation, and weak consumer confidence, creating challenges for both businesses and households, states the report.
“These results may seem positive on the surface, but the underlying numbers show that the weak growth in the run-up to Christmas has continued into the new year,” said Sophie Michael, Head of Retail and Wholesale at BDO.
“While many retailers may have seen a rise in sales through the release of some of the pent-up consumer spending that didn’t come through before Christmas, January trading for discretionary spend requires heavy encouragement through discounting; this delayed spending will no doubt have a significant impact on already thin margins.
“The sector has been challenged for some time by the impact of significant cost increases, which will continue to mount throughout the year, particularly post the implementation of the changes in the budget this April.
"Raising the thresholds for National Insurance contributions will disproportionately affect retailers, who tend to have large workforces with lower average earnings. Add in increases to the National Living Wage, business rates and the Plastic Packaging Tax all coming together and at fast pace, their thin margins will be under even more pressure.
“Retailers need to find a way to balance the increased cost of doing business while investing in product development, customer service and underlying technology, like AI, that will maintain their competitiveness. They need clear visibility on how their costs will increase to identify effective actions to mitigate the impact.
"This includes clarity over how their supply chain costs will rise, with many of the businesses they rely on being subject to some of the same pressures as themselves.
"The sector already saw a high number of job losses in 2024 and retail store closures; with the oncoming cost increases, these numbers are unlikely to ease in 2025.”
New data published this week by LINK, the UK’s cash access and ATM network, showed that consumers withdrew £79.5 billion from cash machines in 2024, a 1.2 per cent reduction compared to 2023.
In total, adults over the age of 16 made 915 million cash withdrawals last year, 60 million (6.1%) fewer than in 2023. This equates to approximately 16 trips to the ATM per person, with an average withdrawal of £86 each time, totalling £1,424 over the year.
ATMs account for 93 per cent of all cash withdrawals in the UK, ahead of cashback and counter transactions at bank branches, post offices, and banking hubs.
Regional differences
Since the pandemic, with more people opting for contactless and digital payments, cash and ATM usage has declined significantly. However, cash remains popular, with regular LINK research showing around 75 per cent of adults using cash at least once a fortnight. While people are visiting ATMs less frequently, they are withdrawing more cash per visit.
The data reveals that every region and nation across the UK saw a fall in total cash withdrawals, with the largest declines in Scotland and London. Interestingly, the North-East of England and Wales experienced small increases in the total value of cash withdrawn.
Northern Ireland remains the most cash-heavy part of the UK, with banking customers withdrawing an average of £2,274 in 2024. The second and third most cash-heavy regions were Yorkshire and the Humber (£1,696) and the North-East (£1,682). Yorkshire was the only region where the average withdrawal increased, rising just over 2 per cent from £1,658. ATM usage was lowest in the South-West, where the average customer withdrew £1,030, closely followed by the South-East (£1,030).
ATM numbers
As cash use continues its long-term decline, the number of ATMs has also fallen. By the end of 2024, there were 5 per cent fewer cash machines compared to the end of 2023 (48,401 vs 46,182). Of these, 37,361 are free-to-use, down from 38,480, and 8,821 are charging ATMs, down from 9,921.
LINK noted that it has multiple financial inclusion programmes in place, as well as a statutory obligation, to ensure everyone has good free access to cash. An unchanged 9 in 10 people still live within 1km of a free cash access point, such as an ATM, post office, or banking hub.
In 2024, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) introduced new rules to protect access to cash across the UK. These rules include measures requiring LINK to independently assess the needs of a location following the closure of a bank branch. Communities can also request LINK to assess their high street if they believe it lacks appropriate cash services.
To date, LINK has recommended 184 banking hubs and over 100 deposit services to support cash in the community. These are being delivered by Cash Access UK, which opened the 100th banking hub in late 2024.
“Cash usage is falling in line with our own expectations as more people choose to shop online or pay with card. However, cash remains popular for many reasons,” Graham Mott, director of strategy at LINK, said.
“Our own research shows that millions still rely on it because they’re not confident, able, or can afford to use digital payments. For those on low budgets, there’s still no better alternative to managing your finances than using notes and coins. Notwithstanding, as we saw last year during the CrowdStrike IT issues, if and when systems go down, cash is quite often the only option.
“LINK’s job is to protect access to cash, which means that even as cash and ATM use falls, we will continue to ensure that every street is protected. We’re also pleased that we have recommended almost 200 banking hubs, allowing people and businesses that rely on cash to be able to readily access and deposit cash.”
Most Brits visited a retail destination during October and November 2024, shows a recent report, highlighting the resilience of physical retail.
According to the latest Consumer Pulse Report by MRI Software, in partnership with Retail Economics, 88 per cent of the UK population visited a retail destination during October and November 2024 — an increase of 86.1 per cent since May 2024. The report also reports an average of 2.2 visits per person per month.
The latest survey reveals that 31 per cent of office workers play a key role in high street retail, with visits peaking during lunch hours.
33 percent of office workers choose to visit after 5pm on weekdays, particularly Tuesdays and Wednesdays which are popular days to venture into the office.
As return to office becomes more widespread, the retail sector has an opportunity to maximise engagement and sales by leveraging these insights and presenting itself as a convenient shopping option for the hybrid workforce.
The under-35 demographic is increasingly motivated by experiential retail opportunities, such as dining and leisure. In November, this age group averaged 9.5 visits to physical retail destinations — more than double the frequency of those aged 55 and over. The rise of social commerce, which enables shoppers to make purchases within social media apps such as TikTok and Instagram, is likely influencing footfall into physical retail destinations and creating opportunities for in-store experiences.
“The latest findings depict a retail sector that continues to adapt and remain relevant as consumer behaviours shift,” commented Jenni Matthews, Marketing & Insights Director, MRI Software.
“With 88 per cent of the UK population visiting retail destinations and under-35s driving experiential trends, it’s clear that physical retail remains a powerful touchpoint for engagement.
“Retailers have an incredible opportunity to leverage these insights—not just to meet consumer expectations, but to exceed them by creating vibrant, immersive destinations that align with changing consumer behaviours.”
Retail leaders are prepared for a challenging start to 2025 following the Autumn Budget, bringing with it financialpressures and rising costs.
Consumers are already erring on the side of caution, as 51 per cent of shoppers remain concerned about the rising cost of living over the next six months. This figure is down from 60 per cent in May 2024, suggesting a gradual improvement in consumer confidence.
However, affordability remains top of mind, with shoppers prioritising value and cautious spending.