Convenience stores have been a mainstay of our streets for years. As many shoppers relied on their local corner shops or stores for their groceries, last two years’ ups and downs have brought a renewed sense of support and camaraderie for local shops and businesses. Now that we’re back into the normal swing, it becomes even more crucial for the local businesses to maintain their customer base and keep them enticed.
Jennie Inch, Brand Manager- Highland Spring Group, wants independent store owners to ensure they’ve got a competitive offering and holding onto their newly-acquired as well as old customer base.
“Developing a solid offering, incorporating tried and tested products that we know consumers love, along with new and exciting products, is key,” Inch said.
Mondelēz International’s mission for 2023 and beyond is to deliver the right snack for the right moment made in the right way.
“We want to help retailers make the most of the growing snacking opportunity and be a supportive, sustainable supplier to the convenience channel,” Susan Nash, Trade Communications Manager at Mondelēz International, told Asian Trader.
With ongoing cost-of-living crisis, prices and budgeting will rule the shoppers’ minds in 2023.Brits are expected to contemplate and research before making buying decisions.
Kevin Fawell, Off-Trade Sales Director at Molson Coors Beverage Company, too resonates that cost pressures will have a significant impact on buying habits, but consumers aren’t necessarily looking for ‘cheaper’ brands.
“People expect quality when they are enjoying occasions, whether that is from a mainstream choice or something more premium,” Fawell says, adding that Carling and Coors continue to be shoppers’ chosen ones while those looking for something more premium are likely to turn to popular World Beer options like Staropramen.
Sandra Brunet, Marketing Director, Campari Group UK, too forecasts that inflation will affect buying decisions.
“We are seeing consumer confidence falling at an accelerated rate, with the rising cost of living the number one concern for 46 per cent of Brits. In the year ahead, these trends are likely to deepen, meaning the Off Trade must be ready to support evolving consumer priorities and shopping habits,” she says.
Trends to expect
Retailers should keep their fingers on the pulse to ensure they’re offering customers what they’re looking for and matching their stock to what’s performing well.
And talking about trends, big nights-in are expected to get bigger in 2023.
As more people look to save money by enjoying a drink at home, independent stores can be the perfect place for hosts to stock up ahead of an event, or for guests to grab something on their way to someone else’s house, says Fawell.
Brands Carling and Coors are popular big night-in options. Many consumers are willing to pay extra for quality choices when they're drinking at home, so retailers’ ranges should also include options like Aspall Cyder, Staropramen and Cobra.
Premiumisation has been a constant trend when it comes to alcohol. This trend underlines the opportunity for independents by presenting a high-end range of alcohol options for consumers. Well-known and well-loved premium products such as Aperol are ideal, allowing retailers to suggest customers premiumise their Prosecco experience and tap into the at-home cocktails trend, without needing to invest in more costly spirits, Brunet says.
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Gravitation towards premium drinks is here to stay despite the tightening purse strings.
Sunny Mirpuri, Director for Wholesale & Convenience at Budweiser Brewing Group, believes that customers will continue to spend on premium and super premium beer options especially during key, celebratory moments, such as major sporting events.
Another trend expected to continue in 2023 is food and beer going hand in hand in purchasing decisions.
“One out of two beers are now consumed with food, and mealtimes account for 38 per cent signaling that food and beer pairings are a great way for independents to continue to maximise sales,” he says.
Retailers should stock beers alongside complimentary food items, like, Corona next to limes and Budweiser beside crisps and snacks, to offer a smooth, hassle-free shopping experience. A positive shopping journey will not only boost spend but will also increase the chances shoppers will come back again.
Rise of no-and-low alcohol beer category is also expected to accelerate in 2023. C-stores must not ignore the growing customer base who are looking to moderate their intake whilst still enjoying the great taste of beer.
“One in 10 beer drinkers now regularly opt for an alcohol-free alternative, a figure which has grown by 16 per cent year-on-year,” Mirpuri tells Asian Trader, warning that retailers who do not stock no-and-low alternatives are missing out on an increasingly important market segment.
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) is another industry leader that is forecasting the trend of big nights-in throughout 2023. Soft drinks will continue to play a big part here so it is important to focus on key soft drink segments, says Amy Burgess, Senior Trade Communications Manager at Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP).
