The latest company insolvency statistics reveal a mixed picture for the retail sector, with 157 retail trade insolvencies recorded in October 2024. While this represents a 25 per cent decrease compared to the same month last year, which saw 210 insolvencies, it marks a 14 per cent increase from September 2024, which reported 138 cases.
Gordon Thomson, restructuring partner at RSM UK, highlighted the sector’s cautious optimism amid ongoing challenges. “Retail insolvencies continue their year-on-year decline as retailers pin their hopes on stronger sales in the lead-up to Christmas, especially after the 0.7 per cent drop in sales seen in October,” Thomson said.
While consumer confidence shows signs of improvement, it remains subdued, he noted. “The hope is that it continues to grow and a consumer-led economic recovery comes to fruition next year, aided by increased wages and gradually declining interest rates. This could encourage consumers to spend more on the high street,” Thomson explained.
However, Thomson warned that the upcoming quarter would test retailers' resilience.
“Next quarter will already be a challenging period for the retail sector due to typically lower trade, plus with various costs increases coming down tracks, retailers can ill afford to bury their heads in the sand,” Thomson said, urging businesses to assess their financial viability and act decisively if needed.
Without further government intervention to support the retail sector, Thomson cautioned that only the most robust businesses are likely to weather the storm.
The share of festive spending is set to move away from traditional High Street retailers with Discounters predicted to pick up a significant percentage of spend in the final days of pre-Christmas trading, according to RetailNext, the leading analytics solution for bricks-and-mortar retailers.
Original research of over 1,000 UK consumers by RetailNext showed that shoppers plan to switch over a third (36 per cent) of Christmas spending budgets from traditional High Street retailers to discount brands, such as Lidl, Aldi, Home Bargains and B&M, rising to 41 per cent of Millennials’ intended festive spending.
While data from PwC suggests retail spend on gifts and Christmas celebrations will rise five per cent year-on-year – the first-time consumers will outstrip festive spending since 2021 – shoppers will continue to express value-based buying tendencies, making them mindful about where they spend and intensifying discounter switching, as Gary Whittemore, Head of Sales EMEA & APAC at RetailNext, explained:
“While the acute pressure on household spend appears to be easing, shoppers aren’t simply snapping back to pre-cost-of-living spending habits. Having learnt savvy and thrifty shopping hacks, consumers have redefined their concept of value. And this is bearing out in expected share of wallet for Christmas, with discounters’ retail offers, such as Aldi’s middle aisle, likely to benefit from these value-driven buying behaviours.”
Famed for the success of its reasonably priced “middle aisle” assortment as well as its value food offerings, Aldi, which overtook Asda as the UK’s third largest supermarket earlier this year, has been ambitiously opening UK stores ahead of Christmas to increase its footprint, with 11 new store openings in November and December. Meanwhile Lidl also opened six stores in December as part of its a multi-million-pound investment in its UK bricks-and-mortar estate, with Kantar’s data suggesting it is now the UK’s fastest growing grocer, with sales up by 6.6 per cent in the run up to Christmas and store footfall rising 10 per cent compared to last year.
This changing of the guard can also be seen in the key anchor stores driving footfall to retail parks in the run up to Super Saturday, one of the busiest in-store shopping days of Christmas when footfall is expected to jump +0.5 per cent according to RetailNext’s footfall index. While M&S topped the key anchor stores that would drive Christmas shoppers to visit retail parks or out-of-town shopping destinations (42 per cent) in RetailNext’s poll, this was followed by discount brands B&M (41 per cent), Home Bargains (38 per cent) and discount supermarket, Aldi (32 per cent).
The Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) has ruled on a paid-for online ad by Heineken UK for its alcohol-free beer, Heineken 0.0, following a complaint about its compliance with advertising standards.
The ASA upheld one issue concerning the ABV statement in the ad but dismissed another on promoting drink driving.
The advertisement, seen on July 8, 2024, featured Formula One driver Max Verstappen holding a bottle of Heineken 0.0, accompanied by the tagline, “The best driver is the one who is not drinking. Unless it’s Heineken 0.0.” The ad included references to responsible drinking and the Drink Aware website, as well as a logo stating, “When You Drive, Never Drink.”
Two concerns were raised in the complaint about whether the ad failed to include a prominent statement of the product’s alcohol by volume (ABV) and whether the ad irresponsibly encouraged drink driving.
