More than one in four UK businesses were impacted by civil unrest last year, with nearly two thirds citing a continuation of the problem as a major concern for 2025.
The research was conducted by global risk management and insurance broking firm Gallagher in January 2025 among over 500 UK business decision-makers at firms of all sizes and gauged the effect of civil unrest during 2024, including protests, vandalism, looting and riots.
The damage reported by business leaders came in several different forms, as nearly half (47 per cent) of impacted firms reported that they had to close their premises, 44 per cent said their premises were damaged and 40 per cent said either stock or equipment was damaged or stolen.
Protests and riots were rife in the UK in 2024, with the vast majority taking place in England.
According to ACLED data collated by Gallagher’s crisis management team nearly 1000 protests took place, equivalent of just short of 20 events per week, with subjects such as climate change, politics and immigration driving protesters to the streets.
Of particular note were the riots that followed a multiple stabbing incident in Southport with demonstrations subsequently taking place in 27 towns and cities between 30 July and 7 August.
Insured losses from these events are estimated at £250 million3 and millions more has been claimed from the public purse in compensation payments. However these figures are the tip of the iceberg for firms impacted by loss of trade and uninsured losses, plus the cost of policing which is paid for by all UK council taxpayers.
Thousands of people were arrested and hundreds have subsequently been imprisoned for their part in the disturbances.
Many businesses have taken measures to prepare for the effects of future trouble – regardless of whether they were impacted in 2024.
More than one in three (35 per cent) have increased security; one in four (28 per cent) have taken action to evaluate the risks they are facing and a similar number (25 per cent) have reviewed their insurance to ensure they are covered in the event of damage or disruption.
The research also looked at anti-social behaviour with business leaders more likely to be concerned about risks from anti-social behaviour on their trading than terrorism risks (32 per cent v 30 per cent).
Of the firms affected by anti-social behaviour, 41 per cent said their firm had experienced a theft, 38 per cent had been subject to threatening behaviour and 36 per cent said vandalism had caused a problem.
Theft from retailers has surged, with shoplifting rising by a third in the 12 months to June 2024, according to the ONS, leading to many retailers to review how they combat this behaviour.
Jonathan Rae, Director of Crisis Management at Gallagher said, “It is clear that all kinds of civil unrest in the UK is a problem and is weighing heavily on the minds of business leaders.
"With many of the underlying conditions cited by business leaders still present in the UK, from inflationary pressures to societal division, it is no surprise UK businesses are concerned about another year of anti-social behaviour, and many making plans to protect themselves against its impact.
“Businesses of all types are exposed to civil unrest, and having the right insurance is key to mitigating the impact and any financial losses.
UK business leaders should work with an experienced crisis resilience risk adviser who can provide advice and guidance on what insurance is needed to cover different exposures.
As well as insuring damage to properties and having the right business interruption cover if firms are unable to trade, businesses should also consider crisis resilience insurance which includes a wide range of cover including risk management advice, access to emergency funds, employee awareness training, 24/7 response consultants, liaison with the authorities and business recovery advice.”
Consumer confidence in the UK economy has taken another hit, with expectations reaching a new low, states the latest industry data, ringing alarm bells ahead of upcoming hikes scheduled in April on multiple fronts.
While households are also gloomier about their own personal finances, retailers are also facing mounting challenges, with rising operational costs and potential hiring freezes on the horizon.
According to BRC-Opinium data released today (20), consumer expectations over the next three months of the state of the economy worsened to -37 in February, down from -34 in January. This is the fifth consecutive month in which expectations have worsened.
Their personal financial situation dropped to -11 in February, down from -4 in January while their personal spending on retail rose to -5 in February, up from -9 in January.
Their personal spending overall remained at +4 in February, the same as in January and their personal saving remained at -3 in February, the same as in January, shows the BRC data.
Helen Dickinson, Chief Executive of the British Retail Consortium, says, "People’s expectations of the economy reached a new low, having fallen almost 40pts since July 2024.
"Even Gen Z (18-27), the most upbeat generation on the economy and their own finances, saw a drop off in optimism. There was also a widening gender divide in confidence this month, with women more pessimistic than men about both the economy and their own finances by 13 and 17pts respectively.
"With many businesses warning of the impact that April’s employer NIC’s increase will have on hiring, and the rising energy price cap pushing up the cost of domestic bills, it is little surprise that many households are worried.
"And while there was a positive increase in expectations of personal retail spending, this may be largely driven by the expectations of higher prices in the future."
Expectations of higher prices are not unfounded, with two-thirds of retailers saying prices will have to rise as a result of the £7bn in additional costs, including higher employer NICs and a new packaging levy, Dickinson says.
"Almost half of retailers also warned of hiring freezes, with entry-level jobs often among the first to go as they seek any cost efficiencies to help them protect customers from the worst of the rising costs.
"As the Government bill on the future of business rates progresses through Parliament, it is essential that no shop ends up paying more in rates as a result of these reforms, otherwise retailers will face a triple whammy of Budget costs, business rates rises, and new packaging and recycling levies, all of which will filter through to consumer prices.”
