Prime minister Rishi Sunak’s policy to introduce a phased generational smoking ban (if it comes into effect) will have profound consequences and long-term deep impact on retailers who will be piled with confusing legal hassles, Asian Trader has learnt. While the responsibility of the ban’s implementation will seemingly fall on retailers, the tobacco market on the other hand is also feared to further fall into the hands of organised criminal gangs.
Under the Tobacco and Vapes Bill introduced on March 20, children turning 15 this year or younger will never legally be sold tobacco. The government states that this policy will ensure that future generations are protected from the harmful impacts of smoking and thus saving thousands of lives as well as billions of NHS’ pounds.
Superficially, the bill sounds like a simple plan, but it has confusing layers. It is feared that it will prove to be a challenge to implement by convenience stores, otherwise whose major share of footfall and sales come from this product line.
Under this plan, anyone born on or after Jan 1 2009 will never legally be able to buy tobacco. This means that after Jan 1 2027, the minimum legal age of buying buy tobacco will change to 19-years’ old (on or after 1 January 2028); 20-years’ old (on or after 1 January 2029); 21-years’ old (on or after 1 January 2030) and so on, with the minimum age increasing with every passing year until it applies to the whole population.
Sound confusing? If not, then picture a time few years down the line when a retailer and his staff will be held responsible if he is not able to prohibit sales to 36-year-olds while granting the same to 37-year-olds.
Tobacco Manufacturers' Association (TMA) has labeled generational smoking ban as “unworkable, illiberal and unenforceable”.
In response to the publication of the Tobacco & Vapes Bill, Rupert Lewis, Director of the TMA, said, “Sunak’s policy to introduce a phased generational smoking ban will have profound consequences for consumers, retailers and local communities across the UK”.
Leading tobacco company JTI UK has also expressed extreme disappointment over the Tobacco and Vapes Bill.
Sarah Connor, Communications Director at JTI UK, told Asian Trader, “We are disappointed by the proposals made in the Tobacco and Vapes Bill. A generational ban takes away the right of adult consumers to make their own choices solely based on their year of birth and sets a worrying precedent for this type of discriminatory approach to other products.
Sarah Connor, Communications Director at JTI
“JTI is committed to the concept of informed choice across the spectrum of conventional tobacco products and alternative nicotine products such as vaping products, heated tobacco products and nicotine pouches. Providing adult consumers with a choice of products, including those that have the potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking, is surely a more rational approach than an unproven concept of a generational ban.”
Connor further added that similar proposals were considered but discontinued in Singapore, which has chosen to await more evidence, and Malaysia, which has concluded that it would be unconstitutional.
In New Zealand, which passed a similar law earlier in 2023, the new Government will now repeal the policy before its implementation.
The bill also talks about introducing new powers to restrict vape flavours and packaging as well as their placement in the stores. Additionally and separately, the government is committed to outrightly ban the sale and supply of disposable vapes from April 2025. But that’s a discussion for another day.
Impact on Retailers
Under the bill, enforcement officers’ powers will also be strengthened with ‘on the spot fines’ of £100 to uphold the new laws. This builds on a maximum £2,500 fine that local authorities can already impose.
Clearly, the onus of making the UK “smokefree” seems to be falling entirely and solely on the shoulders of retailers.
Every year, the ‘proof of age’ requirements will change and the only way for retailers to ensure that they are not breaking the law will be to check and scrutinise the photographic ID card with every purchase, keeping in mind the year factor.
A situation like this presents a perfect ground for conflict for retailers who are otherwise already reeling under record crime rates and abuse levels, as reflected by wider industry reports.
The British Retail Consortium’s most recent annual Crime Survey, published in February 2024, found that UK retailers now suffer more than 1,300 incidents of violence and verbal abuse every day – compared to 870 incidents recorded last year and a huge 180 per cent increase from 450 incidents a day in 2019-20.
The Scottish Grocers’ Federation reported that “over half of reported daily incidents of abuse against staff were connected to refusing a sale or when asking for proof of age”.
The 2024 Crime Report by Association of Convenience Stores (ACS), released in early March revealed that an overwhelming majority (87 per cent) of people working in convenience stores have faced verbal abuse over the last year. The same report ranked "enforcing the law on age restricted sales” as top triggers for abuse. Sadly, the reality is that overstretched police force is somewhere seems to be failing to combat retail crime.
A generational smoking ban will further require retailers to decline sales to fully-grown adults (who can otherwise buy alcohol!) who cannot present satisfactory photographic ID.
iStock image
Slamming the bill, Lewis from TMA sais, “Fast forward a few years and a phased generational smoking ban will see retailers having to differentiate between 28-year-olds and 29-year-olds when selling tobacco. This is not common sense!
