A latest report by PwC stated that a net figure of 10,059 stores ( 17,219 closures, 7,160 opening) exited high streets, shopping centres and retail parks over the last year. Good news here is that this is the lowest number seen in two years, though the report also states that vacant units in town and city centres are no longer being replaced by other chains owing to a “continued shift” to retail parks.
Over the past two decades, high streets saw closure of many brick-and-mortar stores. Even household names such as Woolworths, Debenhams and Topshop have disappeared from the streets, spurted further due to the rise of e-commerce.
As chain retailers have reduced the size of their store portfolios, independent retailers were also seen seizing the opportunity to occupy the vacated space. Since the start of 2017, the number of chain stores across the country has decreased by 5.97 percent, while the number of independent stores has increased by 1.28 percent, says a Deloitte report.
Pandemic only accelerated the trend further. With forced temporary closures, travel restrictions and social distancing guidelines, stores were further affected badly, especially places like cafes, pubs, salons and other non-necessary places.
Although convenience stores remained largely unaffected during pandemic, closure in vicinity implies lower footfall in the whole area.
(Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)
Association of Convenience Stores (ACS) chief executive James Lowman feels that closure in general is not good for c-stores.
“Around 10 percent of convenience stores trade on high streets and town centres and these stores often rely on footfall from shoppers who are on a wider shopping journey.
“When neighbouring businesses close, this inevitably has an impact on the overall numbers visiting the area and can have a negative impact on the store while the site is empty,” Lowman told Asian Trader.
While the recent trend and figures seem to indicate that the high street has come to a dead end in the UK, the assertion is not completely true.
It was predicted that the Covid-19 might give a fatal blow to UK’s declining high streets, multiple reports now show that the pandemic actually proved to be an equaliser in many aspects.
What’s happening where
Stronger city centres with large catchment areas saw a comparatively huge drop in footfall during pandemic. High streets in affluent areas were the worst hit with London and Edinburgh losing nearly a year’s worth of sales.
As per figures from Cities Outlook 2022, places like Oxford, Newcastle or Cambridge which before Covid-19 had relatively low numbers of empty shops on their high streets saw more closures than cities like Blackpool, Bradford or Doncaster, where the increase in vacancy rates was much more muted.
At the same time, high streets in suburbs, towns and villages remain unaffected as compared to those in London.
Retailer Anbalagan Perumal, who runs Family Shopper in Colsterworth, about seven miles south of Grantham, revealed how none of the shops in his area closed business in the past couple of years.
“I did not see any shop closures here during the pandemic. It’s a small village anyway with a small high street and with hardly a few thousand people,” Perumal told Asian Trader.
“Time was indeed very tough during the pandemic but in this village, no business was closed down."
Photo by NIKLAS HALLE'N/AFP via Getty Images
Similar views were echoed by retailer Anil Patel who runs Costcutter store in Chislehurst, a suburban district of south-east London, England, in the London Borough of Bromley.
“There are only about ten shops on my high street here. I did not see any closure during recent years. Not even during pandemic,” Patel told Asian Trader, stating that it seems “all the businesses are working fine”.
Retailer Simon Dixon runs Premier Express convenience store in Lower Darwen village in Blackburn. Being located close to a small industrial and a housing estate, the store benefits from plenty of passing trade.
However, Dixon reported “neither any store closure nor any new openings” during the past couple of years in his market town high street.
Situation, however, was a bit different in Hackney in London. Retailer Ankit Kumar Patel, who has a Premier store in the area reveals how he witnessed multiple store closures on his high street.
“I saw a few shops closing down,” Patel told Asian Trader.
“The shops that were closed on my high street were a nail shop, a Chinese restaurant and a cafe. Closure of the nail shop was obvious as there was no business during lockdown.
“The cafe and the chinese restaurant closed as they could not provide outdoor seating arrangement. Their takeaway sales also were not that great so they had no option but to close down,” Patel said, adding that businesses are now back to normal.
Photo by MIGUEL MEDINA/AFP via Getty Images
Post-pandemic, shoppers are now returning to the physical stores.