Consumers Prioritise Familiar Foods Over New Health Trends, Finds Vypr Report
There is a clear trend among consumers for simple, everyday foods and drinks rather than niche supplements or complex new trends, states a new report, highlighting how retailers have a huge opportunity to cater to these evolving health priorities by providing accessible and affordable options
According to Vypr’s latest Consumer Horizon Report, despite a growing market of specialised health products, consumers are turning to familiar solutions.
When it comes to boosting energy, for example, 38 per cent of consumers choose bananas, 33 per cent opt for energy drinks, and 25 per cent turn to coffee. This stands in stark contrast to emerging ingredients such as guava, yerba mate, and goji berries, which attract the interest of less than 10 per cent of the population.
Ben Davies, founder of Vypr, said, “Consumers are not buying into every new health trend.
"Instead, they’re sticking to tried-and-tested foods and drinks that offer a practical way to meet their needs. This preference for the familiar—such as bananas for energy, chamomile tea for sleep, and nuts for mental wellbeing—demonstrates a shift away from the complex and toward the simple and accessible.”
When it comes to sleep, consumers are also looking to everyday solutions like chamomile tea (18 per cent), lavender oil (17 per cent), and magnesium supplements (16 per cent).
Mental health is another major focus for consumers, with 24 per cent incorporating antioxidant-rich foods like berries and leafy greens into their diets.
Other popular choices include nuts and seeds (21per cent) and coffee (21per cent) for their potential mental health benefits.
At the same time, consumers are making conscious efforts to avoid foods that are perceived as negatively impacting their wellbeing. For example, 25 per cent are reducing their intake of highly processed foods, 19 per cent are cutting back on energy drinks and high-fat foods, and 18 per cent are drinking less alcohol.
“Retailers and manufacturers face a key challenge in meeting these shifting health priorities while ensuring affordability,” said Ben. “Consumers are making health-conscious choices, but they still want products that fit into their everyday lives and budgets.”
The demand for products supporting gut health is also on the rise, with 25 per cent of consumers incorporating beneficial bacteria into their diets, and 60 per cent being open to buying gut health products.
Functional foods are also gaining momentum, with 59 per cent of consumers purchasing functional foods at least once a month—an increase from last year.
As the demand for sleep, mental wellbeing, and energy solutions grows, the grocery sector has an opportunity to cater to these evolving health priorities by providing accessible and affordable options that resonate with consumers’ desire for simplicity and effectiveness.
Vypr’s findings are based on responses from 2,000 people, drawn from a nationally representative sample of its 80,000-strong UK consumer community.
Inflation in the UK accelerated more than expected last month due to higher food costs and transport costs as well as a jump in private school fees.
The latest data, released today (19) by the Office for National Statistics, shows that the consumer prices index (CPI) measure of inflation rose to 3 per cent in the 12 months to January, up from 2.5 per cent in December. Economists had expected inflation to climb to 2.8 per cent in January.
On a monthly basis, CPI fell by 0.1 per cent in January, compared with a 0.6 per cent fall in January 2024.
Food prices rose by 3.3 per cent in January, up from 2 per cent in December.
Meat, bread and cereals, fish, milk, cheese and eggs, chocolate, coffee and tea and juice all became pricier.
Transport costs rose at the fastest annual rate since February 2023 because of air fares and fuel prices, which both fell by less than last year, partially offset by a downward effect from secondhand cars.
Private school fees were another factor, where prices rose by 12.7 per cent on the month but did not change a year ago, after the government decided to impose VAT of 20 per cent on private school fees.
Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, said, "Getting more money in people’s pockets is my number one mission.
"Since the election we’ve seen year on year wages after inflation growing at their fastest rate – worth an extra £1,000 a year on average – but I know that millions of families are still struggling to make ends meet.
"That’s why we’re going further and faster to deliver economic growth. By taking on the blockers to get Britain building again, investing to rebuild our roads, rail and energy infrastructure and ripping up unnecessary regulation, we will kickstart growth, secure well paid jobs and get more pounds in pockets."
The core rate of inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy costs, climbed to 3.7 per cent from 3.2 per cent.
Red Bull and Monster Energy have contributed the greatest amount of unit growth in the independent convenience channel in 2024, shows a TWC report released today (18), highlighting many other key trends that shaped the independent convenience channel last year.
Value sales were down -6 per cent through 2024 majorly owing to drop in sales of tobacco products though value growth was seen in confectionery, soft drinks and food-to-go, states the report.
Alcohol sales under-performed at Christmas while branded products outperformed own-label sales in the convenience channel.
The source data comes from TWC’s ‘SmartView Convenience’ (SVC) market read, which is already recognised as the most reflective read for independent convenience stores, despite launching just 18 months ago.
SVC is a market read for the independent convenience sector, comprising EPOS sales data from a sample of 5,000 stores reflective of the market structure including both unaffiliated independents and wholesaler-supplier symbol fascias, including Booker’s Premier and Londis; Bestway’s Best One and Costcutter; Nisa; and the Unitas fascias.
Data is extrapolated to represent the entire GB independent market (excluding Spar) of around 30,000 stores and is also geographically representative.