“The introduction of a phased generational ban will lead to an escalation in more threatening anti-social behaviour towards retailers, as the weight of responsibility for enforcement will fall entirely on the shoulders of shopkeepers and their staff.
“The New Zealand government has seen sense and repealed a ‘generational ban’ before it was implemented, and the UK government would be wise to adopt a similar approach, because the repercussions of introducing a ‘tobacco prohibition law’ will be long-lasting and felt by communities across the UK for years to come,” he told Asian Trader.
Elaborating on the impact, Connor from JTI called the proposed generational ban “a deeply impractical law for retailers”.
“This will mean that by 2037, 28-year-oldswon’t be able to buy tobacco products, but 29-year-olds will. Retailers will be expected to distinguish this difference in age when deciding whom to sell tobacco products to,” she told Asian Trader.
Referring to asking ID for age verification as leading common triggers for abuse, Connor added, “Having spoken to retailers, we know that many are worried that the proposed ban would lead to an increase in threatening or violent behaviour towards them.”
A JTI survey found that 55 per cent of retailers are worried that the proposed changes will make ID checks more complicated for their staff, with 58 per cent stating it will impact staff training specifically around underage sales.
Illegal Trade
A major yet obvious repercussion clear in sight here is the rise in illegal trade and underground market.
JTI’s survey also supports this view.
Connor told Asian Trader, “Over two-thirds (67 per cent) of the retailers told us that the generational tobacco ban would likely lead to an increase in illicit tobacco activity, and there is concern within the industry that illegal products will become more prevalent, damaging sales for the majority of hard-working retailers."
TMA also points out that prohibition of legal products always has dangerous side effects and opens the door to criminal gangs to sell illegal products, as was seen in South Africa in 2020, following a temporary ban on tobacco products during the COVID lockdown.
Criminals were ready to fill the gap, and 93 per cent of smokers in South Africa bought tobacco from criminals through the lockdown.
Lewis from TMA stated, “As a policy, it is unworkable, illiberal and unenforceable, and risks pushing an even larger share of the UK’s tobacco market underground – with every passing year – into the hands of the organised crime gangs that spread violence and disorder up and down our country.”
Noteworthy here is that illegal trade of cigarettes and tobacco products is not new in the country. The trade, its logistics and supply chain exist and is flourishing already, as reflected by regular media and councils’ reports. Such a ban will only further boost underground trade.
Smuggled tobacco already costs law-abiding retailers thousands of pounds as smokers switch to cheaper, un-taxed and un-regulated illegal products, pointed out TMA. A generational ban will hand more and more of the UK tobacco market to criminals every year.
To smoke or not to smoke
This proposed generational smoking ban is now a burning political issue and seems to be dividing Tories.
Greg Smith, a Tory backbencher, said the extra powers for councils to issue fines risk irking core small businesses.
“I would anticipate there will be a significant bite-back. There could be upwards of 80 MPs on the Conservative benches opposing this.”
If a Tory rebellion grows, the bill may rely on support from Labour to pass. Labour, on the other hand, is calling Sunak’s generational ban “a gimmick”.
“No thought appears to have been given to the pressure this places on retailers, who will be asked to determine not whether someone is an adult, but whether they were born after 2009, a moving target as time goes on,” states Labour.
Democratic Unionist Party MP Ian Paisley Jr, also the Vice Chair of the All-Party Parliamentary Group for Retail Crime, Safe and Sustainable High Streets, feels that generational ban will put shopkeepers at risk.
Tobacco makers, meanwhile, are calling on retailers to raise their voice while there is still time.
Lewis said, “As the bill is debated in Parliament, there is still time for retailers to take action and ensure their voices are heard. The best way to do this is for retailers to contact their local MP to express any concerns they may have around the bill. Whilst this isn’t impacting them directly today, the proposed ban will have serious repercussions in the years to come, so it is incredibly important retailers have their say now and speak to their local MP.”
Retailers can easily find their MP using the ‘Find Your MP’ site and can share an email or letter expressing their opinions directly.
There are plenty of laws today that can be used to restrict access to tobacco and other nicotine products by youth. All seem to be characterised by lack of enforcement. It will surely not help to pile the legislation with this recent phased generational ban on tobacco, a confusing policy that is expected to impact retailers badly.
Natural cheese slice brand Leerdammer has launched a new initiative, "Talk It Out", in support of YoungMinds. The new mental health programme will use comedy to help parents and young people to get talking and have better conversations about mental wellbeing.
Research shows that three-quarters (76 per cent) of parents said their children’s mental health had deteriorated while waiting for support from Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS).
To launch Talk It Out, award-winning Bristol born comedian Stuart Goldsmith performed a one-off special stand-up gig at the Bristol Grammar School on 13 January. Encouraging students and parents to tackle talking about mental wellbeing through humour, attendees were also signposted to the expert support, advice and guidance that YoungMinds offers.
