The total value of the world’s top 10 most valuable tobacco brands has decreased by 6 per cent, with eight out of ten brands experiencing a decline in brand value this year, according to the latest ranking by Brand Finance, the leading brand valuation consultancy.
The ranking has revealed a significant shift in the industry towards smokeless alternatives, driven by changing consumer preferences and increasing regulatory pressures. Despite these changes, traditional combustible tobacco brands remain the most valuable, supported by loyal customer bases and effective pricing strategies.
IQOS, brand value up 8 per cent to $3.5 billion (£2.62bn), is the fastest-growing tobacco brand, driven by rising revenue from smoke-free products. Philip Morris International reported smoke-free products reached nearly 40 per cent of total net revenues in the fourth quarter of 2023. This was driven by the continued growth of IQOS, which has now surpassed Marlboro in net revenues.
Despite a 6 per cent drop in brand value to $32.6bn, Marlboro retains its position as the world’s most valuable tobacco brand for the tenth consecutive year. It leads the sector by a significant margin, with a brand value more than five times that of L&M, which holds the second spot.
Altria, which owns Marlboro in the US, and Philip Morris International, which owns the brand elsewhere, have both faced declining revenue from combustible products. Altria has struggled with lower shipment volumes and increased promotional investments, including a recent 17-cent per pack price increase on Marlboro and other brands in the US. Similarly, Philip Morris has reported a drop in revenue from combustible tobacco. Nevertheless, Marlboro retains its top position due to its loyal customer base and strong promotional strategies.
L&M (brand value $6.2bn) has climbed to second in the ranking, despite recording a 2 per cent decline in brand value. It has overtaken Pall Mall, which now sits in third following a 9 per cent loss in brand value to $5.9bn. L&M’s brand value has taken a hit as shipment volumes have declined. L&M is the sector’s strongest brand with a Brand Strength Index score of 77 out of 100.
“While Marlboro continues to lead as the most valuable tobacco brand for the tenth consecutive year, the industry is undergoing significant transformation. The rise of smokeless alternatives like IQOS highlights shifting consumer preferences and changing market dynamics,” Richard Haigh, global managing director at Brand Finance, said.
“Earlier this year, BAT's announcement of a $31.5bnn impairment on the value of some of its US cigarette brands marked the first significant write-down in a major market. Acknowledging the reality that the market for traditional cigarettes is shrinking and taking action should be seen both as a bold and an important step in addressing an existential problem for the company. With 8 out of the top 10 brands experiencing declines in value, tobacco giants must be brave in admitting market shifts and strategically planning their next moves to sustain global dominance and relevance."
Chesterfield (brand value $3.1bn) has maintained its brand value year-on-year and advanced one position to seventh place. The brand has seen a rise in shipment volume, with an 8 per cent increase in Q4 2022 and a 14 per cent increase for the full year which has contributed to its stable brand value this year.
The latest rankings highlight the dominance of US tobacco brands, which make up a remarkable 92 per cent of the total brand value in the ranking, totalling $61bn. Only two brands in the ranking are from outside the US, the UK’s Rothmans (brand value down 8 per cent to $2.9bn) and Indonesia’s Sampoerna (brand value down 12 per cent to $2.7bn).
Consumer confidence in the UK economy has taken another hit, with expectations reaching a new low, states the latest industry data, ringing alarm bells ahead of upcoming hikes scheduled in April on multiple fronts.
While households are also gloomier about their own personal finances, retailers are also facing mounting challenges, with rising operational costs and potential hiring freezes on the horizon.
According to BRC-Opinium data released today (20), consumer expectations over the next three months of the state of the economy worsened to -37 in February, down from -34 in January. This is the fifth consecutive month in which expectations have worsened.
Their personal financial situation dropped to -11 in February, down from -4 in January while their personal spending on retail rose to -5 in February, up from -9 in January.
Their personal spending overall remained at +4 in February, the same as in January and their personal saving remained at -3 in February, the same as in January, shows the BRC data.
Helen Dickinson, Chief Executive of the British Retail Consortium, says, "People’s expectations of the economy reached a new low, having fallen almost 40pts since July 2024.
"Even Gen Z (18-27), the most upbeat generation on the economy and their own finances, saw a drop off in optimism. There was also a widening gender divide in confidence this month, with women more pessimistic than men about both the economy and their own finances by 13 and 17pts respectively.
"With many businesses warning of the impact that April’s employer NIC’s increase will have on hiring, and the rising energy price cap pushing up the cost of domestic bills, it is little surprise that many households are worried.
"And while there was a positive increase in expectations of personal retail spending, this may be largely driven by the expectations of higher prices in the future."