Heineken UK defended the ad, stating it was part of their long-standing “When You Drive, Never Drink” campaign in partnership with Formula One, designed to promote responsible drinking. They argued that the ad’s messaging clearly distinguished Heineken 0.0 as an alcohol-free product, with the bottle prominently displayed and featuring blue labeling typically associated with their alcohol-free range.
Heineken also highlighted that the tagline, “The best driver is the one who is not drinking. Unless it’s Heineken 0.0,” reinforced the responsible drinking message. While acknowledging the use of a standard Heineken logo rather than the 0.0 logo, they maintained that the ad discouraged drink driving and emphasised that Max Verstappen was not depicted in a driving context.
Heineken committed to using the Heineken 0.0 logo in future campaigns to address the ASA's concerns.
The ASA, however, determined that the ad breached the CAP Code by failing to provide a sufficiently prominent statement of the product’s ABV. While the bottle’s label included the ABV, the text was small and not prominently displayed in the ad, which focused primarily on Verstappen.
The ASA concluded that the ad violated CAP Code rule 18.19, which requires marketing for alcohol alternatives to include a prominent ABV statement.
The ASA dismissed concerns that the ad irresponsibly promoted drink driving, noting that the ad explicitly conveyed a responsible drinking message. Although the Heineken logo used was typically associated with alcoholic beverages and the ABV statement was not prominent, the overall context made it clear that Heineken 0.0 is an alcohol-free product suitable for consumption before driving, the regulator said.
The ASA has banned the ad in its current form and instructed Heineken to ensure future advertisements for alcohol-free products prominently display the ABV.
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A high street collection bin of single-use vapes for recycling and safety
With 8.2 million vapes now thrown away, or recycled incorrectly, per week, the issue of disposable vapes is not going away, Material Focus has warned on Tuesday.
With a ban due in just six months (June 2025), the production of vapes is continuing to morph with more new products entering the market such as “big puff” which avoids the new regulations. Material Focus forecast that these big puff vapes and other new vapes are set to cause significant environmental challenges post the disposable ban next year.
The new vapes research, commissioned by Material Focus and conducted by Opinium, found that these new big puff style vapes are set to grow and are fuelling the 8.2 million vapes thrown away including big puff, single use and single-use pod, compared to 5 million single-use last year.
Big puff style vapes have already surged onto the UK market in just six months with 3 million of these types of vapes now being bought a week, with 63 per cent of puffs being taken on these vapes.
Big puff vapes can hold up to 6,000 puffs per vape, with single use vapes averaging 600. Coming in at a price competitive 0.19 pence per puff for a big puff, compared to 0.83 pence per puff for a single-use vape, it’s no surprise that their popularity is surging, particularly amongst young people who are more likely to buy these new style of vapes – 48 per cent of 16 to 34 year olds compared to 36 per cent of 35 to 55 year olds.
With 3 million bought per week compared to 5.3 million single-use vapes, their popularity has soared in just six months, the non-profit has noted, adding that with this continued rise in vapes being thrown away, their environmental impact continues to increase.
“Without quick and extensive action, the threat of a vapocalypse remains and new big puff vape models are already contributing to an environmental nightmare,” Scott Butler, executive director, Material Focus, said.
“Vape producers are being infinitely creative with their products in order to avoid the forthcoming disposable vape ban. Whilst the current ban will take some of the most environmentally wasteful products off the market, we might need more flexible legislation to deal with the ongoing challenges of the new products surging onto the market.
“It’s good to see that more vape retailers are beginning to provide recycling facilities, and more people are recycling them. However this isn’t anywhere near enough to turn the tide. The majority of vapers are either unaware of where to recycle their vapes or don’t have a good experience of recycling them. It should be as easy to recycle a vape as it is to buy one. We want more vapers demanding that where they buy them provide recycling points as it is a legal obligation for all those who sell vapes to provide this after all.
“Vapes, like any other electrical with a plug, battery or cable, should never be binned and always be recycled as a minimum. We need rapid growth in the number of accessible and visible vape recycling drop-off points. And we need proper retailer and producer financing of genuine recycling solutions to recover materials and manage fire risks. The UK needs more accessible recycling drop-off points in stores, in parks, in public spaces near offices, bars and pubs, and in schools, colleges and universities.”
More people are recycling their single-use vapes in store: 20 per cent this year compared to 8 per cent last year, Material Focus revealed. However, still many retailers do not comply with environmental regulations and haven’t put recycling drop-off points and systems in place. Much more readily available takeback options need to be in place, the organisation added.
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People walk pass a Christmas tree as they exit a store in Manchester, northern England on December 16, 2024.
