Increase in National Minimum Wages is having a “detrimental effect” and “negative impact on profitability” of convenience stores at a time when they are already reeling under increased cost of food, fuel and energy.
As per the new directions, National Living Wage for over-23 is now £8.91 to £9.50 an hour. This increase in the minimum wages to UK workers came into force on April 1, benefiting about two million people.
The increase in minimum wage tends to touch upon the lives of store workers as well. As per Statista, convenience stores provide around 392,000 jobs as of 2021.
The new rates, which were announced in October, came just in time as household budgets were facing mounting pressure because of the soaring cost of living.
However, the increase has put extra pressure on convenience store owners who were already facing a reduction in footfall as well as basket size and average spend due to constantly increasing prices and spiking energy bills.
London retailer Pete Patel is resorting to working smartly and cutting down as many extra hours as possible. He has five convenience stores, all under Costcutter fascia, in addition to a Bargain Booze outlet.
“The increase in minimum wage has obviously had a negative effect on my profitability. We are also now looking at how we can get the staff to work smarter, so we don't need as many hours,” Patel told Asian Trader.
Shahid Razzaq
South Lanarkshire-based retailer Mo Razzaq echoed similar sentiment when he revealed how this recent increase in minimum wage has only added to a slew of expense pressure.
“We already had inflation. We also were facing an increase in electric and gas bills. Not to forget a massive increase in petrol and diesel prices. Now this increase in minimum wages is having a detrimental effect on our business,” Razzaq told Asian Trader.
Inflating Yet Shrinking
According to the Lumina Intelligence UK Convenience Market Report 2021, the sector grew by 6.3 percent in 2020, pushing its value up to £43.1 billion.
However, the cost of living crisis is affecting stores as well. Shoppers are choosing discounters over local stores to seek cheapest possible prices and discounts.
The cost of food and fuel in the country has risen sharply, with inflation reaching 9 percent in April — the highest in 40 years. The same month, annual energy bills jumped by 54 percent, amounting to an extra 700 pounds a year on average for each household. Another energy price hike is expected in October, as Russia’s war in Ukraine and rebounding demand after the pandemic push oil and natural gas prices higher.
The prospects for the coming months remain gloomy. Experts have predicted that price rise, exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, will have long lasting effects, spilling to next year as well.
A recent report from the International Monetary Fund said the U.K. is expected to be the slowest-growing economy out of the Group of Seven leading democracies in 2023 as the war sets back the global economic recovery from the pandemic.
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Before the minimum wage was introduced, there were concerns that it would cost jobs, because business owners would compensate for their higher wage expenses by hiring fewer people. Some argued that increases in minimum wage put pressure on businesses and will increase unemployment as businesses seek to protect their bottom line.
This year, the concern is seemingly turning out to be partly true. Although there is no data or evidence to claim that there is an overall loss of jobs linked to the minimum wage, the latest increase in the minimum limit is having its own subtle ripple effects.
Like in cases of small and medium convenience stores, owners are refraining to hire more staff even if there is a requirement. Retailers, to cut down expenses and maintain the profitability of their businesses, are now making extra effort to manage with the present staff and making sure not to expand their workforce.
Patel, who has stores in Brockley, Derbyshire and Brentwood, Essex, informed how he is trying to keep minimum-possible staff though he also does not want to reduce the strength further knowing it will damage the whole system.
“Since we are trying to keep minimum staff, we are running on a tight shift. I don't want to reduce staff even if I want (to cut down the cost) because then that will just reduce the customer service level and other stuff,” he said.
“Since the overall cost is shooting up, we have to be a lot more careful, especially during people's holidays and other stuff. All we are trying is not to put extra staff as it will put extreme pressure and leave me robbed of profit margin,” he said.
The average salary for grocery store jobs is £31,787, with highest pay seen in Central London and lowest in Stoke-on-Trent.
Traditionally, the retail industry has its own way of responding to wage increases, mainly among which are improving workers’ efficiency, investment in technology to automate low-skilled jobs and hiring more under 23s.