The biggest soft drinks brands in GB continue to drive growth in grocery and convenience, led by Coca-Coca Zero Sugar and Fanta. Mixers like Schweppes and adult soft drinks like Appletiser also have a role to play, providing a sparkling alternative to alcohol during mealtime or party occasions, Burgess says.
Healthier choices have been a priority for consumers for some time, Burgess points out, adding that as a result of reformulation, 86 per cent all CCEP soft drink brand ranges are non-HFSS, including Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Fanta, Monster Ultra and Costa Coffee RTD.
As such, retailers should look to broaden their offers to include varied options as energy drinks and RTD coffee in particular are becoming more popular as consumers look for drinks to provide a pick me up.
Sustainability is now a key consideration for consumers and CCEP is a torchbearer here too. In partnership with Coca-Cola GB, CCEP is the first major soft drinks provider in GB to introduce attached caps to 1.5L and 500ml plastic bottle that stay connected to the bottle after it’s opened, which will help improve recycling rates.
Consumers indeed have become increasingly aware of their environmental footprints. Highland Spring understands the importance of education within sustainability and recycling, Inch told Asian Trader.
Each of Highland Spring’s bottles can be recycled. The maker is currently on a journey to reach 100 per cent recycled content (excluding cap and label) across its entire bottle range by 2025.
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Highland Spring’s flavoured sparkling cans are made with aluminum, and are readily recyclable to be back on the shelf within 60 days. Each and every Highland Spring product has recycling messaging printed on-pack, and retailers should ensure they take note to further encourage customers to dispose of responsibly.
In the world of confectionery, on-trend and relevant new flavourswill be a key growth driver, attracting incremental younger adult consumers. Whether it’s salted or caramelised white, caramel is the number one best-selling chocolate flavour with salted caramel being a top five NPD flavour in chocolate.
Earlier this year, Mondelez brought the delicious caramel taste to Cadbury Twirl which has been met with great excitement by consumers.Cadbury Caramilk was a smash-hit with shoppers when it launched last year. It now has been expanded to offer shoppers the beautifully crafted golden caramel chocolate in Buttons format - perfect for sharing occasions with friends and family.
There is also an increasing consumer appetite for plant-based alternatives. Last year, Mondelēz International launched Cadbury Plant Bar- a new plant-based alternative to the nation’s favourite chocolate bar after intensive research of over two years at Mondelēz International’s Research and Development centre in Bournville.
In sugar confectionery, Maynards Bassetts’ Fizzy Fish and new Sour Patch Kids Watermelon have been certified vegan by the Vegan Society, allowing retailers to cater to this growing consumer appetite and offer their shoppers even more choices.
Consumers are now returning to on-the-go day routines, with those out and about using public transport once a week or more. Retailers can cater to the firm return of the on-the-go occasion with quick and convenient snacks from Mondelēz International, such as Cadbury Brunch Bars, belVita Soft Bakes, Philadelphia Handi Snacks, Dairylea Filled Crackers, and Cadbury Twirl and Wispa single bars.
Following the pandemic, seven in 10 adults said that they wanted to make healthier choices. Mondelez’s new delicious new non-HFSS range can cater well to this demand.
New Launches
Studying these trends with a keen eye, food and drink makers keep innovating and coming up with new products.
Following the success of Ribena Sparkling, Ribena has launched new Ribena Sparkling Zero Sugar featuring the refreshing taste of a carbonated soft drink in iconic blackcurrant flavouravailable in 500ml and 2L bottles. Ribena Sparkling Zero Sugar also has a new refreshed look with the updated fresh and modern pack design making it an exciting, new must-stock product for retailers.
“The updated fresh and modern pack design across the whole range, including Ribena Sparkling Zero Sugar, will help the drinks to stand out on shelf to encourage trial and drive additional purchases,” Matt Gouldsmith, Channel Director, Wholesale, Suntory Beverage & Food GB&I, tells Asian Trader.
Ribena Sparkling range is also exempt from HFSS restrictions – just like Suntory Beverage & Food GB&I’s other favourite soft drink brands.