Photo by Paul ELLIS / AFP) (Photo by PAUL ELLIS/AFP via Getty Images
Super Saturday (21 December) is expected to drive a rise in retail footfall, as last-minute shoppers descend on stores, according to RetailNext, a leading analytics solution for bricks-and-mortar retailers.
However, share of festive spend could see a marked shift from traditional retailers to discounters in the last days of pre-Christmas trading.
Data from RetailNext’s UK shopper traffic index, which captures billions of store visits globally each year, suggests that footfall on Super Saturday will rise 0.5 per cent year-on-year (Sat 21 Dec 2024 vs 23 Dec 2023).
Traditionally one of the busiest in-store shopping days of peak trading, Super Saturday falls two days earlier this year compared to 2023, prompting a modest shopper count increase. However, with some of the busiest days are still to come, Gary Whittemore, head of sales EMEA & APAC at RetailNext said it will mark the beginning of a shift from online to in-store shopping in the final trading days pre-Christmas.
“As time starts to run out between now and the Big Day - and with many last online delivery deadlines looming - Super Saturday is set to mark the tipping point where digital shopping migrates in-store, as consumers tick off the final gifts on their Christmas shopping lists,” Whittemore said.
“With shoppers tipped to have spent almost £2.5billion in the last weekend before Christmas last year, retailers will be hopeful that, after what’s been a bumpy peak trading period to date, the expected surge in festive footfall will translate into ample conversions.”
Meanwhile, the traditional share of festive spend could significantly shift this year from high street retailers to discounters, with a survey of over 1,000 UK consumers by RetailNext showing that shoppers plan to switch over a third (36%) of Christmas spending budgets to discount brands such as Lidl, Aldi, Home Bargains and B&M, rising to 41 per cent of millennials’ intended festive spending.
This changing of the guard can also be seen in the key anchor stores driving footfall to retail parks in the run up to Super Saturday. While M&S topped the key anchor stores that would drive Christmas shoppers to visit retail parks or out-of-town shopping destinations (42%) in RetailNext’s poll, this was followed by discount brands B&M (41%), Home Bargains (38%) and discount supermarket, Aldi (32%).
“While the acute pressure on household spend appears to be easing, shoppers aren’t simply snapping back to pre-cost-of-living spending habits,” Whittemore noted.
“Having learnt savvy and thrifty shopping hacks, consumers have redefined their concept of value. And this is bearing out in expected share of wallet for Christmas, with discounters’ retail offers, such as Aldi’s middle aisle, likely to benefit from these value-driven buying behaviours.”
UK annual inflation climbed further above the Bank of England's target rate in November, official data showed Wednesday, firming expectations that it will avoid cutting interest rates this week.
The Consumer Prices Index reached 2.6 per cent in the 12 months to November, up from 2.3 per cent for October, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said in a statement. This is the highest rate since March this year.
The BoE, which decides on rates Thursday, has an inflation target of 2.0 per cent.
The data is a blow to the Labour government, which has found efforts to grow the economy come unstuck since winning power in July.
"I know families are still struggling with the cost of living and today's figures are a reminder that for too long the economy has not worked for working people," chancellor Rachel Reeves said in reaction to the inflation data.
On a monthly basis, CPI rose by 0.1 per cent in November compared with a fall of 0.2 per cent a year earlier, the ONS added.
The largest upward contribution to the monthly change came from transport, it said.
Core CPI - excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco - rose 3.5 percent in the 12 months to November, up from 3.3 per cent in October.
"The further rebound in CPI inflation... could have been worse," noted Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics research group.
"But coming on the back of the stronger-than-expected rebound in wage growth in yesterday's release, there is almost no chance of the Bank of England delivering an early Christmas present with another interest rate cut tomorrow."
The central bank last month trimmed borrowing costs by 25 basis points to 4.75 per cent.
That came after the BoE reduced its key rate in August for the first time since early 2020, from a 16-year high of 5.25 per cent as UK inflation returned to normal levels.
“Although the public may feel Andrew Bailey and co are channelling their inner Scrooge, prudence on the BoE’s part seems sensible as no one wants to see the inflationary ghosts of Christmas past return,” Isaac Stell, investment manager at Wealth Club said.
“This latest inflationary spike adds to the New Year challenges facing the BoE. With businesses shouldering the chancellor’s National Insurance rises, the indication of prices hikes from companies have been coming thick and fast. There may be cuts to jobs and less generous pay rises to boot. Those hoping to see a continuous stream of rate cuts in 2025 will likely be disappointed.”