This year’s 6.6 percent increase is hurting the retailers more than before.
Like Patel, retailer Razzaq too is rationing strictly on working hours so as to cut down as much extra expense as possible.
“Right now, I am concentrating on managing my workforce efficiently and trying to cut down extra hours,” he said.
Razzaq too claimed that despite struggling with this recent increase in staff wages, he has still not cut down his work force.
He also informed that apart from this aspect, he is working on cutting costs on everything else as well to “tighten the business as much as possible without having a service setback on customers”.
A recent survey by NerdWallet claims that 73 percent consider issues with staff retention a threat to their organisation. 70 percent of small and medium business leaders stated that difficulties in recruiting new employees pose a major threat to their business. More than one in four (26 percent) consider recruitment issues to pose a major threat to their business, says the report.
Contrarily, both Patel and Razzaq denied facing any workforce availability issue at the moment. Their core issue remains to cut down expenses and be more efficient when it comes to maximum utilisation of their resources.
Although present in every segment and industry, it is retail, care and hospitality sectors that account for a large number of minimum wage jobs. The new guidance is supposed to cover everyone including part-time workers, casual, agency workers, piecemeal workers, apprentices, trainees, workers on probation, disabled workers, agricultural workers, foreign workers, seafarers or offshore workers.
Higher Prices, Lower Profits
Increase in wages may be impacting small and medium businesses in these decades-high inflationary times but the move seems to have done its bit in uplifting low-paid workers as well.
According to a new analysis from the Resolution Foundation published last week, the share of low-paid workers in the UK has hit a record low and is on track to be "eliminated" by 2024.
The report found that the introduction and elevation of the minimum wage has helped to reduce low pay this year to a joint record low of 13 percent in 2021.
However, the number of low-earning self-employed has gone up, says the report.
Separate data from the ONS showed average wages continued to fall behind the rate of inflation. Earnings in March shot up by 9.9 percent on the year, regular earnings excluding bonuses fell by 1.9 percent although wages excluding bonuses jumped 4.2 percent in the first quarter.
(Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP via Getty Images)
The figures suggest that the latest 6.6 percent increase in the national living wage will not do as much as ministers had intended. New minimum wage rates are proposed each year by the Low Pay Commission. There is an explicit government target for the National Living Wage – two-thirds of the national median wage by 2024, conditional on wider economic conditions.
However, average wage growth, despite being accelerated, is still failing to keep pace with inflation.
According to a last year’s survey, 21-23 percent of retail firms said they had responded to past minimum wage increases by raising their prices.
As stores may not have the ability to reduce profits, it seems likely that they will respond to the minimum wage increase by adjusting their prices and figuring out further the best possible ways to make their workers more productive.
UK retail sales rose less than expected in the runup to Christmas, according to official data Friday that deals a fresh blow to government hopes of growing the economy.
Separate figures revealed a temporary reprieve for prime minister Keir Starmer, however, as public borrowing fell sharply in November.
The updates follow news this week of higher inflation in Britain - an outcome that caused the Bank of England on Thursday to leave interest rates unchanged.
Retail sales by volume grew 0.2 per cent in November after a drop of 0.7 per cent in October, the Office for National Statistics said Friday.
That was less than analysts' consensus for a 0.5-percent gain.
"It is critical delayed spending materialises this Christmas to mitigate the poor start to retail's all-important festive season," noted Nicholas Found, senior consultant at Retail Economics.
"However, cautiousness lingers, slowing momentum in the economy. Households continue to adjust to higher prices (and) elevated interest rates."
He added that consumers were focused on buying "carefully timed promotions and essentials, while deferring bigger purchases".
The ONS reported that supermarkets benefited from higher food sales.
"Clothing stores sales dipped sharply once again, as retailers reported tough trading conditions," said Hannah Finselbach, senior statistician at the ONS.
Retail sales rose 0.2% in November 2024, following a fall of 0.7% in October 2024.
Growth in supermarkets and other non-food stores was partly offset by a fall in clothing retailers.
The Labour government's net borrowing meanwhile dropped to £11.2 billion last month, the lowest November figure in three years on higher tax receipts and lower debt-interest, the ONS added.