Expectations of higher prices are not unfounded, with two-thirds of retailers saying prices will have to rise as a result of the £7bn in additional costs, including higher employer NICs and a new packaging levy, Dickinson says.
"Almost half of retailers also warned of hiring freezes, with entry-level jobs often among the first to go as they seek any cost efficiencies to help them protect customers from the worst of the rising costs.
"As the Government bill on the future of business rates progresses through Parliament, it is essential that no shop ends up paying more in rates as a result of these reforms, otherwise retailers will face a triple whammy of Budget costs, business rates rises, and new packaging and recycling levies, all of which will filter through to consumer prices.”
In its latest activation campaign to reach out to convenience retailers, PepsiCo has partnered with wholesaler Parfetts to introduce its new launch Doritos Dinamita range.
The activation will take place in Parfetts depots in Aintree, Birmingham, Somercotes, Sheffield, and Stockport, providing strong visibility for the launch. The Big Ticket promotion will run for three weeks across depots, digital platforms, and retail channels.
As part of the campaign, three stores will undergo a full brand transformation, featuring exclusive Doritos Dinamita branding both inside and outside.
These stores include Go Local Extra Coventry Road in Birmingham, Go Local Belle Vue in Middlesbrough, and Go Local Extra in Moss Bay, Manchester, where the promotion will be rolled out in the coming weeks.
PepsiCo has introduced Doritos Dinamita, a rolled tortilla chip snack, to the UK in response to the increasing demand for spicy flavours.
Launching exclusively in the convenience sector, Doritos Dinamita is available in a £1.25 price-marked pack (65g) from the end of February.
It will join PepsiCo’s existing Extra Flamin’ Hot range, which includes Walkers Max, Doritos, and Wotsits Crunchy, which have collectively sold over 4.8 million packs in the impulse channel since the launch last March.
Ed Merrett, wholesale controller at PepsiCo, comments, “As an exclusive launch for the convenience channel, it has been vital for us to partner with our wholesale customers to ensure Doritos Dinamita is truly unmissable among retailers and shoppers.
"Collaborating with Parfetts has enabled us to plan exciting in-depot activity to drive awareness and store distribution, but also to activate across some of their Go Local stores with full Dinamita-inspired takeovers.
“When our customers get behind a launch like this, it’s a win-win for everyone involved. At this early stage of launch, capturing shopper attention is key to success, and we’re proud to have partnered with the Go Local symbol group to do just that.
"From in-store POS and engagement to full window wraps, we’re passionate about shining a light on the exclusivity of this product to the channel and driving shopper footfall as a result.”
The activation includes extensive brand exposure, high-visibility front-of-depot placement, a full depot takeover, checkout screen promotions, and comprehensive retail point-of-sale (POS) kits.
Digital support extends across WhatsApp marketing and email campaigns to reinforce awareness.
In-store activity will feature tailored retailer communications, consumer leaflets, full retail store POS kits, and support from retail development advisors to drive sales and encourage wider stocking across the Go Local symbol group.
Brands looking to expand their presence in independent retail can contact their Parfetts trading representative to explore opportunities within the Big Ticket promotion.
Jamie Ferguson, head of marketing at Parfetts, said, “The Big Ticket promotion was designed for big retail events like this, and our collaboration with PepsiCo ensures a compelling 360 campaign from wholesale through to retail that delivers value to our customers.
"At Parfetts, we use data, insights, and expertise to maximise the impact of each Big Ticket promotion, driving engagement and sales.”
Parfetts depots are in Aintree, Anfield, Birmingham, Halifax, Middlesbrough, Sheffield, Somercotes and Stockport. It recently announced plans to open a new depot in Southampton that will serve the South-East and South-West.
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Usdaw general secretary Paddy Lillis announces retirement
Usdaw General Secretary Paddy Lillis Announces Retirement
Leading retail trade union Usdaw general secretary Paddy Lillis is set to retire in July after serving seven years in the role.
Lillis has been a full-time official at Usdaw for over 35 years. He had previously held the post of deputy general secretary for 14 years.
In his time as General Secretary, Lillis has overseen the launch of a number of high-profile Usdaw campaigns, including a Retail Recovery Plan and the New Deal for Workers.
He has worked with retailers and employers’ groups, such as the British Retail Consortium, to highlight the issues facing the retail sector, and led campaigns calling for clear government action.
Lillis has also driven forward the Union’s Freedom From Fear campaign, which delivered new legal protections for shop workers in Scotland, with England, Wales and Northern Ireland set to follow suit.
He serves on the TUC Executive Committee and TUC General Council, and he is a member of the TUC Anti-Racism Taskforce. He has also introduced a programme of work within Usdaw to improve representation of Black members at all levels in the Union.
Speaking about his retirement, Lillis said, "It has been a real privilege to serve Usdaw over the years and I feel proud of what we have achieved together.
