A significant proportion of shoppers are expected to shop in person during the Boxing Day sales in a considerable rise from last year, shows a recent research.
According to a research by Barclays, Brits this year are likely to are expected to splurge £4.6 billion with each shoppers poised to spend £236 during the Boxing Day sales, suggesting consumers will be actively participating in the post-Christmas sales.
These figures are down slightly on those reported in 2023, when shoppers spent £4.7 billion during the Boxing Day sales — about £100 million more than this year. The average shopper is forecast to spend £18 less than in 2023.
However, each shopper is still expected to spend £50 more than in 2019, before the pandemic.
Researchers said that while some of this growth “will be down to inflation”, some of it can be explained by a “continued desire to use the post-Christmas sales to seek out value for money”.
More than a quarter of the British public are expected to shop in person during the Boxing Day sales, up from 15 per cent in 2023.
While some bricks-and-mortar retailers have confirmed that they will not open on Boxing Day, 26 per cent of those who plan to shop in the post-Christmas sales say they will spend the majority of their money in-store.
This is driven by a preference to see and touch items before purchasing (41 per cent) and the enjoyment of socialising while shopping (32 per cent).
High streets (33 per cent) and shopping centres (32 per cent) are the most popular destinations. Meanwhile, 17 per cent cite wanting to support their local high street, and a further 15 per cent plan to shop with independent small businesses.
A third of Britons (34 per cent) say they’d be more inclined to spend at brick-and-mortar retailers if they were offered discount codes that can only be redeemed in-store, or if they were given a free item with in-store purchases (27 per cent).
Men are expected to spend £53 more than women during the sales.
The research also showed that 24 per cent of the public “will only be buying what they consider essential items in the post-Christmas sales”.
November’s sharp rise in inflation is expected to dampen festive spirits and restrict spending despite household’s being better off compared with last year, warned a recent report.
November marked a second consecutive month of faster price rises according to the latest figures from Asda’s Income Tracker published on Monday (23), with families across the UK continuing to face rising inflationary pressures.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerated to 2.6 per cent in November – up from 1.7 per cent in September and 2.3 per cent in October – driven by the transport sector and higher clothing and footwear prices.
CEBR, who produce the Income Tracker on behalf of Asda, has forecast that inflation is set to remain above the 2.0 per cent target in the coming months, with energy prices and wage growth responsible for driving further higher essential costs.
Despite inflationary pressures, household spending power continues to improve year-on-year. Average household disposable incomes grew by 10.5 per cent in November, marking six consecutive months of double-digit increases.
The average UK household was £23.74 per week better off in November compared to a year earlier and had £249 per week to spend after paying bills and essentials, providing some relief for families as they get ready for the big day.
Reacting to this month’s Income Tracker, Sam Miley, Managing Economist and Forecasting Lead at CEBR, said, “The Income Tracker saw a slowdown in growth in November, driven by accelerating inflation.
"That said, spending power has continued to increase, with the Tracker having exhibited double-digit growth for sixth consecutive months.
“Spending power amongst households has seen a gradual improvement throughout the year, which is welcomed ahead of the festive period.
"Nevertheless, consumer expenditure over Christmas is still expected to be held back relative to pre-pandemic levels amidst elevated inflation and the lingering effects of the cost-of-living crisis.”
Retailers could find themselves facing a New Year spending squeeze as public confidence in the state of the economy took a nosedive, show recent industry data.
According to BRC-Opinium data released today (23), consumer expectations over the next three months of their personal financial situation remained at -3 in December, the same as in November.
Confidence in state of the economy worsened to -27 in December, down from -19 in November. Confidence on personal spending on retail also fell while confidence in personal spending overall dropped to +11 in December, down from +17 in November.
Helen Dickinson, Chief Executive of the British Retail Consortium, said,“Public confidence in the state of the economy took a nosedive, falling 8pts to -27.
"This created a widening gap between expectations of the economy and of people’s own finances, which remained unchanged. Perceptions were heavily skewed by age, with 18 to 35 year olds considerably more upbeat than older generations on both questions.
"The public’s spending intentions – both in retail and beyond – dropped 6pts, with expectations of spending in nearly every retail category falling. If these expectations are realised, retailers could find themselves facing a New Year spending squeeze just as they unveil their January sales.
“The weak spending intentions could pave the way for a challenging year for retailers, who face being buffeted by low consumer demand and £7bn of new costs from the Budget set to hit the industry in 2025."
Dickinson added that with sales growth unable to keep pace, retailers will have no choice but to raise prices or cut costs – closing stores and freezing recruitment.
"To mitigate the impact this will have on growth, Government must ensure that its proposed business rates reform does not result in any shops paying higher rates than they already do," she said.