The figure had been £18.2 billion in October.
"Borrowing remains subject to upside risks... due to sticky interest rates, driven by markets repricing for fewer cuts in 2025," forecast Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.
Jacqui Baker, head of retail at RSM UK and chair of ICAEW’s Retail Group, commented that the later than usual Black Friday weekend meant November’s retail sales figures saw only a slight uptick as cost-conscious consumers held off to bag a bargain.
“Despite many retailers launching Black Friday offers early, November trade got off to a slow start which dragged on for most of the month. This was driven by clothing which fell to its lowest level since January 2022. The only saving grace was half-term and Halloween spending helped to slightly offset disappointing sales throughout November,” Baker said.
“As consumer confidence continues to build and shoppers return to the high street, this should translate into more retail spending next year. However, there are big challenges coming down the track for the sector, so retailers will be banking on a consumer-led recovery to come to fruition so they can combat a surge in costs.”
Thomas Pugh, economist at RSM UK, added: “The tick up in retail sales volumes in November suggests that the stagnation which has gripped the UK economy since the summer continued into the final months of the year.
“While the recent strong pay growth numbers may make the Bank of England uncomfortable, it means that real incomes are growing at just under 3 per cent, which suggests consumer spending should gradually rise next year. However, consumers remain extremely cautious. The very sharp drop in clothing sales in particular could suggest that consumers are cutting back on non-essential purchases.
“We still expect a rise in consumer spending next year, due to strong wage growth and a gradual decline in the saving rate, to help drive an acceleration in GDP growth. But the risks are clearly building that cautious consumers choose to save rather than spend increases in income, raising the risk of weaker growth continuing through the first half of next year.”
Dutch dairy collective FrieslandCampina has agreed to merge with smaller Belgian rival Milcobel, creating a leading dairy cooperative.
FrieslandCampina, whose brands include Yazoo and Chocomel, said the merger will provide the foundation for a future-oriented organisation that has dairy front and centre for member dairy farmers, employees, consumers, and customers.
The proposed merger is subject to approval by FrieslandCampina’s members’ council, Milcobel’s extraordinary meeting of shareholders, and antitrust authorities. The companies said member dairy farmers, employees, works councils and trade unions have been informed about the merger proposal.
Both companies, owned by dairy farmers for many generations, complement each other well in market positions and product portfolios. The merger offers further business development opportunities in market segments such as consumer cheese, mozzarella, white dairy products (such as milk, buttermilk, and yoghurt), and ingredients, as well as benefits in efficiency and expertise, for example in the area of sustainability.
“The combination of FrieslandCampina and Milcobel is bigger than the sum of its parts. It creates a future-oriented, combined dairy cooperative that is resilient and capable of capitalising on opportunities in the dynamic global dairy market,” said Sybren Attema, chair of the board of Zuivelcoöperatie FrieslandCampina.
“This strengthens our appeal to member dairy farmers, business partners and employees. Moreover, this step supports us in realising a leading milk price for our member dairy farmers, now and in the future.”
Betty Eeckhaut, chair of the board of Milcobel, said: “The cooperative philosophy, which is deeply rooted at both Milcobel and FrieslandCampina, is the bedrock for this proposed merger. Our goal remains to create added value for our member dairy farmers.
“Through our regional complementarity we will become the cooperative dairy partner of choice for current and new members, with a solid milk supply for a successful future. For employees, the new organisation provides great opportunities to grow in an international environment. For customers, this merger means more innovation, an expanded product portfolio and further professionalisation of our services.”
Based on the combined 2023 annual figures of FrieslandCampina and Milcobel - excluding Milcobel's Ysco business, which is in the process of being divested - the new, combined organisation has a pro forma revenue of more than €14 billion (£11.6bn) , operates in 30 countries, employs nearly 22,000 staff worldwide, and processes a total volume of approximately 10 billion kilograms of milk.