“Businesses are now back to normal. The shops that were closed also opened up. When other businesses are open and performing well, it helps my store as well as the whole area as each shop brings more footfall,” he said.
What Future Beholds
Rejuvenation of high streets is very much on the cards due to rising footfall post-pandemic as well as government’s schemes.
High street stores have long complained that they pay business rates based on property values of bricks-and-mortar outlets, a system that favours companies trading on the internet and those with large out-of-town depots.
In an effort to give them a boost, the government is contemplating introducing an online sales tax.
The government has begun consultation in the matter and is inviting arguments for and against such a move, the Treasury said in a statement on Feb 25, adding that no decision has been made yet in this regard.
One percent online sales tax could raise one billion pounds which in turn would go toward funding business rates relief, said the government.
Stating that high streets have been facing challenges for several years now due to change in shopping habits and rise of e-commerce, ACS has been calling on the government to “rethink the way that business rates are levied on bricks and mortar stores”.
“One of the biggest changes that the government can make to support high street businesses is a rethink of the way that business rates are levied on bricks and mortar stores.
“The government is currently consulting on the introduction of an online sales levy for online businesses, which we have previously called for as part of a rebalancing of the rates system,” Lowman said, adding that convenience stores on high streets and in town centres pay “very high business rates bills”.
Expectations are also high from the government’s upcoming Levelling Up White Paper that is anticipated to shed light on what the road to high street recovery will look like and how policy can help town and city centres to adapt to the changes brought on by Covid-19.
Various efforts are also seen on local levels. Like, East Suffolk Council cabinet is set to establish free high street Wi-Fi in 11 ‘digital towns’ after a successful trial run in Framlingham.
Photo by Peter Macdiarmid/Getty Images
Meanwhile, basic infra issues like lack of parking space continues to be one of the major hiccups in high streets especially in busy cities, majorly due to lack of space.
Hackney-based retailer Patel pointed out that lack of parking space is a huge issue in his area. He has raised with local authorities too though he does not expect much respite simply because “there is no space”.
“In the morning and peak times, there is quite a lot of traffic. Only if there was parking available around this area, people could have thought to stop and grab something quick. But, there is no option of parking in Hackney. I have spoken to the counsellors and they too say there is no option available,” he said.
Economics and strategy research consultancy Pragmatix Advisory and futures experts Trajectory were commissioned by the Local Government Association to identify how councils can help create resilient high streets. This January, they released a report and pointed out how pop-up shops and community events can be used as opportunities to engage visitors and thus diversify the high street’s calendar.
Another PwC report exploring what Britons want from high streets states that shoppers are most enthusiastic about more independent shops and restaurants (63 percent) as well as pedestrianisation (54 percent) and more green space (52 percent).
Acknowledging that there are challenges facing high street retailers, symbol group Costcutter, now owned by Bestway, believes retailers need to "invest in stores
and "focus on the customer experience". And Stocking fresh produce is one of the easiest key to attract more footfall.
Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images
"Retailers cannot afford to sit still and simply ‘protect’ what they currently have. While retailers have seen increased footfall in recent years, they need a strategy in place to maintain it and grow even further," a Bestway spokesperson told Asian Trader.
"To succeed in this channel, you need to invest in your store and really focus on the customer experience element of retail. This means not simply sticking with the status quo and focusing solely on what you already have.
"Instead, diversify where possible – such as bringing in more fresh produce, so that you’re not solely relying on impulse to drive profit, and start looking at what the main trends are in the channel.
"Business rates and inflationary pressures such as rising energy costs are affecting all businesses on our high streets. Independent retailers have a challenging time ahead, which is why joining the right symbol group can help businesses not only survive, but thrive."
Conclusion
While the pandemic may have ‘levelled down’ high streets, it hasn’t radically altered the geography of successful and less successful ones. Those places which had the highest number of empty units pre-pandemic are still facing the biggest challenges. Bradford, for instance, has seen virtually no change in its vacancy rate, but despite this still has one of the highest vacancy rates in the country. At the other end of the spectrum, Cambridge may have taken a bigger hit, but still ranks among the bottom 10 places with the fewest vacancies.
