Convenience retail continues to remain a robust sector despite rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, states leading property adviser Christie & Co today (16) in its annual report.
Christie & Co's report "Business Outlook 2025" reflects on key market activity, trends and challenges of 2024 and forecasts what 2025 might bring across the industries, including the convenience retail sector.
The report notes that in 2024 retail deal activity continued in the same strong vein as in H2 2023, and convenience retail remains a robust sector driven by need, providing solid investment opportunities. As such, Christie & Co's retail price index rose by 7.3 per cent.
Despite operational challenges from rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, there was a strong demand for opportunities.
According to Christie & Co 2024 data revealed in the report, there was a 20 per cent increase in the number of stores sold compared to 2023, with an average of ten viewings per sale.
Ever-increasing overheads will continue to present challenges for store owners and are causing the multiples to increase the turnover threshold for profitable stores.
Christie & Co notes that, as costs rise, continued divestment from corporate multiple retailers is expected and these divestments will inevitably present new opportunities for independent buyers in 2025.
The report also outlines Christie & Co's market predictions for the year ahead
Retailers will continue to face rising costs as a result of measures outlined in the Autumn Budget, and this will affect wages in particular.
This has the potential to cause inflation. However, as convenience stores are needs-driven, consumers will accept price rises or seek out value for money, states the report.
Retailers may be less inclined to hire more staff because of increasing wages and taxations, as announced in the Budget.
Due to increasing Government restrictions on unhealthy products, suppliers will have to adapt their offerings to fit requirements or sellers will have to evolve their product range, the report added.
It is unlikely that there will be a reduction in demand for sites, but purchasers will most likely factor cost increases into their offers while divestments from corporate multiple retailers are expected to continue as they continue to see costs go up and "tail end" stores may struggle, states the report.
Steve Rodell, Managing Director of Retail and Leisure at Christie & Co comments, “We are in the very fortunate position to be at the forefront of convenience retail business-to-business transactions, and we have worked very hard to become the market leaders.
"This is now a valuable position to be in, as other areas of retail, including much of the high street, struggle with internet shopping and multiple channels of competition.
"Convenience retail remains a needs-based sector, and as long as retailers listen to customers and satisfy local demand there is a good future for the convenience store.”
Retail footfall rebounded last week from the week before in high streets and retail parks whereas shopping centres continued to see a decline, shows the latest figures.
The rise in high street activity is being attributed to warmer weather, and schools reopening following the half term break across the UK which will also signal a return to the office.
According to MRI Software, footfall rose on four out of seven days last week peaking on Sunday and Wednesday in all UK retail destinations, however the drop in activity came on Friday which was far more significant in shopping centres.
High streets benefitted from the warmer weather on Saturday with a rise in footfall recorded however retail parks and shopping centres saw a drop in activity on this day compared to the week before.
All town types seemingly benefited from the milder weather conditions with footfall rising from the week before, especially in coastal towns and Greater London where double digit rises were recorded from the week before.
Market and historic towns also witnessed strong activity, alongside MRI Software’s Central London Back to Office benchmark. Apart from the West Midlands, regional footfall in all UK retail destinations remained strong particularly in the East of England and the South West.
Retail footfall rose by +1.8 per cent overall last week from the week before driven by a +4.2 per cent rebound in high street activity and by +0.1 per cent in retail parks.
Shopping centres, however, saw a -1.6 per cent decline in footfall, reflecting cautious consumer behaviour ahead of Mother’s Day and Easter, which fall two weeks later this year than in 2024. This suggest shoppers may be planning purchases more intentionally.
Week on week, Sunday and Wednesday were the strongest days with footfall in all UK retail destinations but driven predominantly by high streets experiencing strong rises.
This upward trend continued into the weekend with activity rising by +4% on Saturday whereas retail parks and shopping centres saw a much quieter day with footfall declining, a sign of milder weather conditions encouraging people to outdoor retail destinations.
Coastal towns also benefitted from the improved weather conditions as footfall rose by +11 per cent week on week, a double digit trend which was also echoed in Greater London (+10.6 per cent). The return to office was evident in Central London.
Compared to 2024 levels, high street footfall remained flat whereas shopping centres and retail parks saw a footfall decline.
With seasonal shifts in major events that typically drive retail footfall, including Mother’s Day and Easter moving to later in March and into April, these annual fluctuations are expected to level out over time.
Meat and dairy products saw a rise in sales in January, while their meat-free counterparts and dairy-free products experienced less demand compared with 2024.