"My time as General Secretary has brought many challenges, but I will be retiring with the Union in very good shape financially and with growing membership.
“The Union has campaigned tirelessly for many years for increased protection for retail workers and stronger rights at work, and I will be leaving at a time when the Labour Government will be delivering on some of our campaigns.”
Dave McCrossen, Deputy General Secretary, has also announced he will be retiring in July after seven years in the role. Dave has been a full-time official for over 35 years.
A former employee of the Co-operative Retail Society, McCrossen started his Usdaw career when he became an Area Organiser in 1989.
16 years later he was promoted to Deputy Divisional Officer. Working closely with Lillis, he was responsible for developing the organising agenda within the Division and seeing it grow from 39,000 members to more than 65,000.
In 2014, he was successful in securing the position of Divisional Officer.
Inflation in the UK accelerated more than expected last month due to higher food costs and transport costs as well as a jump in private school fees.
The latest data, released today (19) by the Office for National Statistics, shows that the consumer prices index (CPI) measure of inflation rose to 3 per cent in the 12 months to January, up from 2.5 per cent in December. Economists had expected inflation to climb to 2.8 per cent in January.
Responding to the latest CPI inflation figures, Kris Hamer, Director of Insight of the British Retail Consortium (BRC), said, "Headline inflation rose to its highest point in almost a year, driven by rising food inflation and air fares.
"While the inflation rate of clothing and footwear increased, extensive discounting by retailers saw prices decreasing significantly on the month.
"The same was true for furniture and household equipment, which despite decreasing in price on the month, returned to inflation for the first time in ten months.
"Food inflation jumped significantly as retailers anticipated significant additional costs such as the changes to Employers’ National Insurance and increases to the National Living Wage, coming into force in April.
"There was however some good news as some key foods such as pasta, potatoes and olive oil did drop in price on the month.
"A rise in the headline rate of inflation to start 2025 is likely a sign of things to come given the £7 billion worth of additional costs the retail industry is facing this year. Prices are expected to rise across the board over the course of the year.
"If the government wishes to keep inflation under control, which would ease the burden on consumers, it should mitigate the huge cumulative costs facing the retail industry.
"Speeding up business rates reform or delaying new packaging taxes would help ease the pressure on prices for the rest of 2025."
This comes as retailers are bracing for hike in National Insurance contribution as well as rise in minimum wages.
Earlier this year, BRC CEO Helen Dickinson warned that food prices will rise by an average of 4.2 per cent in the latter half of the year"
She said, "As retailers battle the £7 billion of increased costs in 2025 from the Budget, including higher employer NI, National Living Wage, and new packaging levies, there is little hope of prices going anywhere but up.
"Modelling by the BRC and retail CFOs suggest food prices will rise by an average of 4.2 per cent in the latter half of the year, while Non-food will return firmly to inflation.
"Government can still take steps to mitigate these price pressures, and it must ensure that its proposed reforms to business rates do not result in any stores paying more in rates than they do already."
Arla Foods today (19) reported strong year growth in 2024, marking the second-highest level in Arla’s history and reflecting strong market demand and effective cost management.
Arla Foods UK saw branded revenues increase by 7.6 per cent last year, with its Arla brand up over 10 per cent and Lurpak increasing 7.5 per cent.
Meanwhile, its Arla Protein range made significant gains, growing at 28.6 per cent and Arla Skyr rose by 21.5 per cent in a particularly strong year for the group’s yogurt brands.
Arla’s UK foodservice division also saw good volume growth at over 22 per cent, with strategic branded revenue growth finishing the year at over 17 per cent.
However, following changes in the external landscape, such as lower prices and overall milk volume declines, plus adjustments to private label volumes, Arla’s UK revenue declined 2.9 per cent year-on-year.
Bas Padberg, Managing Director of Arla Foods UK, commented, “2024 was clearly a year of strong branded growth, which really highlights the power of the portfolio and product mix we have, as shoppers look for quality, nutritious and tasty products.
“As a cooperative, everything we do is to drive the best possible returns for our owners, so through strong collaboration and the support of the farmers, our customers and the whole business, means we can give back to our farmers for the hard work they do in producing our food and investing for the future of the dairy industry.”
Padberg added, “As a nutrient dense food, milk can play an important role in contributing to a healthy, balanced diet.
“Supporting people with access to quality dairy products is something we are hugely passionate about and will continue to do into 2025.”
In November last year, Arla Foods launched three new branded yogurt products, signalling its ambition to invest and grow its yogurts portfolio.
The new products include Arla Lacto FREE natural yogurt (400g), Arla Skyr Whipped (128g) – in three flavours – and Arla Protein yogurt, in a larger pot (450g).