The localisation trend that has been accelerated by the pandemic will continue to work in favour of high street c-stores, renewing their importance.
Lowman feels it is time that high streets should go beyond retail.
“High streets, retail parks and shopping centres all have to evolve to meet the needs of the modern consumer. The offer to consumers has to be more than just retail, it has to be a shopping, dining and leisure experience rather than just a journey.”
“There is definitely a future for all of these areas, but they have to respond to consumer trends to stay relevant,” he concluded.
High street, as per experts, is ideally placed to reinvent itself in response to the shift in working and shopping habits. The fragmented ownership, lack of centralised coordination, low rents and high vacancy rates- the weaker points of high streets also present new opportunities as they open up the space for new concepts and operators, making our streets a diverse as well as an exciting place.
SPAR Derwent in Keswick has become the latest store to introduce an Ann Forshaw’s Milk Shed, bringing fresh whole milk and delicious flavoured milkshakes to the local community.
The new Milk Shed follows successful launches at Ann Forshaw’s Alston Dairy and SPAR stores in Burnley and Milnthorpe.
The vending machine, open 24-hours-a-day, dispenses gently pasteurised, non-homogenised milk, available in 500ml (£1) and one-litre (£1.60) servings, with milk delivered daily from Alston Dairy at Longridge, near Preston, the home of the Ann Forshaw’s brand.
Milkshakes, priced at £1.80 for 500ml and £2.80 for one litre, come in Chocolate, Strawberry, Banana, Vanilla, and Salted Caramel flavours. A sixth Limited Edition flavour will always be on rotation to complement the core range – starting with Red Velvet for Valentine’s Day, and special edition glass bottles with love hearts on them will be available to purchase from the machine.
To celebrate February half-term, a retro throwback range featuring Cream Soda, Parma Violet, Cola, Lime, Candy Floss, and Mixed Berry will also be available.
Ann Forshaw’s Milk Shed at SPAR Derwent
All the milkshakes use natural flavourings and colourings where possible and do not contain the ‘Southampton Six’ food colours which have been found to have an adverse effect on activity and attention in children.
Eco-conscious customers can opt for Milk Shed branded reusable glass bottles for plastic-free refills. Plus, recyclable cups and paper straws are available for a greener experience.
“Wherever we launch an Ann Forshaw’s Milk Shed, our SPAR customers love the concept, and we have high hopes that our latest launch will be lapped up by the community in Keswick,” Fiona Drummond, Company Stores Director at James Hall & Co. Ltd, said.
“There is nothing not to like about the product. The milk is competitively priced, and the milkshakes are a delicious treat and suitable for all ages with the conscious decision to utilise natural flavourings.”
There is more to come for SPAR customers in Cumbria this Spring with rollouts of Milk Sheds taking place soon at SPAR Bowness, SPAR Maryport, and SPAR Whitehaven.
Ann Forshaw’s and its associated Alston Dairy was acquired by the James Hall Group of Companies in December 2022.
Belfast’s SPAR Cavehill closed out 2024 with a heartwarming community celebration, marking the 70th birthday of former store owner Norman Porter while raising £800 for two local charities.
The event, organised by the store’s current owners, Frank Quigley and Norman’s daughter, Jenny Reilly, brought together staff, customers, and local residents to celebrate the milestone birthday and support SPAR’s charity partner, Marie Curie, as well as the Community Fire & Rescue Service.
Norman, who owned and operated SPAR Cavehill for over 40 years, remains an integral part of the store’s daily operations even after passing ownership to Jenny and longtime store manager Frank in 2015. His longstanding presence in the community made the occasion particularly special.
“It was important to me and the whole team to celebrate dad’s 70th birthday,” Reilly said. “Having owned and run SPAR Cavehill for over 40 years, he is a well-known and respected figure in the local community, so our shoppers were delighted to join in the celebrations and show their appreciation.”
The in-store birthday party featured cake, coffee, and treats in exchange for donations, while customers also had the opportunity to win prizes with the SPAR Spinner. Special guest Sammy SPAR made an appearance, adding to the festive atmosphere. Volunteers from the Community Fire & Rescue Service attended to thank shoppers for their support and raise awareness of their vital services. Additionally, the Dale Farm van stopped by to distribute ice lollies in return for contributions to Marie Curie.