Grocers must focus on their price positioning to remain competitive as food and grocery spending in UK convenience stores is projected to outpace the hypermarkets, supermarkets, and discounters channel.
According to GlobalData, food and grocery spending in convenience stores is projected to reach £43.2 billion by 2028, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.0 per cent between 2024 and 2028.
Between 2023 and 2024, the traditional big four grocers, Tesco, Sainsbury’s, ASDA, and Morrisons, collectively added 800 new convenience stores to their portfolios, with ASDA and Morrisons leading the growth with acquisitions. This rapid expansion underscores increasing competition in the convenience market.
After successfully focusing on price in large format stores to appeal to consumers during the cost-of-living crisis, grocers must shift their focus on agile pricing to convenience locations.
Sainsbury’s and Tesco are notable examples within convenience, with Sainsbury's recently introducing Aldi price matching in its Local stores and Tesco announcing price reductions on over 200 products in its Express stores.
Aliyah Siddika, Retail Analyst at GlobalData, comments, “This replication of price focus from larger format stores to grocers’ expanding their convenience offer will encourage consumers to impulse buy due to increased affordability.
"The shift in UK consumer behaviour towards frequent top-up shopping has also created substantial growth potential in the convenience market.”
Before the pandemic, 81.6 per cent of UK consumers stated they would visit a grocer on the way home from work, and 78.4 per cent reported the same now.
Budget limitations have primarily driven this change, followed by the rise of hybrid working. Pre-pandemic, consumers working in the office full-time had less time to cook dinner after work.
However, with the shift to hybrid work models, consumers now go into the office a few times a week and are more likely to have the time to prepare meals ahead of the days they are in the office to save money.
Convenience retailers should promote low prices on their fakeaway options to entice consumers to visit on their way home from work for an affordable yet indulgent meal.
Siddika concludes,“When offering deeper price cuts in convenience formats, grocers must target price promotions towards items that consumers are more inclined to purchase during the workweek. Such as food-to-go ranges, ready meals, quick dinners, and treats to capture spending from commuters."
Sales of fresh meat and poultry have soared as shoppers cut back on takeaways and eating out – but they are increasingly shunning so-called ‘meat-free’ options.
NIQ data released today (14) shows that over the last 12 months, British consumers did more scratch cooking, with sales of fresh meat (+£481.3m), fresh fruit (+£463.5m), fresh vegetables (+£374m), fresh salad (+£285.3m) and fresh poultry (+£247.6m) all among the top 10 fastest growing categories.
In a further sign that more meals are being freshly prepared, dried herbs and spices enjoyed the biggest volume percentage gains out of all the 127 categories in this year’s report.
Sales of beef (+£242.1m) and chicken (+£212m) were among the most popular and fastest growing products in British supermarket baskets in 2024, but lamb and duck also enjoyed strong growth.
But the meat-free category (-£37.1m) continues to decline, dipping below £500m in value. Market leader Quorn (-£16.5m) was the biggest casualty, although some brands are still in growth.
Inflation
The NIQ data also shows that UK shoppers have cut back on some dairy products, with milk (-£223.3m) and butter, spreads & margarine (-£63.7m) among the fastest falling categories, as the massive inflation in these categories over the past two years has taken its toll.
With inflation now largely under control in grocery retail, the reintroduction of branded promotions has helped stem the slump in overall branded volumes. But inflation is still having a material impact on the market.
A less obvious casualty is chocolate confectionery (+£532.6m), which actually recorded the biggest increase in value sales across the Top Products Survey. But volumes fell and most of the value gains reflect price hikes linked to soaring cocoa commodity prices, as cocoa beans futures reached an all-time high of $12,000/tonne earlier this year.
It was a similar story for Cadbury Dairy Milk (+£72.4m), where the leading chocolate brand’s strong value sales again masked lower volumes.
The cost of living crisis is likely also to blame for the decline in sales in many alcoholic drinks categories, although the government’s duty hikes have also played a part. Spirits (-£52.6m), sparkling wine (-£19.9m) and champagne (-£12.1m) all fared badly. And alcohol brands accounted for 50% of the top 10 fastest falling products, including lager brands Foster’s (-£34m) and Carling (-£22.2m) as well as the UK’s leading gin brand Gordon’s (-£21.4m).
Sales of wine (+£242.4m) performed better, although Hardys (-£41m), and Blossom Hill (-£22.7m) were some of the biggest losers overall in terms of value sales.
It was a different story in energy drinks.
Monster (+£103.6m) and Red Bull (+£84.7m) were the strongest performing brands in terms of value sales. But after enjoying stratospheric growth, following its social-media fuelled launch, sales of Prime (-£63.1m) came crashing down to earth.
