Over a third (39 per cent) of middle market businesses have experienced supply chain issues in the past 12 months, a new survey has found as it warned that these woes are here to stay as multiple pressure points mount.
As far as retail is concerned, this is merely the tip of the iceberg with the sector bearing the brunt of many of the issues caused by the pandemic, Brexit and now the war in Ukraine, notes the latest "The Real Economy" report from consulting firm RSM UK.
While retailers have built supply chains on a single point of origin strategy where goods could be sourced, manufactured and shipped cheaply, this model is no longer reliable, profitable or sustainable, it adds.
The report found one in three business leaders said the pandemic was the main driver of supply chain challenges, and around one in five blamed Brexit for the ongoing turmoil. Other reasons for the disruption included increased shipping costs, cited by 16 per cent of respondents, events in Ukraine (12 per cent) and increased competition for scarce resources (10 per cent).
“The first supply chain shocks came from Brexit and getting goods to and from Europe. Then we had coronavirus related chaos, where issues were most acutely felt with our trade with China, impacting goods using advanced microchips, semi-conductors and textiles, the latter still acutely affecting fast fashion. But now we have a more general supply chain issue affecting basic necessities too. This is when the challenges for retailers, many of whom operate within complex international supply chains, really start to bite,” Jacqui Baker, partner and head of retail at RSM UK, said.
“Unfortunately, there’s no going back from the disruption we’ve seen, and retailers should prepare for future shockwaves to come. For the first time we are seeing very clearly how climate change will feed into economic recession and problems with supply chains. At least five European countries including the UK declared states of emergency or red alerts in July in relation to the unprecedented hot weather.”
Long queues of lorries make their way to the Port of Dover on March 24, 2022 in Dover, England. (Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)
RSM’s research showed the top five supply chain issues that businesses are currently experiencing include delays with orders (48 per cent), increasing costs (46 per cent), missed deadlines (37 per cent), orders not fulfilled (35 per cent) and poor communication from suppliers (34 per cent).
Around two thirds of middle market businesses surveyed - companies with a turnover between £10m and £750m, or financial institutions with assets under management of £200m to £7.5bn - said their supply chain issues were also causing problems for their downstream customers. Over half said they’d been delayed in fulfilling their customers’ orders and 43 per cent had increased the price of their goods significantly. Around a third admitted some orders were not fulfilled at all.
To address the problems, in the past year almost half (42 per cent) of businesses have increased the number of suppliers they use in an attempt to become less reliant on one source, a third have nearshored the supply chain and 41 per cent are considering nearshoring within the next 12 months.
Baker added: “The issues we are seeing now gives an insight into how many businesses were not adequately ready to cushion against the global supply shocks. This is clearly not just a UK issue but very much a similar story across other advanced economies. While ‘just in time’ helped supply chains become leaner, the pandemic exposed its weaknesses. A switch by some cash-rich retailers to ‘just in case’ supply tactics has helped strengthen their supply chains and improve stock levels of core products. But getting the right balance of tightly controlling orders and not spending too much cash is a massive challenge; and for many cash-strapped retailers they can ill afford to employ ‘just in case’ tactics in the first instance.”
Shelves in a supermarket look sparse as supply chain issues continue on September 22, 2021 in Northwich, England. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)
Here are the report’s recommendations for retailers to improve efficiencies and minimise risk within their supply chains:
End-to-end visibility: Retailers must embrace technology that offers a single view of their supply chain, not disconnected multiple data systems, that allows collaboration and transparency across all functions of the business. This can help accelerate response times and reduce bottlenecks.
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket: Volume discounts can make committing to one supplier an attractive and short-term proposition. Rather than being at the mercy of one supplier retailers can reduce that risk through multiple suppliers to also mitigate problems such as capacity constraints or delivery.
Dynamic inventory management: Retailers are rich in data. By harnessing forecasting tools, customer demand and information from primary suppliers, retailers can manage their inventories intelligently.
Empower teams: When supply chains are disrupted, complex matrix structures and hierarchical leadership can stop a fleet-footed response when decision making is time critical to keep operations working effectively.
Collaboration when buying and planning: Collaboration across the supply chain will be key to securing the right assortment of products with minimum disruption and hopefully maximise profit margins.
Natural cheese slice brand Leerdammer has launched a new initiative, "Talk It Out", in support of YoungMinds. The new mental health programme will use comedy to help parents and young people to get talking and have better conversations about mental wellbeing.
Research shows that three-quarters (76 per cent) of parents said their children’s mental health had deteriorated while waiting for support from Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS).
To launch Talk It Out, award-winning Bristol born comedian Stuart Goldsmith performed a one-off special stand-up gig at the Bristol Grammar School on 13 January. Encouraging students and parents to tackle talking about mental wellbeing through humour, attendees were also signposted to the expert support, advice and guidance that YoungMinds offers.