This year, Highland Spring will be focused on its plain sparkling water with a wellness campaign, which saw the collaboration of Highland Spring, Love is My Protest and Katie Smith Illustrations to create the ‘Uplift Your Everyday’ Journal.
In February this year, Budweiser will launch super-premium lager, Stella Artois Unfiltered. The unfiltered lager category, highly popular across Europe, is currently an untapped segment in the UK market and brings a differentiated, flavourful addition to the world lager category.
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Seeing the rising popularity of world beer, Molson Coor recently launched European-style lager MadríExcepcional that has a crisp, refreshing taste and distinctive branding.
Continental-style drinks such as Staropramen are becoming increasingly popular too, providing a more crisp and hoppy flavour than the styles we traditionally drink in the UK, says Fawell, adding that Staropramen’s malty taste profile provides a point of difference that really appeals to consumers.
Mondelez recently launched limited-edition Toblerone Golden which has the iconic crunchy nougat of a classic Toblerone in the delicious golden caramel chocolate, a perfect option for seasonal gift, helping retailers to drive premium sales and trade-up with a remarkable and distinctive limited-edition offer.
Ring in the new
Stocking enough will be inconsequential if a store does not attract and intrigue customers. When it comes to impulse purchase, display and merchandising is the key.
Soft drinks are a popular part of ‘meal deal’ offers, so placing them alongside complimentary categories like snacks or sandwiches can help to ensure linked purchases, Burgess from CCEP tells Asian Trader.
Highlighting the recyclability of products with in-store displays and on social media can help retailers to emphasise the contribution they’re making to the green future of their communities, Burgess says.
Fawell from Molson Coors too believe in placing apt food around beverages to inspire ideas and drive sales.
“Cobra – with its distinctive character and smoothness that is perfect alongside a curry –can be used as part of a meal deal for the perfect at-home curry night, alongside traditional sundries like poppadoms, onion bhajis and samosas,” he says.
Premium options like MadríExcepcional, Staropramen and Aspall Cyder also lend themselves to food pairings. Madrí Exceptional crisp andStaropramen’sflavour profile make it perfect for enjoying alongside meat dishes, while Aspall is a perfect accompaniment to lighter dishes such as fish and salads.
Multipack formats have been a key focus over the last year and will continue to do so next year as well.
“Chilled small multipacks – ranging from four-packs to ten-packs of cans or bottles – account for 72.8 per cent of impulse lager sales, with ten-packs in particular seeing the strongest growth in the last year as more people enjoyed more at-home occasions,” says Fawell.
To tap into this growing demand, Molson Coor has recently launched a Doom Bar ‘fridge pack’ containing 10x440ml cans, and a 6x330ml can multipack for Staropramen range to help retailers drive sales. Both packs are encased in a recyclable cardboard sleeve, making them entirely plastic free, he says.
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Brunet from Campari Group advises retailers to prepare ahead for a busier period and look at ways to inspire shoppers in store as prices rise and more Brits switch from on-trade to off-trade.
Retailers should also look to stock products that are versatile enough to meet the needs of different at-home occasions. Like, Aperol is a sophisticated aperitivo that is the ideal accompaniment to any meal but is also perfectly suited as a shareable serve for a larger group gathering.
Retailers should also encourage their customers to participate in the popular trend of cocktails at-home.
“With this trend remaining strong as we go into 2023, retailers should look to champion the brands at the heart of easy-to-create cocktails such as Wray & Nephew in the Wray Rum Punch and Aperol in the Aperol Spritz,” says Brunet, adding that a simple cocktail and a great shareable serve is the Wray Rum Punch.
When positioned alongside pineapple and pomegranate juices, retailers can encourage shoppers to add Wray & Nephew to their basket to try a fruity and delicious rum punch cocktail.
To keep independent retailers one step ahead in 2023, industry leaders have gone digital.
Suntory Beverage & Food has recently launched Simply Soft Drinks, a digital portal that retailers can use to plan their range carefully. Additionally, there’s a section which has tailored advice around the latest industry updates as well as info about legislative changes.
This year Budweiser also launched B2B e-commerce platform BEES that provides customers with seamless order experience, communication and better business performance. The platform accelerates the digital journey for retailers, allowing business owners to browse for products, place orders, earn rewards, arrange deliveries, manage invoices, and access business insights all in one place.