According to a report released by Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB), while the meat, fish and poultry (MFP) category saw volume growth of 1.4 per cent, meat-free products had their fourth consecutive year of decline.
This was mostly driven by vegetable-based products such as bean burgers, rather than meat imitation products (like Quorn), as vegetable-based products saw a -12.4 per cent decline.
This weaker performance is likely due to declining engagement with Veganuary, according to Google searches, and only a small proportion of the population (5.65 per cent) taking part in the challenge this year.
Of those who took part, 1.29 per cent are vegan all year round, 2.30 per cent completed Veganuary and 2.06 per cent did not. Of those who managed to maintain a vegan diet for the entire month, 39 per cent stated they are not going to continue with the diet beyond January, states AHDB.
Promotions played a big part in performance this January, and according to Kantar, meat-free product saw a 9.1 per cent decline in promotions year-on-year, which, along with high inflation, likely contributed to its performance.
While meat imitation products did see spend and volume growth in January, it was the only meat-free category to see increases in both, however, this isn’t expected to continue, as historically (2021–2024) there has been an average decline in volume of -22.5 per cent from January to February (Kantar 4 w/e 26 January 2025).
Cow’s dairy volumes increased by 6.1 per cent in January and saw volume increases in almost all product categories, while plant-based dairy sales increased by just 1 per cent, with volume declines in nearly all plant-based dairy categories, including plant-based cheese, spreads and butter.
Hannah McLoughlin, an AHDB analyst, said, “Our data highlights that consumer interest in meat and dairy-free products is not as strong as it was in previous years.
“The demand for meat and dairy remains resilient, with many consumers showing a preference for traditional products over plant-based options.
“This shift in consumption patterns, coupled with fluctuating promotional activity, suggests that the traditional meat and dairy sectors continue to hold their ground in the face of changing dietary trends.
“AHDB continues to promote the benefits of eating meat and dairy year-round, with our Milk Every Moment, Let’s Eat Balanced and Love Pork campaigns focusing on the great taste and health benefits of these products as part of a healthy balanced diet.”
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Shoppers walk through Birmingham's New Street on February 18, 2025.
Footfall in February remained somewhat stable, notes a recent report, showing a considerable rise observed after the post-Christmas lull with Valentine's Day emerging as the key contributor.
MRI Software’s latest retail footfall data for February revealed a minor dip of -0.3 per cent compared to February 2024 across all UK retail destinations, driven by a -1.5 per cent decline in high street activity.
This annual fall reflects historical trends for February but may have been compounded this year by a particularly severe flu season, ongoing travel disruptions, and the arrival of Storm Herminia; all of which created further obstacles in driving retail and office-based footfall.
Shopping centres and retail parks bucked the trend recording rises of +0.2 per cent and +1.9 per cent, respectively, and continues to reinforce the benefits of enclosed retail destinations.
Despite these challenges, February’s month-on-month footfall provided welcome relief.
Total footfall rose by +7.3 per cent from January as the retail sector moved past the traditional post-Christmas lull.
Key events including the February half-term holiday provided a boost for physical retail destinations, particularly shopping centres and high streets where footfall jumped by +9 per cent and +11.6 per cent, respectively, from the previous week.
Valentine's Day was also another key contributor as footfall rose by +22.3 per cent in all UK retail destinations on this day alone compared to the week before; this was led by a +27.1 per cent rise in high streets, a +15.4 per cent uplift in retail parks, and +18.9 per cent in shopping centres.
Year on year, retail park growth was particularly strong from 5pm-11pm with footfall rising by +20.4 per cent in comparison to the same time period on Valentine's Day last year.
Looking ahead, there is cautious optimism among retailers. MRI Software’s weekly Insights from the Inside survey revealed that 55 per cent of retailers saw stronger sales during February’s half-term break compared to last year.
However, the outlook for March is more reserved, with 58 per cent of retailers expecting lower sales than in 2024 likely due to the later timing of Easter, which shifts key spending into April.
As the sector prepares for the upcoming Spring Budget, attention is turning to how financial policies may further influence consumer confidence and retail spending. Potential changes in tax, public spending, and household support will be closely monitored for its impact on disposable income and retail demand in the months ahead.
A leading retailers' body has called on to introduce interim pricing remedies to reduce card fees after a recent report showed that leading credit cards have been consistently increasing their processing fees, squeezing businesses' ability to invest and grow.
British Retail Consortium (BRC) today (6) raised a demand to introduce interim pricing remedies to reduce fees which have been an unjust burden on merchants, and working towards the introduction of a price cap in the longer term.