Lactalis UK & Ireland hope to roll the initiative out across the UK later in the year, to reach and support even more families in need.
“We have developed an initiative that we hope will really have a positive impact on young people’s mental health but also, importantly, raise awareness of YoungMinds so they can guide parents and their children towards accessing better mental health care," said Heloise Le Norcy-Trott, Group Marketing Director at Lactalis UK & Ireland.
"Leerdammer is an uplifting and comedic brand, so we were motivated to tap into our unique personality with a partnership that would really make a difference among local communities. It’s clear that talking about mental health can be hard, but humour is a great way of initiating a conversation about difficult subjects which are often avoided by families. We hope by using Leedammer to support YoungMinds – and by bringing comedians in to speak to the students – they and their parents will see how essential it is to start these conversations and realise there is support out there available to them.
“We are piloting the idea this month, then aiming to roll this out across the UK later in the year so we can reach and support even more families in need. We are always looking at ways to strengthen our positive impact across the UK and are grateful to Stuart Goldsmith for taking time to help spread the word.”
Vernon Samuels, Parent Engagement Officer at YoungMinds said: “We are delighted that Leerdammer is bringing attention to YoungMinds services in this way and helping to open up the conversation about children and young people’s mental health through “Talk it Out”. Our Parent Engagement Officer in Bristol will be providing community outreach and parent / carer engagement sessions to create a safe space for parents to get peer support, and this initiative will help us reach more people who need YoungMinds’ support.”
The Welsh government has been advised to increase the minimum price per unit of alcohol to at least 65p to maintain the positive impacts observed since the introduction of minimum pricing for alcohol (MPA) in 2020.
This recommendation is the key finding from an independent evaluation report published on Wednesday, which assessed the policy’s effect on alcohol-related behaviours, consumption, and retail outcomes.
Wales introduced its MPA policy on 2 March 2020, setting a minimum price of 50p per unit. The legislation aimed to reduce hazardous and harmful drinking by targeting the affordability of cheap, high-strength alcohol. The policy followed Scotland’s lead, where a similar measure at 50p had already been implemented.
The report, covering the period up to June 2024, highlighted several positive outcomes from the implementation of MPA in Wales:
Reduction in cheap alcohol products: Certain high-strength, low-cost products, such as large volumes of cheap ciders and lagers, were removed from the market.
Retail compliance: Retailers across Wales consistently adhered to the minimum pricing rules.
Consumption shifts: There was evidence of consumers switching from cheap ciders and lagers to other beverages like wine and spirits.
Reduction in overall consumption: Indicative data showed that alcohol consumption, measured through purchasing behaviour, decreased among Welsh drinkers.
Notably, the policy had a greater impact on those drinking at harmful levels, with dependent drinkers and individuals seeking treatment experiencing more significant changes. However, the report acknowledged that the financial strain on low-income, heavy drinkers led to adverse effects, such as prioritising alcohol purchases over essentials like food or bills.
The evaluation report draws heavily on insights from Scotland’s experience with MPA, where a price increase to 65p has already been implemented.
“The obvious step would be to follow the Scottish lead and renew the legislation, and thus retain the policy option,” the report recommends. “Electing not to renew the MPA legislation and letting the ‘sunset clause’ take effect has certain implications. The most obvious of these is that Wales will see the return of the availability of cheaper alcohol products and the associated increase in harms.”
Moreover, the loss of the policy could make it challenging for the Welsh government to reintroduce MPA in the future without the UK government support, it noted.
Sarah Murphy, the Welsh minister for mental health and wellbeing, welcomed the evaluations and their findings. She added that MPA is only one component of Wales’s broader alcohol policy, which includes significant investments in substance misuse treatment services.
In a written statement, Murphy confirmed that the Welsh government is initiating a 12-week consultation with relevant stakeholders to inform its report on the operation and effect of the legislation.
The minister highlighted the robust enforcement of the policy by Trading Standards Wales, which has reported just six fines following over 3,000 inspections since the legislation’s introduction. She also acknowledged the evaluation’s findings that substitution of alcohol with illegal substances or significant cross-border shopping have not been major concerns.
The report’s findings align with international research that identifies affordability as a critical component of effective alcohol policy. Minimum pricing is recognised by the World Health Organisation as a ‘best buy’ for reducing alcohol harm.
GroceryAid has announced that it will assume responsibility for the welfare funds of the former Tobacco Trade Benevolent Association from early February.
Currently overseen by the Tobacco Pipe Makers & Tobacco Trade Benevolent Fund, GroceryAid said the move will extend the charity’s reach and give current as well as former tobacco industry workers, including those from manufacturing, wholesale and retail, access to its wide range of welfare services.
“Extending our reach to include employees and former employees in the tobacco industry reflects our broader vision of supporting workers across the entire spectrum of the UK grocery sector. We want to ensure no individual is left without access to critical support when they need it most,” Kieran Hemsworth, CEO of GroceryAid, commented.