Suntoryand Budweiser will be joined by Mars Wrigley which is also introducing a valuable online tool designed specifically for independent retailers in the form of Availability into Action website.
“The Availability into Action website is an educational tool that offers a great opportunity for us to share insight and advice with our independent retail partners so they can achieve the best results possible,” Dale Cuthbert, Head of Impulse Category at Mars Wrigley, told Asian Trader.
The site also offers tips for retailers on how to create best-in-class displays for gums, a product whose sale largely depend on its visibility and point of purchase displays.
New Hope
While it seems all dark and hazy with prices and bills rising exponentially, the crisis comes with a silver lining for the local stores as more and more Britons are expected to opt to stay, eat and drink at home.
With 38 per cent of consumers already becoming more observant of pricing and sticking to an allocated budget, retailers should look to offer products at a wide range of price points, says Brunet from Campari Group.
To win in 2023, offering a ‘cocktails at-home’ bundle should be a prime consideration. A bundle would hit a set price point to encourage consumers to focus on this increasingly popular activity, whilst championing best-selling line, Brunet says.
What we’ve seen during previous times of economic uncertainty and is expected to be seen again is the “lipstick effect”, whereby consumers continue to spend money on smaller indulgences while cutting down on bigger expenditures.
Spending a little more on a premium drink could be one of the small indulgences that people are willing to treat themselves with, says Fawell, who is expecting more premium beer and cider lines like Aspall Cyder, Staropramen and MadríExcepcional to remain popular choices.
As Brits get ready to face 2023, it is time for store owners to buckle up, take a stock of what’s new and what’s needed so that shoppers keep coming back.
As we start a fresh calendar, it is time to make convenience channel rise and shine. Take a leap of faith and let’s begin this wondrous 2023.
The UK retail sector is bracing for a challenging but opportunity-filled 2025, according to Jacqui Baker, head of retail at RSM UK. While the industry grapples with rising costs and heightened crime, advancements in artificial intelligence and a revival of the high street offer potential pathways to growth, she said.
The latest Budget delivered a tough blow to the retail sector, exacerbating existing financial pressures. Retailers, who already shoulder a significant portion of business rates and rely heavily on a large workforce, face increased costs from rising employers’ National Insurance Contributions.
“Higher costs will also eat into available funds for future pay rises, benefits or pension contributions – hitting retailers’ cashflow in the short term and employees’ remuneration in the longer term,” Baker said.
“Retailers must get creative to manage their margins and attract footfall and spend, plus think outside the box to incentivise employees if they’re to hold onto talented staff.”
On the brighter side, falling inflation and lower interest rates could ease operational costs and restore consumer confidence, potentially driving retail spending upward.
High street resurgence
Consumers’ shopping habits are evolving, with a hybrid approach blending online and in-store purchases. According to RSM UK’s Consumer Outlook, 46 per cent of consumers prefer in-store shopping for weekly purchases, compared to 29 per cent for online, but the preference shifts to 47 per cent for online shopping for monthly buys and to 29 per cent for in-store. The most important in-store aspect for consumers was ease of finding products (59%), versus convenience (37%) for online.
“Tactile shopping experiences remain an integral part of the purchase journey for shoppers, so retailers need to prioritise convenience and the opportunity for discovery to bring consumers back to the high street,” Baker noted.
The government’s initiative to auction empty shops is expected to make brick-and-mortar stores more accessible to smaller, independent retailers, further boosting high street revival, she added.
A security guard stands in the doorway of a store in the Oxford Street retail area on December 13, 2024 in London, EnglandPhoto by Leon Neal/Getty Images
Meanwhile, retail crime, exacerbated by cost-of-living pressures, remains a significant concern, with shoplifting incidents reaching record highs. From organised social media-driven thefts to fraudulent delivery claims, the methods are becoming increasingly sophisticated.
“Crime has a knock-on effect on both margins and staff morale, so while the government is cracking down on retail crime, retailers also have a part to play by investing in data to prevent and detect theft,” Baker said.
“Data is extremely powerful in minimising losses and improving the overall operational efficiency of the business.”