Lactalis UK & Ireland hope to roll the initiative out across the UK later in the year, to reach and support even more families in need.
“We have developed an initiative that we hope will really have a positive impact on young people’s mental health but also, importantly, raise awareness of YoungMinds so they can guide parents and their children towards accessing better mental health care," said Heloise Le Norcy-Trott, Group Marketing Director at Lactalis UK & Ireland.
"Leerdammer is an uplifting and comedic brand, so we were motivated to tap into our unique personality with a partnership that would really make a difference among local communities. It’s clear that talking about mental health can be hard, but humour is a great way of initiating a conversation about difficult subjects which are often avoided by families. We hope by using Leedammer to support YoungMinds – and by bringing comedians in to speak to the students – they and their parents will see how essential it is to start these conversations and realise there is support out there available to them.
“We are piloting the idea this month, then aiming to roll this out across the UK later in the year so we can reach and support even more families in need. We are always looking at ways to strengthen our positive impact across the UK and are grateful to Stuart Goldsmith for taking time to help spread the word.”
Vernon Samuels, Parent Engagement Officer at YoungMinds said: “We are delighted that Leerdammer is bringing attention to YoungMinds services in this way and helping to open up the conversation about children and young people’s mental health through “Talk it Out”. Our Parent Engagement Officer in Bristol will be providing community outreach and parent / carer engagement sessions to create a safe space for parents to get peer support, and this initiative will help us reach more people who need YoungMinds’ support.”
The Welsh government has been advised to increase the minimum price per unit of alcohol to at least 65p to maintain the positive impacts observed since the introduction of minimum pricing for alcohol (MPA) in 2020.
This recommendation is the key finding from an independent evaluation report published on Wednesday, which assessed the policy’s effect on alcohol-related behaviours, consumption, and retail outcomes.
Wales introduced its MPA policy on 2 March 2020, setting a minimum price of 50p per unit. The legislation aimed to reduce hazardous and harmful drinking by targeting the affordability of cheap, high-strength alcohol. The policy followed Scotland’s lead, where a similar measure at 50p had already been implemented.
The report, covering the period up to June 2024, highlighted several positive outcomes from the implementation of MPA in Wales:
Reduction in cheap alcohol products: Certain high-strength, low-cost products, such as large volumes of cheap ciders and lagers, were removed from the market.
Retail compliance: Retailers across Wales consistently adhered to the minimum pricing rules.
Consumption shifts: There was evidence of consumers switching from cheap ciders and lagers to other beverages like wine and spirits.
Reduction in overall consumption: Indicative data showed that alcohol consumption, measured through purchasing behaviour, decreased among Welsh drinkers.
Notably, the policy had a greater impact on those drinking at harmful levels, with dependent drinkers and individuals seeking treatment experiencing more significant changes. However, the report acknowledged that the financial strain on low-income, heavy drinkers led to adverse effects, such as prioritising alcohol purchases over essentials like food or bills.
The evaluation report draws heavily on insights from Scotland’s experience with MPA, where a price increase to 65p has already been implemented.
“The obvious step would be to follow the Scottish lead and renew the legislation, and thus retain the policy option,” the report recommends. “Electing not to renew the MPA legislation and letting the ‘sunset clause’ take effect has certain implications. The most obvious of these is that Wales will see the return of the availability of cheaper alcohol products and the associated increase in harms.”
Moreover, the loss of the policy could make it challenging for the Welsh government to reintroduce MPA in the future without the UK government support, it noted.
Sarah Murphy, the Welsh minister for mental health and wellbeing, welcomed the evaluations and their findings. She added that MPA is only one component of Wales’s broader alcohol policy, which includes significant investments in substance misuse treatment services.
In a written statement, Murphy confirmed that the Welsh government is initiating a 12-week consultation with relevant stakeholders to inform its report on the operation and effect of the legislation.
The minister highlighted the robust enforcement of the policy by Trading Standards Wales, which has reported just six fines following over 3,000 inspections since the legislation’s introduction. She also acknowledged the evaluation’s findings that substitution of alcohol with illegal substances or significant cross-border shopping have not been major concerns.
The report’s findings align with international research that identifies affordability as a critical component of effective alcohol policy. Minimum pricing is recognised by the World Health Organisation as a ‘best buy’ for reducing alcohol harm.
GroceryAid has announced that it will assume responsibility for the welfare funds of the former Tobacco Trade Benevolent Association from early February.
Currently overseen by the Tobacco Pipe Makers & Tobacco Trade Benevolent Fund, GroceryAid said the move will extend the charity’s reach and give current as well as former tobacco industry workers, including those from manufacturing, wholesale and retail, access to its wide range of welfare services.
“Extending our reach to include employees and former employees in the tobacco industry reflects our broader vision of supporting workers across the entire spectrum of the UK grocery sector. We want to ensure no individual is left without access to critical support when they need it most,” Kieran Hemsworth, CEO of GroceryAid, commented.