“Being a hub in the community, it’s always been important to us to show our support, so it was a no brainer to mark my dad’s birthday by fundraising for two local charities,” Reilly added.
“The celebrations were a great success, and we were thrilled to see so many of our community coming together to show their support, helping us raise a total of £800 for Marie Curie and Community Fire & Rescue Service. I want to extend a huge thank you to our shoppers and our team at SPAR Cavehill.”
Expressing his gratitude, Norman Porter said: “Thank you to the team at SPAR Cavehill, our shoppers and whole community for celebrating my 70th birthday with me. It has been a privilege to serve the community for so many years and we have appreciated their ongoing support for the store. A special thank you goes to my daughter Jenny for making it a birthday to remember.”
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IQOS heat-not-burn device and a Marlboro cigarette pack
Philip Morris International (PMI) has forecast an increase of up to 12.5 per cent in adjusted diluted EPS for 2025, following a strong financial performance in 2024, driven by the continued expansion of its smoke-free product portfolio.
The company delivered a reported diluted EPS of $4.52 (£3.63), or $6.01 before a Canada non-cash impairment of $1.49, compared to $5.02 in 2023. Adjusted diluted EPS reached $6.57, representing growth of 9.3 per cent, and 15.6 per cent on a currency-neutral basis.
“2024 was a remarkable year for PMI,” said Jacek Olczak, PMI chief executive. “We delivered very strong full-year results driven by the continued growth of IQOS and ZYN in addition to a robust combustibles performance.”
Olczak highlighted the recent US FDA authorisation of all currently marketed ZYN nicotine pouches, calling it “further evidence of the compelling science supporting smoke-free products.” He also urged other countries to follow the US lead and embrace effective tobacco harm reduction measures, particularly where smoke-free alternatives are banned.
Quarterly shipments of heat-not-burn (HTU) and oral smoke-free products exceeded 40 billion units for the first time. Full-year net revenues for the Smoke-Free Business increased by 14.2 per cent (16.7 per cent organically), with gross profit up 18.7 per cent (22.7 per cent organically). Smoke-free products now account for 40 per cent of PMI's total net revenues and approximately 42 per cent of gross profit. The company estimates 38.6 million adult users of its smoke-free products.
IQOS continues to be a strong performer, strengthening its position as the second-largest nicotine ‘brand’ in markets where it is present. HTU adjusted in-market sales (IMS) volume was up an estimated 12.6 per cent for the full year. In Japan, ILUMA i fuelled IQOS growth, with adjusted IMS up around 13 per cent for both the full year and the fourth quarter. In Europe, IQOS HTU adjusted market share increased to 10.6 per cent in the fourth quarter. VEEV is also gaining traction as a top 3 pod brand in 13 European markets.
In the oral smoke-free products business, full-year shipment volume increased by nearly 28 per cent in cans (nearly 25 per cent in pouches). Fourth-quarter shipment volume increased by 25 per cent in cans (22 per cent in pouches), driven by ZYN nicotine pouch growth in the US.
Full-year net revenues grew by 4.0 per cent (5.9 per cent organically) in the combustibles business, primarily due to strong pricing.
For 2025 fiscal, PMI forecasts reported diluted EPS to be in the range of $6.55 to $6.68. Excluding adjustments, this reflects a 7.2 per cent to 9.1 per cent increase compared to 2024’s adjusted EPS of $6.57, or 10.5 per cent to 12.5 per cent growth on a currency-neutral basis.
The company anticipates total cigarette and smoke-free product shipment volume growth of up to 2 per cent, driven by smoke-free products. Net revenue growth is projected at around 6 per cent to 8 per cent on an organic basis.
“With strong momentum across all categories, we are confident that our smoke-free transformation and unparalleled brand portfolio will continue to deliver excellent performance and create value for our shareholders in 2025 and for the long term,” Olczak said.