The boards of the cooperatives and executive management of the two parties have signed a framework agreement regarding the proposed merger. The companies aim to finalise a detailed merger proposal in the first half of 2025, which will then be discussed with the members of FrieslandCampina and the shareholders of Milcobel.
The UK government has pledged stronger measures to combat anti-social behaviour and shoplifting, which it acknowledges as serious crimes that disrupt communities and harm businesses.
Addressing a House of Lords debate on Monday, Home Office minister Lord Hanson detailed plans to abolish the controversial £200 shoplifting threshold and to introduce a new offence for assaults on retail workers.
“Anti-social behaviour and shop theft are not minor crimes. They cause disruption in our communities,” Lord Hanson stated.
“Shop theft in particular costs retailers across the nation millions of pounds, which is passed on to us as customers, and it is not acceptable. That is why, on shop theft, we are going to end the £200 effective immunity. For shop workers, we will protect them by introducing a new offence, because they are very often upholding the law in their shops on alcohol, tobacco and other sales.”
He also emphasised the government’s commitment to restoring visible neighbourhood policing, with 13,000 additional officers and Police Community Support Officers (PCSOs) planned, as well as piloting new “respect orders” to ban repeat offenders from town centres.
Later on Wednesday, the home secretary announced a £1 billion funding boost for police across England and Wales to restore neighbourhood policing. The money will include new funding of £100 million to kickstart the recruitment of 13,000 additional neighbourhood officers, community support officers and special constables.
The debate was initiated by Labour peer Baroness Ayesha Hazarika, who painted a vivid picture of the toll anti-social behaviour takes on workers and communities. “Many people who work in shops feel like they are living in a war zone,” she said. “Anti-social behaviour can so often be the canary down the coal mine and tell a wider story about what kind of society we are living in.”
Baroness Hazarika also urged the use of technology such as facial recognition to target hardened criminals responsible for terrorising shops and local residents.
Lord Hanson agreed, adding that the government is equipping police with the resources to better address persistent offenders, including funding initiatives like Operation Pegasus, which targets organised retail crime.
Retail trade union Usdaw has welcomed the Lords debate tackling anti-social behaviour and shoplifting.
“We very much welcome that Baroness Hazarika has raised this hugely important issue for our members. It is shocking that over two-thirds of our members working in retail are suffering abuse from customers, with far too many experiencing threats and violence,” Paddy Lillis, Usdaw general secretary, said.
“After 14 years of successive Tory governments not delivering the change we need on retail crime, we are pleased that the new Labour government announced a Crime and Policing Bill in the King’s Speech and all the measures that it contains, as set out by Lord Hanson.
“The chancellor announced in the Budget funding to tackle the organised criminals responsible for the increase in shoplifting, and the government has promised more uniformed officer patrols in shopping areas. It is our hope that these new measures will help give shop workers the respect they deserve.”
In response to the mounting pressures faced by postmasters across the UK, the Post Office has unveiled a centralised wellbeing platform aimed at simplifying access to support resources.
Post Office said the surge in shoplifting and violent incidents, documented in the 2024 ACS Crime Report, has only intensified the demand for comprehensive support.
With shoplifting on the rise year-on-year since 2021, and the Christmas trading period presenting heightened risks due to increased footfall and stock levels, the wellbeing of postmasters has become a pressing concern.
The new wellbeing platform, accessible via the Branch Hub app, provides a single point of access to a range of resources designed to meet Postmasters' immediate and ongoing needs. It is divided into three sections:
‘I Need Help Right Now’: Offers urgent support, including access to emergency services, mental health first aiders, , area and business support managers and organisations like Samaritans.
‘More Support and Guidance’: Provides practical tools such as security advice, social media abuse resources, and connections to organisations like Citizens Advice and Mind.
‘Access Community Support’: Encourages peer connections through WhatsApp and Facebook groups, as well as in-person meetings.
The initiative, a collaboration between the Post Office, the National Federation of Sub-Postmasters (NFSP), and Voice of the Postmaster, underscores a shift towards a more cooperative approach between historically independent groups, and creates a shared wellbeing network that is accessible to all postmasters, regardless of affiliation.