AI as a game-changer
Artificial intelligence is emerging as a transformative force for the retail sector. From personalised product recommendations and inventory optimisation to immersive augmented reality experiences, AI is reshaping the shopping landscape.
“AI will undoubtedly become even more sophisticated over time, creating immersive and interactive experiences that bridge the gap between online and in-store. Emerging trends include hyper-personalisation throughout the entire shopping journey, autonomous stores and checkouts, and enhanced augmented reality experiences to “try” products before buying,” she said, adding that AI will be a “transformative investment” that determines the long-term viability of retail businesses.
The Amazon Fresh store in Ealing, LondonPhoto: Amazon
As financial pressures ease, sustainability is climbing up the consumer agenda. RSM’s Consumer Outlook found 46 per cent would pay more for products that are sustainably sourced, up from 28 per cent last year; while 44 per cent would pay more for products with environmentally friendly packaging, compared to 36 per cent last year.
“However, ESG concerns vary depending on age and income, holding greater importance among high earners and millennials. With financial pressures expected to continue easing next year, we anticipate a renewal of sustainability and environmentally conscious spending habits,” Baker noted.
“Retailers ought to tap into this by understanding the preferences of different demographics and most importantly, their target market.”
Southend-on-Sea City Council officials have secured food condemnation orders from Chelmsford Magistrates Court, resulting in the seizure and destruction of 1,100 unauthorised soft drinks.
The condemned drinks, including Mountain Dew, 7-UP, Mirinda, and G Fuel energy drinks, were found during routine inspections of food businesses across Southend by the council’s environmental health officers.
Council said these products contained either banned additives like Calcium Disodium EDTA or unauthorised novel ingredients such as Potassium Beta-hydroxybutyrate.
Calcium Disodium EDTA has been linked to potential reproductive and developmental effects and may contribute to colon cancer, according to some studies. Potassium Beta-hydroxybutyrate has not undergone safety assessments, making its inclusion in food products unlawful.
Independent analysis certified that the drinks failed to meet UK food safety standards. Magistrates ordered their destruction and ruled that the council's costs, expected to total close to £2,000, be recovered from the businesses involved.
“These products, clearly marketed towards children, contain banned or unauthorised ingredients. Southend-on-Sea City Council will always take action to protect the public, using enforcement powers to ensure unsafe products are removed from sale,” Cllr Kevin Robinson, cabinet member for regeneration, major projects, and regulatory services, said.
“As Christmas approaches, we hope this sends a strong message to businesses importing or selling such products: they risk significant costs and possible prosecution.”
The council urged residents to check labels when purchasing imported sweets and drinks, ensuring they include English-language details and a UK importer's address.
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A customer browses clothes inside Charity Super.Mkt at Brent Cross Shopping centre in north London on, December 17, 2024
Bursting with customers one afternoon the week before Christmas, a second-hand charity shop in London's Marylebone High Street looked even busier than the upscale retailers surrounding it.
One man grabbed two puzzle sets and a giant plush toy as a present for friends, another picked out a notebook for his wife.
“Since the end of September, we've seen a huge uplift in people coming to our shops and shopping pre-loved,” said Ollie Mead, who oversees the shop displays - currently glittering with Christmas decorations - for Oxfam charity stores around London.
At the chain of second-hand stores run by the British charity, shoppers can find used, or "pre-loved", toys, books, bric-a-brac and clothes for a fraction of the price of new items.
Popular for personal shopping, charity stores and online second-hand retailers are seeing an unlikely surge in interest for Christmas gifts, a time of year often criticised for promoting consumerism and generating waste.
A report last month by second-hand retail platform Vinted and consultants RetailEconomics found UK customers were set to spend £2 billion on second-hand Christmas gifts this year, around 10 per cent of the £20 billion Christmas gift market.
A woman browses some of the Christmas gift ideas in a store on December 13, 2024 in London, England. Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images
In an Oxfam survey last year, 33 per cent were going to buy second-hand gifts for Christmas, up from 25 percent in 2021.
“This shift is evident on Vinted,” Adam Jay, Vinted's marketplace CEO, told AFP.
“We've observed an increase in UK members searching for 'gift' between October and December compared to the same period last year.”