“We are committed to honouring the legacy of the Tobacco Trade Benevolent Association while bringing our more comprehensive support services to their beneficiaries.”
Jonathan Fell, chair of the Tobacco Pipe Makers & Tobacco Trade Benevolent Fund, added: “We are excited about the opportunity to provide enhanced support to our beneficiaries. GroceryAid’s comprehensive support services, including financial grants, 24/7 helpline service and counselling on a range of topics, will ensure that individuals we have supported continue to receive the care and assistance they need. Our Benevolent Fund looks forward to continuing to support a range of good causes from our General Fund.”
The transfer of responsibilities is expected to apply from 6 February this year. For more information about GroceryAid and the support available, visit groceryaid.org.uk.
Convenience retail continues to remain a robust sector despite rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, states leading property adviser Christie & Co today (16) in its annual report.
Christie & Co's report "Business Outlook 2025" reflects on key market activity, trends and challenges of 2024 and forecasts what 2025 might bring across the industries, including the convenience retail sector.
The report notes that in 2024 retail deal activity continued in the same strong vein as in H2 2023, and convenience retail remains a robust sector driven by need, providing solid investment opportunities. As such, Christie & Co's retail price index rose by 7.3 per cent.
Despite operational challenges from rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, there was a strong demand for opportunities.
According to Christie & Co 2024 data revealed in the report, there was a 20 per cent increase in the number of stores sold compared to 2023, with an average of ten viewings per sale.
Ever-increasing overheads will continue to present challenges for store owners and are causing the multiples to increase the turnover threshold for profitable stores.
Christie & Co notes that, as costs rise, continued divestment from corporate multiple retailers is expected and these divestments will inevitably present new opportunities for independent buyers in 2025.
The report also outlines Christie & Co's market predictions for the year ahead
Retailers will continue to face rising costs as a result of measures outlined in the Autumn Budget, and this will affect wages in particular.
This has the potential to cause inflation. However, as convenience stores are needs-driven, consumers will accept price rises or seek out value for money, states the report.
Retailers may be less inclined to hire more staff because of increasing wages and taxations, as announced in the Budget.
Due to increasing Government restrictions on unhealthy products, suppliers will have to adapt their offerings to fit requirements or sellers will have to evolve their product range, the report added.
It is unlikely that there will be a reduction in demand for sites, but purchasers will most likely factor cost increases into their offers while divestments from corporate multiple retailers are expected to continue as they continue to see costs go up and "tail end" stores may struggle, states the report.
Steve Rodell, Managing Director of Retail and Leisure at Christie & Co comments, “We are in the very fortunate position to be at the forefront of convenience retail business-to-business transactions, and we have worked very hard to become the market leaders.
"This is now a valuable position to be in, as other areas of retail, including much of the high street, struggle with internet shopping and multiple channels of competition.
"Convenience retail remains a needs-based sector, and as long as retailers listen to customers and satisfy local demand there is a good future for the convenience store.”
A recent study by Juul Labs researchers has revealed that adult smokers who completely switched to using the JUUL2 system achieved reductions in exposure to harmful and potentially harmful constituents (HPHCs) that were comparable to those who abstained entirely from tobacco and nicotine products.
The study, published in the journal Biomarkers, highlights the potential of JUUL2 as a harm reduction tool for smokers unable or unwilling to quit nicotine entirely.
The randomised study involved 89 adult smokers who were divided into three groups: one that switched completely to JUUL2 (using either Virginia Tobacco or Polar Menthol pods), another that continued smoking their usual cigarette brand, and a third that abstained from all tobacco and nicotine products for six days.
While nicotine exposure levels between the JUUL2 group and those continuing cigarette use remained similar, participants who switched to JUUL2 showed substantial reductions in exposure to HPHCs. Median reductions in biomarkers of exposure (BOEs) to non-nicotine HPHCs ranged from 65 per cent to 94 per cent – a statistically significant improvement compared to those who continued smoking cigarettes.
Interestingly, the reductions in non-nicotine BOEs among the JUUL2 group were comparable to those observed in participants who abstained completely from tobacco and nicotine products.
The findings suggest that adult smokers who fully transition to using JUUL2 system can significantly decrease their exposure to harmful substances found in combustible cigarettes, potentially reducing their risk of smoking-related diseases.
The study adds to the growing body of evidence supporting the role of electronic nicotine delivery systems products in tobacco harm reduction strategies, emphasising the importance of complete transition from smoking to achieve these benefits.
JUUL2 was launched in April 2022 following a successful pilot launch on Juul.co.uk. The rechargeable pod-based system was updated from previous versions with new technologies and features, including the capability to combat potentially harmful and compatible pods, striking a blow to the illicit trade market of JUUL products.