Mark Eldridge, postmaster experience director at Post Office, said the initiative will ensure that anyone who needs help can find it quickly and easily.
“It’s about creating a culture of care and resilience in the face of the challenges our postmasters face every day. If the initiative means helping just one postmaster, then we have done our job successfully,” Eldridge added.
Tony Fleming, postmaster at Thorne Post Office, shared how the initiative provided vital support following a traumatic armed robbery at his branch.
“It was incredibly difficult for the person faced with this violent threat, as well as the wider team. It’s a traumatic experience to go through as part of your day job and having the immediate support of the Wellbeing resource was invaluable – it really was wellbeing personified and gave me and everyone in the branch the support to get back to doing what we do best, serving our fantastic community in Thorne,” Fleming said.
Paul Patel, a Hampshire-based postmaster, echoed this sentiment, highlighting the platform’s ability to combat isolation and foster collaboration:
“It has been a difficult time for all postmasters who continue to serve their communities every day often feeling alone in their daily work life. It’s such a privilege to collaborate across the network to support Postmasters wellbeing from forming friendships to guiding for more professional support.”
Christine Donnelly of the NFSP highlighted the initiative’s accessibility and symbolic value.
“From a postmaster perspective this works on several levels. It is an easily accessible resource that offers advice and facts, but it also says by implication that we care, that participants from different areas of the business recognised a need and worked together to make it the best it could be,” Donnelly noted.
“It says you are not alone or the only one - how can you be if there is a whole site available?”
The Post Office plans to evolve the platform based on postmaster feedback, ensuring it remains relevant to emerging challenges.
Earlier this week, Post Office has announced a £20 million boost for postmasters to address their concerns that their income has not kept up with inflation over the past decade.
Both independent postmasters and Post Office’s retail partners that operate branches on its behalf will receive the top-up payment ahead of Christmas. The top-up payment will be based on both the standard fixed and variable remuneration the branch received in November.
Independent retailers have weathered one of their most challenging years in 2024, with multiple headwinds affecting the sector, according to the British Independent Retailers Association (Bira).
With pressures mounting throughout the year, independent retailers have faced an increasingly difficult trading environment marked by changing consumer behaviour and economic uncertainties.
"2024 has presented unprecedented challenges for independent retailers,” said Andrew Goodacre, CEO of Bira. “Consumer spending on non-food items has declined significantly, while persistent footfall problems and fragile consumer confidence have impacted high streets nationwide. Despite inflation coming under control, interest rates are falling slowly, affecting both business and consumer spending."
"The retail landscape has become increasingly competitive, with large chains implementing deeper and longer discount periods. The rise of ultra-fast fashion retailers like Shein and Temu has created additional pressure on margins, whilst deflation on non-food items has further squeezed profits," he added.
The sector has also grappled with retail crime, with Bira's latest survey showing 78.79 per cent of businesses reporting increased frequency or severity of theft incidents.
Research from PwC earlier this year also highlighted the scale of the challenge, with 6,945 outlets shutting – equating to 38 store closures per day, up from 36 per day in 2023. The figure outnumbered the rate of new store openings, which rose modestly to 4,661, averaging 25 openings each day.
Mr Goodacre said: "The key difficulties independent retailers are grappling with include low consumer demand, as consumer confidence remains fragile and shoppers are highly value-focused. Independent shops struggle to compete on price as large chains are able to discount more deeply and for longer periods."
Looking ahead to 2025, retailers face new challenges. He added: "Medium-sized retailers will see a significant increase in employment costs, while thousands of smaller retailers will be hit with higher business rates as relief drops from 75per cent to 40 per cent."
However, Mr Goodacre said he sees reasons for optimism and added: "We expect 2025 to bring some positive changes. Wages are set to rise faster than inflation, which should boost consumer spending. Both inflation and interest rates should continue to fall, helping to rebuild consumer confidence."
"The circular economy presents a growing opportunity for independent retailers, and with economic growth set to improve, we anticipate better trading conditions. While challenges remain, independent retailers who stay adaptable and resilient will find opportunities in the year ahead."