“We are committed to honouring the legacy of the Tobacco Trade Benevolent Association while bringing our more comprehensive support services to their beneficiaries.”
Jonathan Fell, chair of the Tobacco Pipe Makers & Tobacco Trade Benevolent Fund, added: “We are excited about the opportunity to provide enhanced support to our beneficiaries. GroceryAid’s comprehensive support services, including financial grants, 24/7 helpline service and counselling on a range of topics, will ensure that individuals we have supported continue to receive the care and assistance they need. Our Benevolent Fund looks forward to continuing to support a range of good causes from our General Fund.”
The transfer of responsibilities is expected to apply from 6 February this year. For more information about GroceryAid and the support available, visit groceryaid.org.uk.
Convenience retail continues to remain a robust sector despite rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, states leading property adviser Christie & Co today (16) in its annual report.
Christie & Co's report "Business Outlook 2025" reflects on key market activity, trends and challenges of 2024 and forecasts what 2025 might bring across the industries, including the convenience retail sector.
The report notes that in 2024 retail deal activity continued in the same strong vein as in H2 2023, and convenience retail remains a robust sector driven by need, providing solid investment opportunities. As such, Christie & Co's retail price index rose by 7.3 per cent.
Despite operational challenges from rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, there was a strong demand for opportunities.
According to Christie & Co 2024 data revealed in the report, there was a 20 per cent increase in the number of stores sold compared to 2023, with an average of ten viewings per sale.
Ever-increasing overheads will continue to present challenges for store owners and are causing the multiples to increase the turnover threshold for profitable stores.
Christie & Co notes that, as costs rise, continued divestment from corporate multiple retailers is expected and these divestments will inevitably present new opportunities for independent buyers in 2025.
The report also outlines Christie & Co's market predictions for the year ahead
Retailers will continue to face rising costs as a result of measures outlined in the Autumn Budget, and this will affect wages in particular.
This has the potential to cause inflation. However, as convenience stores are needs-driven, consumers will accept price rises or seek out value for money, states the report.
Retailers may be less inclined to hire more staff because of increasing wages and taxations, as announced in the Budget.
Due to increasing Government restrictions on unhealthy products, suppliers will have to adapt their offerings to fit requirements or sellers will have to evolve their product range, the report added.
It is unlikely that there will be a reduction in demand for sites, but purchasers will most likely factor cost increases into their offers while divestments from corporate multiple retailers are expected to continue as they continue to see costs go up and "tail end" stores may struggle, states the report.
Steve Rodell, Managing Director of Retail and Leisure at Christie & Co comments, “We are in the very fortunate position to be at the forefront of convenience retail business-to-business transactions, and we have worked very hard to become the market leaders.
"This is now a valuable position to be in, as other areas of retail, including much of the high street, struggle with internet shopping and multiple channels of competition.
"Convenience retail remains a needs-based sector, and as long as retailers listen to customers and satisfy local demand there is a good future for the convenience store.”
A recent study by Juul Labs researchers has revealed that adult smokers who completely switched to using the JUUL2 system achieved reductions in exposure to harmful and potentially harmful constituents (HPHCs) that were comparable to those who abstained entirely from tobacco and nicotine products.
The study, published in the journal Biomarkers, highlights the potential of JUUL2 as a harm reduction tool for smokers unable or unwilling to quit nicotine entirely.
The randomised study involved 89 adult smokers who were divided into three groups: one that switched completely to JUUL2 (using either Virginia Tobacco or Polar Menthol pods), another that continued smoking their usual cigarette brand, and a third that abstained from all tobacco and nicotine products for six days.
While nicotine exposure levels between the JUUL2 group and those continuing cigarette use remained similar, participants who switched to JUUL2 showed substantial reductions in exposure to HPHCs. Median reductions in biomarkers of exposure (BOEs) to non-nicotine HPHCs ranged from 65 per cent to 94 per cent – a statistically significant improvement compared to those who continued smoking cigarettes.
Interestingly, the reductions in non-nicotine BOEs among the JUUL2 group were comparable to those observed in participants who abstained completely from tobacco and nicotine products.
The findings suggest that adult smokers who fully transition to using JUUL2 system can significantly decrease their exposure to harmful substances found in combustible cigarettes, potentially reducing their risk of smoking-related diseases.
The study adds to the growing body of evidence supporting the role of electronic nicotine delivery systems products in tobacco harm reduction strategies, emphasising the importance of complete transition from smoking to achieve these benefits.
JUUL2 was launched in April 2022 following a successful pilot launch on Juul.co.uk. The rechargeable pod-based system was updated from previous versions with new technologies and features, including the capability to combat potentially harmful and compatible pods, striking a blow to the illicit trade market of JUUL products.