According to Mead, who has gifted second-hand items for the last three Christmas seasons, sustainability concerns and cost-of-living pressures are “huge factors”.
Skimming the racks at the central London store, doctor Ed Burdett found a keychain and notebook for his wife.
“We're saving up at the moment, and she likes to give things another life. So it'll be the perfect thing for her,” Burdett, 50, told AFP.
“It's nice to spend less, and to know that it goes to a good place rather than to a high street shop.”
'Quirky, weird
Wayne Hemingway, designer and co-founder of Charity Super.Mkt, a brand which aims to put charity shops in empty shopping centres and high street spaces, has himself given second-hand Christmas gifts for “many, many years”.
“When I first started doing it, it was classed as quirky and weird,” he said, adding it was now going more “mainstream”.
Similarly, when he first started selling second-hand clothes over 40 years ago, “at Christmas your sales always nosedive(d) because everybody wanted new”.
Now, however, “we are seeing an increase at Christmas sales just like a new shop would”, Hemingway told AFP.
“Last weekend sales were crazy, the shop was mobbed,” he said, adding all his stores had seen a 20-percent higher than expected rise in sales in the weeks before Christmas.
“Things are changing for the better... It's gone from second-hand not being what you do at Christmas, to part of what you do.”
Young people are driving the trend by making more conscious fashion choices, and with a commitment to a “circular economy” and to “the idea of giving back (in) a society that is being more generous and fair,” he said.
At the store till, 56-year-old Jennifer Odibo was unconvinced.
Buying herself a striking orange jacket, she said she “loves vintage”.
But for most people, she confessed she would not get a used gift. “Christmas is special, it needs to be something they would cherish, something new,” said Odibo.
“For Christmas, I'll go and buy something nice, either at Selfridges or Fenwick,” she added, listing two iconic British department stores.
Hemingway conceded some shoppers “feel that people expect something new” at Christmas.
“We're on a journey. The world is on a journey, but it's got a long way to go,” he added.
According to Tetyana Solovey, a sociology researcher at the University of Manchester, “for some people, it could be a bit weird to celebrate it (Christmas) with reusing.”
“But it could be a shift in consciousness if we might be able to celebrate the new year by giving a second life to something,” Solovey told AFP.
“That could be a very sustainable approach to Christmas, which I think is quite wonderful.”
Lancashire Mind’s 11th Mental Elf fun run was its biggest and best yet – a sell-out event with more than 400 people running and walking in aid of the mental charity, plus dozens more volunteering to make the day a huge success.
The winter sun shone on Worden Park in Leyland as families gathered for either a 5K course, a 2K run, or a Challenge Yours’Elf distance which saw many people running 10K with the usual running gear replaced with jazzy elf leggings, tinsel and Christmas hats.
And now the pennies have been counted, Lancashire Mind has announced that the event raised a fantastic £17,000.
This amount of money allows Lancashire Mind to deliver, for example, its 10-week Bounce Forward resilience programme in eight schools, reaching more than 240 children with skills and strategies that they can carry with them throughout their lives, making them more likely to ‘bounce forward’ through tough times.
The event was headline sponsored by SPAR for a third year through its association with James Hall & Co. Ltd, SPAR UK’s primary retailer, wholesaler, and distributor for the North of England.
“On behalf of the entire team at Lancashire Mind, we want to extend a heartfelt thank you to the 400+ incredible participants who joined us for Mental Elf 2024!” said Organiser Nicola Tomkins, Community and Events Fundraiser at Lancashire Mind.
“Your support, energy and commitment to raising awareness for mental health makes all the difference. Together, we've taken another important step towards breaking the stigma around mental health and promoting wellbeing for all in our community. We couldn't have done it without you!”
Worden Hall became the hub of the event where people could enjoy music from the Worldwise Samba Drummers and BBC stars Jasmine and Gabriella T, plus lots of family friendly activities and a chance to meet Father Christmas. Pets also got in on the act in the best dressed dog competition.
Lancashire Mind CEO David Dunwell said: “It was heart-warming day, full of community spirit and festive cheer, but with a serious aim to raise funds for mental health.