According to a report by Payment Systems Regulator (PSR), Mastercard and Visa increased their core scheme and processing fees to acquirers by at least 25 per cent since 2017, costing businesses at least £170 million extra per year.
This increased cost of doing business in the UK impacts on UK businesses’ ability to invest and grow, and could lead to direct economic constraints, particularly for small merchant, states the report.
In addition, a lack of easy-to-understand fee information has led to costs for acquirers and merchants, including small retailers.
The report also notes that existing alternative payment methods to cards do not exert effective competitive constraints on the fees charged by Mastercard and Visa for scheme and processing services.
Cards are the most popular way for consumers to pay for goods and services in the UK. In 2023, 61 per cent of all payments in the UK were made using cards, making up almost 86 per cent of the total value of retail transactions.
Data from BRC shows that in 2023 consumer credit and debit cards accounted for 85.7 per cent of the total value of retail transactions in the UK.
In 2012, cash was the most popular method of payment. However, since then, the use of cash has declined substantially, while cards have grown and are expected to grow even more.
Mastercard and Visa are central to this; over 95 per cent of transactions using UK issued cards are made on their rails.
However, merchants have been raising concerns about the cost of accepting cards and their limited ability to understand or negotiate fees.
Chris Owen, Payments Policy Advisor at BRC, said, "This report confirms the harms arising from the lack of competition in the card schemes market, with fees being introduced without justification or sufficient explanation.
"There has been a 25% increase in scheme fees since 2017 costing businesses an extra £170 million per year. It’s now time for meaningful action. Following the PSR’s findings, it is clear it must go further than the proposed remedies in its interim report.
"This means introducing interim pricing remedies to reduce fees which have been an unjust burden on merchants, and working towards the introduction of a price cap in the longer term."
Love was in the aisle this Valentine's as Brits spend almost £1 billion on flowers, gifts and dine-at-home meals with £962m was spent across Valentine's Day on food and gifting with £5.8m spent on toiletries gift packs and £19m on fragrances.
According to new data released today by NielsenIQ (NIQ), shoppers spent £137m on fresh ready meals (+2.9 per cent), nearly £11m on champagne (+5.7 per cent), and £38m on sparkling wine. There was also increased spend (+ 4.2 per cent) on impulse/confectionery as shoppers indulged in sweet treats to celebrate.
Discounters were the fastest growing channel (+6 per cent) whilst convenience store sales were down (-0.1 per cent).
Retailers embraced the occasion, with promotional spend contributing 24 per cent of sales, supported by continued investment in price cuts and Dine-In offers. While in-stores sales benefited the most (+4.3 per cent), online sales growth remained muted at +0.7 per cent, with market share declining to 12.9 per cent from 13.3 per cent a year ago.
Shoppers took advantage of these promotions with Valentine's food (excluding drinks) seeing value growth of +5.1 per cent and units growing at +0.6 per cent driven by cakes and morning goods indicating a new and affordable way to celebrate the day.
Over the four weeks, meat, fish and poultry was the fastest growing super category (+8.5 per cent) followed by dairy (+6.4 per cent) and produce (+5.7 per cent) as fresh foods were favoured over packaged grocery (+2.4 per cent) and frozen food growth was weaker (+0.7 per cent and -0.6 per cent units).
Beer, wine and spirits remained in decline (-2 per cent and -2.8 per cent in units).
Despite a slow start to the month, NIQ data reveals that grocery multiples saw their strongest growth leading up to Valentine's Day in the week ending 15th February driven by increased shopper visits (+5.9 per cent) as 17 per cent of households looked to celebrate and make special purchases.
Mike Watkins, Head of Retailer and Business Insight at NIQ said, "Retailers capitalised on the opportunities around Valentine's Day as shoppers wanted to create a special occasion at home.
"With the pinch of the cost of living, many shoppers dined in to save money this year, with premium food options growing and themed meals and gifts very much in vogue for treating loved ones.
"There are three things to consider looking ahead. Firstly, the GfK Consumer Confidence Index for February suggested that people don't expect the economy to show any dramatic signs of improvement and with many household bills, such as energy, water and council tax, increasing over the next few weeks, shoppers will be looking carefully at their discretionary spend."
He add, "Secondly, the recent sales trends in Hospitality from CGA show some weakness. Finally, the increase in food inflation reported by BRC NIQ this week looks to be a turning point.
"The overall impact will be that many shoppers will need to seek out more discounts when shopping, in particular from supermarket loyalty schemes - maybe switching some food and drink away from out-of-home to supermarkets."