The biggest overall casualty, however, was disposable vaping brand ElfBar (-£284m), amid signs that the vaping category may have passed its peak ahead of duty hikes and increased legislative restrictions. On the other hand the overall fastest growing product was SKE Crystal Bar (+£240.8m) which shows how prone to fast-moving fads the vaping category is.
The fortunes of the wrapped bread market were also highly variable. Hovis (-£37.7m) experienced the biggest downturn in sales of any food brand; while Warburtons (+£57.6m) was the biggest food brand to be in value and volume growth.
Fastest-growing grocery categories of 2024
Category
Actual growth (£ millions) in value sales
1
Chocolate
£532.6m
2
Fresh Meat
£481.3m
3
Fresh Fruit
£463.5m
4
Fresh Veg
£374m
5
Fresh Salad
£285.3m
6
Crisps & Snacks
£247.6m
7
Fresh Poultry
£247.6m
8
Eggs
£246m
9
Light Wine
£242.4m
10
Sweet Biscuits
£238.9m
Fastest-falling grocery categories of 2024
Category
Actual decline (£ millions) in value sales
1
Milk
-£223.3m
2
Toilet Tissue
-£106.2m
3
Butter, Spreads & Marge
-£63.7m
4
Spirits
-£52.6m
5
Meat-Free
-£37.1m
6
Frozen Fish
-£21.3m
7
Sparkling Wine
-£19.9m
8
Kitchen Roll
-£12.9m
9
Champagne
-£12.1m
10
Dry Pasta
-£6.8m
Rachel White, Managing Director UK & Ireland at NIQ, said, “Shopping habits have changed once again. What we are seeing in this year’s survey is a return to scratch cooking and the preparation of fresh meals.
"Perhaps this is a nod to trends in healthier living – with consumers taking the time to prepare meals together, sourcing fresh and healthy products and consuming less alcohol – but it’s also a product of the cost of living crisis, as shoppers cut back on takeaways and eating out to save money.”
Retailers can capitalise on the rising demand for premium pet food by offering innovative, high-quality products like nutrient-rich supplements and superfood treats amid the evolving bond between pets and their owners, states a recent survey report's findings.
The UK has the largest dog population (13.02m) and one of the largest cat populations (11.71m) in Europe, with one in three UK households owning a dog, and one in four owning a cat.
According to Mars Petcare's research based on insights from over 20,000 pet parents in 20 countries, the bond between owners and pets driving trends in premium nutrition, personalised care, and sustainability - all of which are shaping the future of petcare.
An impressive 37 per cent of pet parents consider their pets the most important part of their lives — a sentiment even stronger among younger generations, with 45 per cent of Gen Z and 40 per cent of Millennials expressing this bond.
Globally, the number of pet parents is rising, with a large portion of first-time owners. Out of the 56 per cent of pet parents surveyed who own a dog or cat, nearly half (47 per cent) are first-time owners, reflecting a new generation of pet parents keen to embrace tailored and innovative solutions for their pets' needs.
The report also shows that sustainability is a key consideration for pet parents, with 45 per cent believing it is very important when purchasing pet food. This sentiment is particularly strong amongst the younger generations, indicating a shift towards a demand for more sustainable and ethically produced products.
In the UK, one in three owners don’t change the food they originally feed their pet throughout their lifetime. This demonstrates the importance for retailers and brands alike to target the growing number of first-time pet owners, many of whom prioritise sustainable products.
Brands like Sheba Kitten for example, are continuing to build lifelong value by targeting first-time pet parents early in their journey. With kittens comprising 14 per cent of the UK cat population, this premium, grain-free range of wet food made of natural ingredients, vitamins and minerals, is designed to secure long-term brand loyalty while meeting nutritional needs.
Adelina Bizoi, Category & Market Activation Director at Mars Petcare, comments: “The evolving bond between pets and their owners signifies a shift in behaviour that the industry must react to.
"We know the strong relationship between owners and their furry friends means that petcare continues to be one of the last categories that pet parents will look to decrease spending on, making sure they provide offerings that are beneficial to their pets’ health even during tough time economically.
“Retailers have a significant opportunity to tap into the growing demand for premium petcare by offering a diverse range of innovative products. High-quality, nutrient-rich options such as supplements and superfood treats appeal to wellness-focused owners prioritising their pets' digestion, immunity, and joint health.
“Retailers can also tap into the rise of first-time pet parents and demand for sustainable products by offering starter kits and sustainability-driven initiatives. Starter kits, especially those tailored for first-time pet parents, can simplify pet ownership and create loyalty from the outset.”
The findings from Mars Global Pet Parent Study highlights the substantial opportunity for retailers to diversify their product offerings and build stronger, more meaningful connections between pets and their owners in an increasingly competitive market.