“We are so grateful to everyone who bought a ticket and fundraised or donated to help us smash our target. The money raised goes directly to supporting Lancashire Mind’s life-changing mental health services. These funds help provide wellbeing coaching, support groups, and educational programmes to individuals and families in need of mental health support in our community.”
The concept of Mental Elf was created by Lancashire Mind and news of the event has spread right across the country in recent years, with around 40 other local Mind charities hosting a similar event in 2024.
Lancashire schools were also encouraged to host their own Mental Elf-themed event this year, whether that was a run, bake sale or dress up day, and raised more than £1,000 in total.
Philippa Harrington, Marketing Manager at James Hall & Co. Ltd, said: “There was a lovely festive feel in the air at Mental Elf and we were delighted to see even more individuals, families, and canine companions taking part in its new home of Worden Park.
“We are also very pleased to see the uptake that Mental Elf has had in schools, and congratulations go to the Lancashire Mind team for taking it to new participants and for raising a fantastic amount of money for an important cause.”
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A woman walks past a window display promoting an ongoing sale, on December 13, 2024 in London, England.
UK retail sales rose less than expected in the runup to Christmas, according to official data Friday that deals a fresh blow to government hopes of growing the economy.
Separate figures revealed a temporary reprieve for prime minister Keir Starmer, however, as public borrowing fell sharply in November.
The updates follow news this week of higher inflation in Britain - an outcome that caused the Bank of England on Thursday to leave interest rates unchanged.
Retail sales by volume grew 0.2 per cent in November after a drop of 0.7 per cent in October, the Office for National Statistics said Friday.
That was less than analysts' consensus for a 0.5-percent gain.
"It is critical delayed spending materialises this Christmas to mitigate the poor start to retail's all-important festive season," noted Nicholas Found, senior consultant at Retail Economics.
"However, cautiousness lingers, slowing momentum in the economy. Households continue to adjust to higher prices (and) elevated interest rates."
He added that consumers were focused on buying "carefully timed promotions and essentials, while deferring bigger purchases".
The ONS reported that supermarkets benefited from higher food sales.
"Clothing stores sales dipped sharply once again, as retailers reported tough trading conditions," said Hannah Finselbach, senior statistician at the ONS.
Retail sales rose 0.2% in November 2024, following a fall of 0.7% in October 2024.
Growth in supermarkets and other non-food stores was partly offset by a fall in clothing retailers.
The Labour government's net borrowing meanwhile dropped to £11.2 billion last month, the lowest November figure in three years on higher tax receipts and lower debt-interest, the ONS added.
The figure had been £18.2 billion in October.
"Borrowing remains subject to upside risks... due to sticky interest rates, driven by markets repricing for fewer cuts in 2025," forecast Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.
Jacqui Baker, head of retail at RSM UK and chair of ICAEW’s Retail Group, commented that the later than usual Black Friday weekend meant November’s retail sales figures saw only a slight uptick as cost-conscious consumers held off to bag a bargain.
“Despite many retailers launching Black Friday offers early, November trade got off to a slow start which dragged on for most of the month. This was driven by clothing which fell to its lowest level since January 2022. The only saving grace was half-term and Halloween spending helped to slightly offset disappointing sales throughout November,” Baker said.
“As consumer confidence continues to build and shoppers return to the high street, this should translate into more retail spending next year. However, there are big challenges coming down the track for the sector, so retailers will be banking on a consumer-led recovery to come to fruition so they can combat a surge in costs.”
Thomas Pugh, economist at RSM UK, added: “The tick up in retail sales volumes in November suggests that the stagnation which has gripped the UK economy since the summer continued into the final months of the year.
“While the recent strong pay growth numbers may make the Bank of England uncomfortable, it means that real incomes are growing at just under 3 per cent, which suggests consumer spending should gradually rise next year. However, consumers remain extremely cautious. The very sharp drop in clothing sales in particular could suggest that consumers are cutting back on non-essential purchases.
“We still expect a rise in consumer spending next year, due to strong wage growth and a gradual decline in the saving rate, to help drive an acceleration in GDP growth. But the risks are clearly building that cautious consumers choose to save rather than spend increases in income, raising the risk of weaker growth continuing through the first half of next year.”