Skip to content
Search
AI Powered
Latest Stories

Recession fears rise after economy shrinks in third quarter

Recession fears rise after economy shrinks in third quarter
Shoppers walk in the Oxford Circus retail district on December 19, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
Getty Images

Britain's economy might now be in a recession according to data which showed output shrank in the July-to-September period, shortly after chancellor Jeremy Hunt suggested the Bank of England might cut interest rates to help boost growth.

Gross domestic product contracted by 0.1 per cent in the third quarter, the Office for National Statistics said on Friday.


It had previously estimated that the economy showed no change compared with the previous three months and economists polled by Reuters had mostly expected another unchanged reading.

The ONS also said economic output in the second quarter was now estimated to have shown no growth, a downwards revision from a previous estimate of 0.2 per cent growth.

However, separate data showed retail sales in November jumped by much more than expected, increasing by 1.3 per cent from October, boosted by discount sales.

Sterling rose against the dollar and the euro after the data releases.

Chancellor Hunt, whose Conservative Party is lagging far behind the opposition Labour Party in opinion polls ahead of an expected election next year, said the outlook for the economy was not as bad as the updated official figures suggested.

“The medium-term outlook for the UK economy is far more optimistic than these numbers suggest,” he said in a statement.

Separately, in an interview with the Financial Times published late on Thursday, Hunt took the rare step of commenting on the BoE's interest rate decisions.

“There's a reasonable chance that if we stick to the course we're on, we're able to bring down inflation, the Bank of England might decide they can start to reduce interest rates,” Hunt told the newspaper.

The ONS said fresh tax data showed smaller businesses in particular had struggled in the second quarter, especially hospitality and information technology, and the broader picture for the economy was one of little change over the last year.

The boost to retail sales volumes reflected heavy discounting during the Black Friday sales promotions but sales fell over the three months to November and were still below their pre-pandemic levels, the statistics office said.

(Reuters)

More for you

Volumatic welcomes new FCA rules safeguarding access to cash

Volumatic welcomes new FCA rules safeguarding access to cash

As industry leaders is cash handling, Volumatic has long supported the use of cash and the importance of maintaining access to cash for both consumers and businesses. The company recognises the importance of the new set of rules created by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) two months ago, to safeguard access to cash for businesses and consumers across the UK.

Since introduction, the new rules are intended to ensure that individuals and businesses who rely on cash can continue to access it and the outcome has already sparked the creation of 15 new banking hubs across the UK, including one in Scotland, with many more to follow.

Keep ReadingShow less
Jisp unveils new NPD service

Jisp unveils new NPD service

Retail technology company Jisp has launched an NPD service as part of its new Direct to Retailer business unit.

The new NPD service will allow brands to launch or trial new products in a guaranteed number of convenience store locations, with on the ground review of execution by Jisp’s retail growth manager team, and performance data and insights deliverable through its scanning technology and back-office systems.

Keep ReadingShow less
Tesco launches price cuts in Express convenience stores
File image of Tesco Express

Tesco launches price cuts in Express convenience stores

Tesco is slashing the price of more than 222 own-brand and branded products in its Express convenience stores.

Essentials including milk, bread, pasta and coffee are included in the lines which have been reduced in price by an average of more than 10 per cent at Tesco Express stores. The retail giant has made more than 2,800 price cuts across stores in recent months. With 2,048 of convenience stores at the end of the 2023-24 financial year, Tesco aims to benefit hundreds of thousands of customers from the cheaper deals.

Keep ReadingShow less
vape and cigarette
Photo: iStock

One in five ex-smokers in England now vape, study finds


Summary
1. One in five people who have successfully quit smoking in England currently vape, with an estimated 2.2 million individuals using e-cigarettes as a smoking cessation tool.
2. The increase in vaping among ex-smokers is largely driven by the use of e-cigarettes in quit attempts, with a rise in vaping uptake among people who had previously quit smoking for many years before taking up vaping.
3. While vaping may be a less harmful option compared to smoking, there are concerns about the potential long-term implications of vaping on relapse risk and nicotine addiction. Further research is needed to assess the impact of vaping on smoking cessation outcomes.


Keep ReadingShow less
Bira engages with Treasury on Budget fallout, business rate reform
(Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)
Getty Images

Bira engages with Treasury on Budget fallout, business rate reform

Independent retailers association Bira has held a meeting with members of the Treasury team to discuss concerns following its robust response to the Government’s recent Budget announcement.

The Budget, labelled by Bira as "devastating" for independent retailers, was met with widespread indignation from Bira members.

Keep ReadingShow less