The forecast assumes an estimated 1 per cent decline in international industry volume for cigarettes and HTUs (excluding China and the US), and an acceleration in US nicotine pouch shipment volume. It also factors in capital expenditures of approximately $1.5 billion, including further ZYN capacity investments in the US.
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Fujitsu, the tech company at the heart of the UK's Post Office scandal
Post office Horizon scandal campaigners have slammed the government for extending a post-Brexit contract worth £67 million with the controversial firm Fujitsu.
A recent report by The Independent stated that His Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC) has granted a year-long extension to Fujitsu, which developed the faulty software leading to the wrongful prosecution of hundreds of subpostmasters for theft and false accounting, to run its Trader Support Service (TSS),
Fujitsu ruled itself out of bidding for government contracts in January last year due to its role in the Horizon Post Office scandal.
But the extension, worth £66.8m and detailed in documents seen by the media house, was approved because it is not a new contract.
Former sub post-mistress Seem Misra OBE has criticised the government over this move.
She stated on X, "We (SPMR) couldn't work due to wrongful convictions, yet Fujitsu—whose system destroyed lives—is expanding. What have they offered this time to stay quiet? Where's the justice?"
— (@)
Lord Arbuthnot, who campaigned for wrongly convicted sub postmasters, said it was “a worrying decision by the government on several levels”.
“First, it sends Fujitsu and other companies the message that the country doesn’t care about the unethical behaviour shown by Fujitsu in the Post Office scandal.
“Second, it weakens the government’s bargaining power in requiring Fujitsu to bear a substantial portion of the cost of that scandal.
“Third, it suggests that the government is uncomfortably dependent on Fujitsu. And fourth, it ignores the fact that Fujitsu’s capability on this contract may be no better than their Post Office capability," he told The Independent.
“Why didn’t they start work earlier on finding someone else?”
Meanwhile, HMRC said the extension was needed in order to “ensure a period of stabilisation” while new trading arrangements come into place under the Windsor Framework.
It has promised to run a procurement process in the coming months to replace Fujitsu in delivering the service.
Fujitsu in the past has won nearly £6.8bn in nearly 200 contracts from the public sector, including 11 for HMRC to the value of over £1bn, and 12 contracts with the Ministry of Defence for £582m.
High streets need to optimise for midweek office workers as Brits return to office, as shown by latest data on footfall, suggesting areas of focus for retailers such as extending trading hours in the evening and paying attention on grab-and-go meals.
According to the latest data from retail tech specialist MRI Software, retail footfall bucked seasonal trends in January, rising +1.4 per cent year on year across all UK retail destinations,
This marks the first annual increase in January footfall since 2016 (+1.2 per cent), outside of the pandemic period, suggesting that a stronger return to office work is driving retail visits as businesses push employees back to in-person work.
As expected, post-holiday footfall dropped sharply month on month, falling by almost -20 per cent across all UK retail destinations.
The decline was most pronounced in the second week of January, coinciding with schools and offices reopening, exacerbated by heavy snowfall and widespread travel disruptions.
High streets bore the steepest decline, with footfall plunging -22.4 per cent from December to January, followed by shopping centres at -21.7 per cent, while retail parks fared slightly better with a -16.5 per cent decline.
However, the shift back to office-based work was evident throughout January.
Weekday footfall rose by +1.6 per cent year on year, while weekend footfall dropped by -3.5 per cent, underscoring the growing weekday retail opportunity.
MRI Software’s Central London Back to Office benchmark showed a +1.4 per cent annual footfall increase, largely driven by a +4.4 per cent uplift during early evening hours (17:00-20:00). The trend suggests that after-work activity is picking up, offering retailers an opportunity to tap into office workers' midweek spending habits.
Data from MRI Software’s Consumer Pulse report reveals that evening shopping (post-5PM) is now the most common time for office workers to visit retail destinations, with 34 per cent preferring to shop after work.
Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays see the highest overlap between office attendance and retail activity, with 58 per cent of respondents working in the office on Tuesdays and aligning shopping trips for midweek convenience.
Additionally, 31 per cent of respondents reported visiting high streets during lunch hours—more than any other retail destination—highlighting the importance of proximity and convenience for office workers on their break.