After reviewing SVC data representing over ten billion purchases through 2024, TWC was able to share key trends with over one hundred industry executives (wholesalers and suppliers) via a webinar last week.
The key trends are:
Value sales were down -6 per cent through 2024 (52 w/e 29.12.24) but this was driven by declines in tobacco / tobacco alternatives and commission – when these departments are removed, sales fell -2 per cent across the sector.
Three categories were in value growth in the sector – confectionery, soft drinks and food-to-go.
Average spend per unit has only increased by 1 per cent in 2024.
Alcohol sales under-performed at Christmas (versus the performance over the rest of the year), reflecting the deep promotions offered by other operators (e.g. retail multiples) during December; as well as changing consumer habits and the fact that the comparative period in 2023 included two less trading days on the run up to New Year’s Eve (4 w/e 29.12.23).
Branded products outperformed own-label sales in the sector.
The leading suppliers are winning share. In eight key convenience categories, three quarters of the top two suppliers in each category are growing their share of sales in the channel.
UK convenience store market performance
TWC Group also revealed the top thirty growth brands in the sector through 2024, which have collectively brought in 104 million additional unit sales in 2024.
Red Bull saw the biggest actual unit sales increase in the year, followed by Monster Energy. These thirty brands contributed 46 per cent of total volume sales growth in the sector in 2024.
TWC has identified six core drivers behind brand growth in the channel:
High stimulation beverages
Spicy and sour products
Treats for kids (especially ‘Gen Alpha’)
Good value products (e.g. PMPs)
New product development
Regionality (e.g. products relevant to specific regions)
Regarding NPD, new products from these 30 brands accounted for 12 per cent of all volume sales in the channel in 2024, states TWC report.
Sarah Coleman, Product Director at TWC Group, says there are still plenty of reasons to be positive in this sector.
“Firstly, the number of convenience stores has grown in the last 12 months, to over 50,000 outlets.
The share of total outlets that are independently owned/run is holding firm, which means the number of indie outlets is in growth (by 1200 year on year), according to the Association of Convenience Stores (ACS).”
Coleman continues: “Consumer research previously conducted by TWC Group revealed many untapped opportunities – for example, 40 per cent of consumers who buy beer, lager or cider do not buy these products from their independent convenience store.
"Similar findings were discovered in other categories too. If suppliers and wholesalers can work together and find solutions to appeal to c-store shoppers, there is still plenty of growth to be had in this important route to market channel, as proven by our top 30 growth brands ranking.”
Suppliers and wholesalers can now access location-specific data as an extension to SmartView Convenience.
Coleman highlights that this is potentially a game changer for the sector – TWC is the only data agency who offers location-specific data for up to 12,500 independent convenience stores) and SmartView Convenience (SVC) market read, allowing subscribers to understand both total market performance and to plan targeted activity in the channel from a single source of data.
Furthermore, TWC is launching a consumer, shopper and retailer research proposition to complement the SVC data.
Coleman points out, “Our SmartView Convenience market read reports what is bought, meanwhile consumer/shopper/retailer research will provide compelling why insights, to understand the motives behind why products are purchased, or not.
"As such, TWC really is becoming the ‘one stop shop’ for data combined with insights – ‘the what and the why’ – and we look forward to extending our services further in 2025.”
Extreme weather events are expected to lead to volatile food prices throughout 2025, supply chain analysts have warned, after cocoa and coffee prices more than doubled over the past year.
According to a recent research by the consultancy Inverto, steep rises are observed in the prices of a number of food commodities in the year to January that correlated with unexpected weather.
The highest price rises were for cocoa and coffee, up 163 per cent and 103 per cent respectively, due to a combination of higher than average rainfall and temperatures in producing regions.
Sunflower oil prices increased by 56 per cent after drought caused poor crop yields in Bulgaria and Ukraine, which also continued to be affected by the Russian invasion.
Other food commodities with sharp year-on-year price rises included orange juice and butter, both up by more than a third, and beef, up by just over a quarter.
“Food manufacturers and retailers should diversify their supply chains and sourcing strategies to reduce over-reliance on any one region affected by crop failures,” Katharina Erfort, of Inverto, said.
Climate scientists said Inverto’s findings were in line with their expectations.
“Extreme weather events around the globe will continue to increase in severity and frequency in line with the ongoing rise in global temperature,” said Pete Falloon, a food security expert at the Met Office and University of Bristol.
“Crops are often vulnerable to extreme weather, and we can expect to witness ongoing shocks to global agricultural production and supply chains, which ultimately feed into food security concerns.”
The research findings come close on the heels of a report by National Preparedness Commission (NPC), stating that UK food supply chains face severe risks from climate change, trade barriers and global instability.
NPC warned that the country is not prepared for the scale of risks now facing its food supply. From climate change and geopolitical tensions to economic shocks and trade barriers, these challenges are making the current system unsustainable.
The NPC report calls for legislative action, suggesting that food security should be a significant legal mandate, akin to national security or energy.
A proposed Food Security and Resilience Act could possibly enshrine food security into law, recognising it as a critical element of the UK’s national infrastructure.
The report recommends a comprehensive overhaul, urging the establishment of a National Food Security Council.