Skip to content
Search
AI Powered
Latest Stories

UK economy ekes out growth in first quarter but March drop underscores fragility

UK economy ekes out growth in first quarter but March drop underscores fragility
A pedestrian wheels a shopper past a shop advertising a closing-down sale in Bolton, north west England on January 20, 2023. (Photo by Oli SCARFF / AFP) (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images)
AFP via Getty Images

Britain's economy grew 0.1 percent in the first quarter after narrowly avoiding recession last year, official data revealed Friday, as output continues to be hit by high inflation and strikes.

After gross domestic product advanced 0.5 percent in January, output flattened in February and slid 0.3 percent in March, the Office for National Statistics said in a statement.


"The fall in March was driven by widespread decreases across the services sector," noted ONS director of economic statistics, Darren Morgan.

"Despite the launch of new number plates, cars sales were low by historic standards - continuing the trend seen since the start of the pandemic - with warehousing, distribution and retail also having a poor month," he added.

The data comes one day after the Bank of England forecast that the UK economy would avoid recession this year despite the country's annual inflation stuck above 10 percent.

With consumer prices continuing to rise at a fast pace, the BoE on Thursday hiked its key interest rate by a further quarter-point to 4.5 per cent.

It was the central bank's 12th increase in a row, putting the rate at the highest level since the global financial crisis in 2008.

Elevated inflation is eroding the value of workers' wages, causing mass strikes across Britain, the latest being stoppages on the railway network Friday.

"The UK appears to be stuck in limbo. This is the third broadly flat quarter for GDP in a row. Whilst the data suggests the UK is performing far better than most expected last year, it remains a challenge to reconcile how the UK economy can escape a recession after such a steep rise in interest rates," Jonathan Moyes, head of investment research at Wealth Club, commented.

"Nonetheless, whilst strike action continued to affected the data, particularly for services, manufacturing and construction are clearly pockets of strength. If confidence surveys are to be believed, there has been a notable uptick in services in April, which may give a boost Q2 numbers."

Britain's economy remained 0.5 per cent smaller than in the fourth quarter of 2019, shortly before the coronavirus pandemic -a weaker rebound than any other major advanced economy.

"With the key services side of the economy continuing to slow in the face of higher borrowing costs and rising prices, it still feels like we’re walking through treacle," said Tom Stevenson, personal investing director at Fidelity International.

"With inflation still in double digits, it feels depressingly like a re-run of 1970s stagflation."

Output in March was only 0.1 per cent higher than in February 2020, the last full pre-pandemic month.

"A weaker economy in March underscores its fragility despite a fall in wholesale energy prices, improving supply chain conditions, and consumer confidence that has also recovered from multi-year lows," KPMG economist Yael Selfin said.

"While recession is probably no longer on the cards, vulnerabilities resulting from higher borrowing costs and tighter credit are likely to dampen business and household activity this year."

More for you

Pauline Crosby, the first-ever 'Nan from Del Monte,' smiling and holding her award, celebrating Britain's baking traditions

Del Monte unveils first-ever ‘Nan from Del Monte’ to champion Britain’s baking heritage

Nan from Del Monte: Honoring Britain’s Baking Traditions

Canned fruit brand Del Monte has crowned Pauline Crosby, a 74-year-old grandmother from Norfolk, as the first-ever “Nan from Del Monte.” This campaign revives the iconic “Man from Del Monte” concept with a fresh, modern approach aimed at celebrating and preserving Britain’s baking traditions.

Pauline, a former military policewoman, was selected following a nationwide competition and public vote to identify a figurehead who embodies the spirit of intergenerational cooking and baking. Nominated by her granddaughter, Poppie, Pauline was praised for her role in creating lasting family memories through her recipes. She is also a proud member of the Women’s Institute, a testament to her commitment to the culinary community.

Keep ReadingShow less
Reviva Coffee And Welsh Rugby Union Partnership

Reviva Coffee Becomes WRU's Official Coffee Supplier

WRU and Reviva Coffee announce exciting new partnership

The Welsh Rugby Union (WRU) is thrilled to announce a new partnership with Reviva Coffee, a fast-growing speciality coffee brand offering 100% Arabica, -certified coffee sourced from South America.

The multi-year deal marks the Union’s first-ever collaboration with a coffee brand. As an Official Coffee Supplier to the WRU, fans will be able to enjoy Reviva Coffee at the Principality Stadium, starting from the opening home match of the 2025 Guinness Men’s Six Nations on Saturday, February 22nd.

Keep ReadingShow less